The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 601 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Mintz: California spent $20B on homelessness as homeless population rose 20%
“The state has spent twenty billion dollars on homeless services in the last five years. Twenty billion dollars. The number of homeless people in the state's gone up 20% in that time.”
Attia: A balanced exercise portfolio can add a decade to lifespan
“It means if you're paying attention, To a portfolio approach of strength, stability, aerobic training, anaerobic training, all those things, you know, it can add up to a decade to the length of your life.”
Caliri: Chinese State-Owned Enterprises Ship Fentanyl Precursors to Mexico
“There are state-owned enterprises in China that are shipping fentanyl and fentanyl precursors to Mexico.”
Berdichevsky: Automotive scale will make lithium-ion dominate electrical grid storage
“Being somebody who's in lithium ion, I actually think the scale of automotive will also lead lithium ion to dominate most of the grid.”
DeWitte: No Plant Applying Directly to the NRC Has Ever Come Online
“Since the NRC was formed no plant that has submitted its initial original application to the NRC has ever come online. All the plants that are operating today submitted their applications, their initially, their initial application, sorry, to the Atomic Energy…”
Glock: CA Supreme Court blocked UC Berkeley student enrollment increases under CEQA
“The Berkeley ruling of the California Supreme court where they said you couldn't increase even the number of students at the university of Berkeley. Because of this California lawsuit system where you're allowed to sue just about anything.”
Glock: 40% of Land in Nine-County Bay Area Is Reserved for Cattle
“The 40% of that land in that nine county Bay Area is reserved for cattle.”
Glock: Skid Row camping enforcement cut crime and violence by 40%
“A study done right afterwards showed that crime and violence in the area, mainly against the homeless themselves, went down 40%, and it didn't seem to spill over to these other neighborhoods.”
Glock: LA and SF audits show subsidized housing costs reach $800K per unit
“They recently did an audit in LA and in San Francisco that found these things cost about 700 dollars per square foot and around 800,000 dollars maxed out per apartment.”
Glock: Roughly 40% of subsidized housing spending goes to soft costs
“About 40% of this money went to what's called soft costs in the construction industry. This is the paperwork, the financing, all these other little things in it.”
Craft: China sanctioned former UN Ambassador Kelly Craft for speaking out
“You know, I'm sanctioned by China because of literally speaking out, and making certain that the world knows.”
Sprowls: Florida state colleges must offer money-back job guarantees on three programs
“So now if you go to a state college in Florida, they have to offer at least three certifications or technical degrees where they say, if you come and you get this certificate, And you are not working in that field in six months. We'll give you your money back.…”
Sprowls: Only 14% of Florida State Prison Inmates Are There for Drugs
“Only 14% of the people in state prison in Florida are there for drugs.”
Khanna: Facebook Knows Instagram Causes Teen Depression and Anxiety
“Facebook has information that Instagram is causing depression and anxiety about teenagers.”
Khanna: Nine of the top ten sites on Facebook are conservative
“I mean, I looked the top nine out of the top 10 sites on Facebook are conservative sites with Donald Trump and Hannity and Ben Shapiro and others.”
Lonsdale: US spent nuclear fuel could power the country for 100 years
“There's enough of that spent fuel to power the whole US for a hundred years.”
Ferguson: 1340s anti-Semitic pogrom sites correlated with support for the Nazi party
“There's some very interesting research showing that sites where there were anti-Semitic attacks in the 13 forties were also sites centuries later of support for National Socialism during the rise of Hitler.”
Balaji Srinivasan: Bitcoin will be 10x PayPal and may be 10x gold
“I think Bitcoin will in the fullness of time, it's certainly 10 X, it will be 10 X PayPal. It may be 10 X gold.”
Brooks: US poverty rate stayed at 10-15% despite $20T spent
“We have, the poverty rate has bounced around between 10 and 15% every year since then. Despite the fact that we spent somewhere around 20 trillion dollars in the war on poverty.”
Palmer Luckey: Chinese companies are selling lethal weaponized drones abroad
“The Chinese in particular have a variety of companies that are building Weaponized drones with, you know, really lethal systems on them. And those are being sold to other countries right now.”
Klausner: Scientists Can Reset Cell Age Without Losing Identity
“Over the last few years, a number of scientists have figured out amazingly how to manipulate the Yamanaka factors to dissociate the resetting of the age clock
From the loss of cell identity.”
Klausner: Rejuvenated Cells Reset to Ages 12 to 20
“The early studies actually suggest that when you rejuvenate cells this way,
They sort of go back to the end of development, sort of the, you know, around 15, you know, 12 to 20, somewhere between puberty and the end of development, and there seems to be a litt…”
Florence: Gen-1 reached 99 percent reliability with one hour of data
“Gen one was able to across several different tasks and then many other tasks that we showed since hit these, like, 99% plus levels of reliability on just one single hour of robot data.”
