The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up
Balaji Srinivasan: Bitcoin will be 10x PayPal and may be 10x gold
“I think Bitcoin will in the fullness of time, it's certainly 10 X, it will be 10 X PayPal. It may be 10 X gold.”
Balaji Sr i n i v a s a n Aug 11, 2021 ▶ 16:43 Balaji Srinivasan: Bitcoin, China, the "Woke" Mob, and the Future of the Internet · Joe Lonsdale
Assertion Supported
Mandia: Uniformed North Korean government agents run cyberattacks to steal Bitcoin.
“Literally government agents in North Korea in uniform are hacking to steal Bitcoin.”
Kevin Mandia Feb 4, 2026 ▶ 17:59 AI Expert: Agents Will Take Over Everything · Joe Lonsdale
Prediction Held up
Srinivasan: Europe, Asia, and Latin America will keep Bitcoin legal
“That means that Europe, the Middle East, big parts of Latin America, big parts of Asia, it will be at a minimum legal to buy, sell, send, and receive Bitcoin.”
Balaji Srinivasan May 11, 2023 ▶ 25:40 Ep 57: Balaji Srinivasan on the Severity of the Bank Crisis and the Future of Bitcoin · Joe Lonsdale
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