The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 438 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 10 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Zachary Levi: Famous Hollywood Figures Secretly Supported Trump but Feared Career Fallout
“I know a lot of people, like you were mentioning, there's people that, you know, people I know, very famous people in Hollywood that are intelligent enough to recognize that that's the way they needed to vote, but they also were like, oh, but I don't know what…”
Levi: AI will automate the new jobs created to replace displaced workers
“So when people make the argument, well, Yes. It will replace these jobs, but it will create more jobs. I go, yeah, except that it can do those new jobs as well.”
Schmitt: FBI knew Hunter Biden laptop was real in November 2019
“The FBI authenticated and knew the laptop for Hunter Biden with all the crazy stuff in it could have, by the way, implicated Joe Biden in some bad stuff. They knew it was real in 2019, in November of 2019. The FBI starts having monthly, then weekly meetings wi…”
Schmitt: Biden administration censorship efforts began on day three
“We discover in the discovery that the censorship operation began on day three of their administration. They started taking down RFK Jr. They started taking down Tucker Carlson. A lot of these people who had opinions they didn't like were being shadow banned or…”
Machado: Maduro Imprisoned Over 2,000 People and Disappeared 44 in Venezuela
“So he has put over 2000 people in prison. Over 800 are still in prison. 44 people disappeared. We don't know where they are. Children, women that have been tortured and they are looking for me.”
Machado: Nicolás Maduro Runs the Tren de Aragua Transnational Gang
“Maduro has promoted criminal structures and gangs, such as the Trenderagua that operates It's from Canada to Argentina, but the head of the Trendera is Maduro, and it's the same with the drug cartels.”
Machado: The Venezuelan Opposition Won the July 2024 Presidential Election
“We already, the Venezuelan people, mandated the change of the regime in a presidential election that took place last year on July, 28th, and we won by a landslide.”
Machado: Oil companies in Venezuela must partner with drug cartels
“If you operate here, you are forced to operate in alliance, in a society, with a mafia system, with a drug cartel.”
Machado: Foro de Sao Paulo exchanges resources to promote regional election fraud
“Here in Latin America, Puerto de Sao Paulo and other left-wing groups had managed to exchange technology, information, resources, even to promote fraud, fraudulent elections all over the region.”
Machado: Over 30% of Venezuela's Population Was Intentionally Forced to Flee
“We have over 30% of Venezuelan population that has been forced to flee. That was intentional.”
Machado: Maduro's Fall Will Trigger Collapse of Cuban and Nicaraguan Regimes
“Once Maduro goes the regime in Cuba will follow. And also The Nicaraguan regime will fall. And for the first time in history, we will have the America's free of communism and dictatorship for the first time in history.”
Hoffman: Slashing university funding and barring foreign students would be catastrophic
“So, for example, you could do the current way of how you're attacking Harvard and say, I'm gonna withdraw funding, I'm going to disallow international students for coming, I'm gonna, like, do a whole bunch of other things which are gonna cause a lot of damage,…”
Vought: The President Has Apportionment Power to Turn Off Unnecessary Funding
“Ultimately with the ability to use the power, the apportionment power that the president has to turn off funding if it's not necessary until he can make sure that bureaucracy isn't wasting money on things that are inconsistent with his administration.”
Vought: Challenging Impoundment Act Is Necessary to Cut Off Federal Funding
“If you don't come out there and say, look, the fundamental way that the town has functioned on the basis of 50 years under the Impoundment Control Act, if you don't kind of go out there and describe that, and name it, and say, you know, we have fundamental pro…”
Vought: Trump Administration Is Using Reductions in Force Extensively
“The extent to which we've never really used reductions in force in the first term. That's something that is certainly something we've used extensively.”
Vought: The budget bill will drive 3% GDP growth and $4T output
“We believe it's in the neighborhood of four trillion dollars, three percent economic growth compared to 1.8% that CBO assumes.”