Defensive teams will run offensive AI agents to train defense systems
“There is no question that In the future, you'll have AI agents on offense run by the good guys to train the AI on defense run by the good guys.”
Hughes: Arab Slave Trade Captured 12 to 20 Million Africans
“Arabs enslaved between, you know, 12 and twenty million Africans over the years, starting with the conquest of Islam in, in the sixth, or in the seventh century.”
Hughes: MLK's Final Book Dedicated an Entire Chapter to Critiquing Black Power
“In fact, in his final book, he, the whole second chapter is a critique of the black power movement, which was the BLM of its day.”
Hughes: Roughly 66% of Black Households With Children Are Single-Parent Homes
“Now we're at 66%, roughly, of single parent homes in the black community.”
Helberg: US Signed Deal for 4,000-Acre AI Industrial Park in Philippines
“Just last week we signed a historic deal with the Philippines, 4000 acres, right next to Subic Bay where we're gonna build a first-of-its-kind AI-native industrial park, and the goal is really to secure inputs that are vital for American and global supply chai…”
Sankar: In 1989, 94% of US weapon spending went to commercial firms
“If you go back to 1989, not that long ago, when the Berlin Wall still stood, Only six percent of major weapon system spending went to defense specialists, what we think of today as prime contractors whose only business is defense. 94% of the money for major we…”
Black: China's sulfuric acid export ban affects 25% of global market
“So, sulfuric acid exports have been banned from China, and that's 25% of the market. That starts May first.”
Black: DFC and OPIC insurance products boast near 100% recovery rate
“In the history of the DFC and Opix insurance product Pretty much close to a hundred percent recoveries.”
Sandler: Milken received about 30% of department profits for bonus allocation
“Mike's deal that he'd made from Drexel at a time when it was a very small market was that something like 30, 30 some odd percent of the profits of his department would go to the bonus pool he could allocate.”
Lonsdale: Kushner and Gil automated Qatar building permits to just two hours
“My friend, Jared Kushner, who's obviously, you know, been involved in these administrations, he worked with Qatar, with Elad, and they built something where the permits only take, ah, 120 minutes there. So if you want a permit to build something, it'll get bac…”
Wu: AI autonomous task duration grew from 10 seconds to 18 hours
“One of the stats that people talk about a lot is this METR report, which basically says for each different model that comes out roughly how much human work can it do in an automated fashion before you have to go interrupt it and say, oh, that was wrong. Let's …”
Jake Paul claims Netflix bought an AI studio from Ben Affleck
“Netflix just bought a whole AI studio from Ben Affleck, but like will consumers want to go to the movie knowing that like none of the acting was actually real?”
Loeffler: SF Fed Found Government Spending Drove 43% of Inflation
“The San Francisco Fed came out with a survey that said about 43% of inflation can be explained through massive government spending.”
Lonsdale: Cognition Raised Three Funding Rounds Last Year at Major Markups
“Cognition, which we talked about earlier, you know, raised three rounds last year, each like at a more than, you know, each of big, big markups.”
Mandia: Uniformed North Korean government agents run cyberattacks to steal Bitcoin.
“Literally government agents in North Korea in uniform are hacking to steal Bitcoin.”
Mandia: Good guys will use offensive AI agents to train defensive AI
“There is no question that in the future you'll have AI agents on offense run by the good guys to train the AI on defense run by the good guys.”
Atkins: Saul Alinsky pioneered the weaponization of corporate proxies
“The one that really weaponized this to begin with, It was a community organizer named Saul Alinsky back in the 19 sixties and seventies, and so he wrote a book in 1970, I believe, called Rules for Radicals. So the penultimate chapter is called Project Proxy, a…”
Gebbia: Federal staff completed digital retirement proof-of-concept in four days
“We went off, the careers took this assignment on, and they didn't do it in seven days. They did it in four days. They did it faster than we all thought. It was possible, you know, again, it was a proof of concept prototype.”
Gebbia: The federal design team has shipped safedc.gov and trumpcard.gov
“We've already shipped a couple things already. People can see some of our initial work on safe DC.gov, which is a new website to help attract law enforcement talent to come join the task force here in DC. We shipped trumpcard.gov, which is- Trump card.”
Gebbia: Some U.S. government websites turn off at 6 PM daily
“Government websites, some of them turn off at six p.m. Because they have operating hours.”
Lonsdale: US spending on debt interest now exceeds defense spending
“I think we're spending more on our interest than on our defense now, which is crazy.”
Howard: 90% of Brandon Johnson's Campaign Funds Came From Unions
“Well, the government, the current governor of Chicago, Brandon Johnson, 90% of his election funds came from the unions.”
Lonsdale claims D.C. carjackings dropped 83% after National Guard deployment
“President Trump showed that we don't have to live like this. He sent in the National Guard. Carjackings are down over 83%.”