Prediction certainty 4/5 debate potential 4/5

U.S. will instruct Taiwan not to fire first during a Chinese invasion

Dmitri Alperovitch · He Predicted Putin's Invasion. Now He Predicts When China Will Invade Taiwan. · Joe Lonsdale · Aug 22, 2024 · at 30:52

Dmitri Alperovitch was not on this episode. A recording of them was played into it, so these are their words but not an appearance on American Optimist. It still counts as said, and it is kept out of every score on their page.

Dmitri Alperovitch and Joe Lonsdale discuss the strategic dilemmas facing Taiwan and the US during a potential Chinese mobilization.

0:00 / 0:08exact quote · 8.8s
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“And Taiwan can't fire first. In fact, we will tell them that you can't fire first on the Chinese because you don't want to be the one that will quote unquote provoke the war.”

quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading: filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard (the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →

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