why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Partly supported
Palantir, Anduril, and SpaceX sued the government for initial major contracts
“And one of the examples I use Palantir and Roland, SpaceX, all had to sue the government for their first big contract, because the primes were sophisticated at selling, sophisticated at protecting their interests.”
Assertion Supported
Palantir and SpaceX sued the US government for first defense contracts
“Palantir and Roland, SpaceX, all had to sue the government for the first big contract, because the primes were sophisticated at selling, sophisticated protecting their interests.”
Assertion Supported
Cinnamon: SpaceX Holds Pricing Power and Has Raised Small Satellite Prices Annually
“And in fact, the price has gone up every year since then. So they have the pricing power. Now it's still very affordable, right? Like, if you rewind to 2015 or 20 10 to launch, ah, our, like, small satellite, like Aries, you'd be looking at 10 to twenty millio…”
Assertion Supported
Blank: SpaceX is the largest satellite manufacturer, surpassing traditional primes
“The largest satellite manufacturer is not Northrop Grumman or Lockheed or Boeing. It's SpaceX, right? Have a factory that makes this at scale at a scale unimaginable”
Assertion Supported
Cinnamon: Satellite architecture shifted to proliferated constellations around 2019
“Around 2019, the architecture started to shift towards what they call proliferation and attritability.”
Assertion Partly supported
Cinnamon: Falcon 9 Reusability Increased Launch Cadence to Weekly by 2020
“In twenty-twenty, that we were at the turning point where they started to reuse the Falcon nine rockets, and we went from being able to launch maybe once a month to about once a week.”
Assertion Supported
Cinnamon: SpaceX launches about 2,000 Starlink satellites annually
“But he launches about 2000 per year.”
Assertion Supported
Kimbal Musk: Starship fuselage is bigger than a Boeing 747
“I mean, if you look at Starship, it's big, it's the actual fuselage is bigger than a seven 47.”