The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

2statements match

1resolved → 1open claims → 1supported → 0contradicted →

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe May 2028

Balaji: Rate hikes will cause systemic failure across the US banking sector

“Powell is crashing the plane, and SVB and FRC and others were just positioned near the front of the plane. Okay. So like everybody's gonna die is my point.”

Balaji Srinivasan May 11, 2023 ▶ 12:19 Ep 57: Balaji Srinivasan on the Severity of the Bank Crisis and the Future of Bitcoin · Joe Lonsdale

Assertion Supported

Balaji: Silicon Valley Bank collapsed because it bought U.S. Treasuries

“Neither of those things are what blew up the bank. What blew up the bank is that they bought treasuries.”

Balaji Srinivasan May 11, 2023 ▶ 8:36 Ep 57: Balaji Srinivasan on the Severity of the Bank Crisis and the Future of Bitcoin · Joe Lonsdale

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The Ledger

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