The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 63 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 63 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Sofman: Every automaker will offer Level 2 or 3 autonomy in 3–4 years
“Every car company is going to have a level two, level three solution in the next three, four years.”
Alperovitch: China is losing at least one million people annually
“They're already losing at least a million people a year, and that's only going to accelerate throughout the century.”
Langone: Significant wage increases caused Home Depot's attrition rate to plunge
“Last year we initiated significant pay increases for the hourlies. Our attrition rate has plunged.”
Jones smuggled MLK's Birmingham Jail drafts out under his shirt
“Twice a day in the morning, and in the afternoon, I would take what he had written, put it under my shirt, and then I would take the blank sheets of paper that he needed and give it to him, and then the following, that afternoon, or if it was the afternoon nex…”
Tyler Scriven predicts US e-commerce will triple over the next decade
“I mean, the e-commerce, e-commerce in the U.S. Will triple most likely over the next decade in the U.S.
You know, it's taken us 24 years, you know, to get to where we are today.
And we're going to you know, two and a half, three X at
You know over the next 10…”
Gallagher: China faces historic retiree crisis in the early 2030s
“The demographic challenge is one that will become most acute
In the early 20 thirties, they're going to run into a huge demographic buzzsaw really more retirees than any societies had to deal with in human history.”
Gebbia: Small modular reactors can reuse existing nuclear waste as fuel
“Small modular reactors which will address some of the issues of the costs involved in building nuclear plants, the timelines associated with building nuclear plants. Small modular actors can actually reuse existing nuclear waste as their energy source.”
DeWitte: Oklo reactors can achieve over 98% operational uptime
“I mean, you'll turn it off occasionally for servicing different parts of it, but you're talking about a system that's going to be up and operational more than 98% of the time, or at least has the potential to be.”
DeWitte: Nuclear fission systems will power human space exploration by 2050
“So I think that by that timeframe, you're going to see Basically nuclear systems powering, you know, human advancement in space as well.”
Ghamsari: Blend processes roughly 20% of all US mortgages
“There's about four to five million mortgages happening this year, and Blend is about 20% of those. Maybe just under 20% of those.”
Boots: LiDAR emission makes vehicles easily detectable to equipped adversaries
“LiDAR, Projects projects into the environment. And so you can see it you know, very easily if you have the right sort of sensors.”
Greenblatt: Google, Apollo, and J. Crew Joined ADL Workplace Pledge
“We created something called the Workplace Pledge Against Anti-Semitism. Google, WPP, Apollo, J. Crew, a bunch of gigantic companies and firms have joined that.”
Apple had under one percent US market share when Fadell joined
“Yeah, it was much smaller, and it had a market share of one percent or less, only in the US. It didn't have retail stores, it only had the Mac. There was really nothing else that Apple had at that time.”