Vought: Trump Budget Cuts and Tariffs Cover One-Third of Deficit Gap
“The president just secured one and a half trillion dollars consistent with the fiscal framework in our first six months that I would, I think tariffs included is, is, is heading us dealing with a third. Of what's necessary to get to a balanced budget.”
Vought: Rescissions bill cuts $1B from CPB and $8B in foreign aid
“The first bill was the bare minimum of, and the easiest hurdle for them. Corporation for Public Broadcasting, a billion dollars. Dealing with their next two cycles of advanced funding, and then eight billion dollars in foreign aid, all of which was connected t…”
Vought: White House will make DOGE spending cuts permanent unilaterally if necessary
“We're gonna make these cuts permanent. We've got a lot of different options. We would love to have Congress as a willing partner. But they need to prove that they can pass these bills because otherwise we're gonna have to look at other options.”
Vought: CFPB targeted Townstone Financial with redlining claims without evidence
“They went after a company called Townstone who had a podcast and was complaining as a private citizen about the extent of which there was crime in Chicago. You know, I think if you did a poll of anyone in the country in a diner, they would say, yeah, I think t…”
Sofman: Autonomous construction machinery expands net jobs
“And in fact it's expansionary because you're actually creating jobs that wouldn't be done otherwise, but you have an ability to kind of move higher and higher level and create almost like a operating system for a general contractor to, Define the work they wan…”
Andreessen: US explicitly chose de-industrialization by making industrial activity illegal
“We chose to de-industrialize through a set of explicit policy choices, you know, not, not least of which is You know, we made a lot of industrial activity illegal over time.”
Andreessen: European regulation has made AI effectively illegal, causing brain drain
“And then, by the way, the US is benefiting a lot, because Europe has basically made AI illegal. Like, they're regulating themselves to death. And so, the smart AI people in Europe are moving to the US.”
Andreessen: Smart kids from rural America cannot get into elite universities
“If you're a family, you know, if you, if you're a family, if you're parents of a kid where I grew up and you've got a smart kid and you think you're gonna get them into, you know, a top university in this country, like, you are fooling yourself. Like, there is…”
Lonsdale: Zuckerberg Built an 'Anti-Woke' School After Facebook's Became Far-Left
“He and a bunch of my friends have a school that's, like, sort of anti, anti-woke, because the school of Facebook was super woke, and so they all had to, like, build something else.”
Lonsdale: Zuckerberg Talks Masculinity but Lacks the Courage to Fight Back
“He's not willing to take that swing. And so he's not a guy's guy, you know? And which is a funny cause he's trying to talk about masculinity. But like being a guy's guy means that the people who fucked with you, pardon my French.”
Hilton: I was the first TV host to link COVID to Fauci
“I was the first on TV to lay out all the evidence showing that it was Fauci's experiments that were the origin of the pandemic.”
Hilton: California's 2016 Housing First law bans sobriety requirements for homeless shelters
“They passed a law in 2016, the only state in America to do it implementing in legislation this approach called Housing First. Which says that you've got to, the number one thing is, and it sounds like a sensible thing, of course, give homeless people housing, …”
Hilton: Developing 1% more California land would house 10 million people
“If we increase the development footprint of California from five percent to six percent, which would still put us really low in, in terms of other states, you could have housing for ten million people in single family homes on quarter acre lots”
Lonsdale: Competitors are weaponizing Reid Hoffman's politics against Joby
“One fund that put a billion dollars in is my friend. Michael Thompson, who he, you know, I feel like I'm friends with both sides, but I'm kind of on the moderate right, I'm on the right, and Michael is on the right, and his partner Reid Hoffman's on the left, …”
Lonsdale: Slow FDA review enables China to commercialize US biotech IP first
“We'll start something here that's based on a new breakthrough, a really important new target, and because the FDA is so slow, because it takes you a decade, and China only takes four or five years, they'll literally start something a few years after taking all…”
Lessin: AI is not disruptive and incumbents should broadly win
“You know, I'd actually argue that AI is kind of like mobile. It's not disruptive. It's great tech to be clear. It's important, but just as the internet, I would say that just as like mobile was just More internet and pervasive internet. AI is just like more te…”
Thiel: Tech has been society's only vector of progress for decades
“For the last 25, 30 years Tech meaning broadly, you know, computer science, software, internet, mobile internet now, now crypto and AI in the last few years, this has been, this, there's been, this has been sort of this one vector of progress in our society. T…”
Thiel: U.S. military's DCGS software was a failed billion-dollar boondoggle
“There was this software program. This was once we moved from intelligence community into the broader military called DSIGs, which was just sort of this in theory was a system we were supposed to figure out ways to integrate the data across all these units in t…”
Thiel: University system is as broken as military procurement
“You know, the university system seems as broken or more than the military procurement process.”
Thiel: Trump's Second Term Will Accomplish More Than His First
“Normally the second term does less than the first term, This is going to be the, I think will be the real first term.”
Thiel: Thousands of Officials Could Be Criminally Prosecuted for Mislabeling Funds
“And I think you could prosecute thousands of these people for criminally, For the thing that they wanted to prosecute Oliver North for in the eighties.”
Thiel: Austin, Texas Is a Government Town and Bad University College Town
“This is where I would be deeply skeptical even of a place like Austin, Texas. You know, it's, it is, I mean, it's a government town. It's a bad university college town.”
Lonsdale: Collaborating with federal agencies to target NGO funding networks
“So I think studying SF and studying Austin, Led me to understand the NGO thing, which I then was very helpful with DC, and we actually are working with people running a lot of agencies in DC to go after the NGOs and based on things we've learned in the last se…”
Thiel: Top tech CEOs express radically different views in private versus public
“There was a incredible felt sense among all the top CEOs I know in Silicon Valley that there's all the stuff you can't talk about. There are things they tell me behind closed doors that are very different from what they feel they can say in public. And the gap…”
Thiel: Fake AI would outperform the current federal workforce
“Maybe you can replace them with AI, or maybe you can replace them without AI, and just use the AI can be completely fake, and we can improve things tremendously.”
Cotton: CIA joined FBI and DOE in assessing COVID-19 lab origin
“Right before the Biden administration left office, the CIA joined the FBI and the Department of Energy's intelligence unit, saying that it almost certainly came from the laboratory.”
Cotton: Granting China WTO entry was a mistake that supercharged offshoring
“It was a terrible mistake to give China permanent most favored nation status and then welcome them into the world trade organization in the late 19 nineties and early 2000 that really fueled supercharged the so-called China shock where you had not just some jo…”
Cotton: A Chinese spy targeted Representative Eric Swalwell and American mayors
“Probably the best example of that is Congressman from California, Eric Swalwell, who was targeted by a Chinese spy, apparently had a romantic relationship with her. She had similar relationships with mayors all across America.”
Cotton: TikTok algorithms suppress content on Hong Kong, Tibet, and Tiananmen Square
“And of course, why you can't see anything on TikTok related to say Hong Kong or Tibet or to Tiananmen Square or the Falun Gong. This is a tool of Chinese communist propaganda.”
Cotton: Chinese communists are the leading cause of American teenage fentanyl deaths
“Because Chinese communists are probably the number one cause of death for American teenagers over the last several years, if you look at overdoses from fentanyl and other synthetic opioids.”
Cotton: Trump and Hegseth are willing to order military strikes against cartels
“President Trump is certainly willing to do that. Obviously Pete Hexeth is too.”
Israetel: AI will reach superintelligence by 2026 and vastly surpass humans by 2029
“Once AI becomes super intelligent, which should occur in like 20, 26 or something like that. If it hasn't already, I'm not kidding. I'm not saying this very soon. Once it's super intelligent and then by 20, 29, it's going to be like orders of magnitude smarter…”