Didn’t hold up

The most confident predictions the public record went against, highest certainty first. · 20 clips from 5 shows, 3 minutes, hands free.

0:00 / 0:06exact quote · 6.5s

1/20Cohen: Nobody will use Concur, Amex GBT, or Salesforce by 2028

Ariel Cohen · 20VC · 2023Didn’t hold upfull source →

1Cohen: Nobody will use Concur, Amex GBT, or Salesforce by 2028Ariel Cohen · 20VC · 6sDidn’t hold up

2Avi Meir: Business travel in 2021 will surpass 2019 levelsAvi Meir · 20VC · 6sDidn’t hold up

3Fisher (2020): At 5% interest rates, every real estate investor goes bankruptAdam Fisher · Capital Allocators · 13sDidn’t hold up

4Lemkin: Employees joining a $1B unicorn in 2023 will make nothingJason Lemkin · 20VC · 11sDidn’t hold up

5Lemkin predicts Talkdesk will reach a $1B valuation within 12 monthsJason Lemkin · 20VC · 5sDidn’t hold up

6Bannon predicts Judge Merchan will sentence Donald Trump to prisonSteve Bannon · All-In · 3sDidn’t hold up

7Mostaque: No AI models available today will be used in a yearEmad Mostaque · 20VC · 3sDidn’t hold up

8O'Driscoll: Software valuations will never reach 20x revenue multiples againRory O'Driscoll · 20VC · 9sDidn’t hold up

9Emad Mostaque: No Current AI Models Will Be Used in a YearEmad Mostaque · 20VC · 3sDidn’t hold up

10Lemkin: Venture funding and valuations will never return to 2021 peaksJason Lemkin · 20VC · 5sDidn’t hold up

11Sacks predicts a Democratic midterm landslide defeat if focused on Jan 6David Sacks · All-In · 12sDidn’t hold up

12Dixon: Sugar will be the biggest killer of this generationChris Dixon · the a16z Podcast · 8sDidn’t hold up

13Andreessen: AI will never transform existing US K-12 public classroomsMarc Andreessen · Latent Space · 20sDidn’t hold up

14Carlson: Gavin Newsom will be 2024 Democratic nominee if Biden steps downTucker Carlson · All-In · 2sDidn’t hold up

15Casper Will Scale Physical Retail to Over 200 Stores by 2021Philip Krim · 20VC · 9sDidn’t hold up

16No AI Models in Use Today Will Be Used in One YearAlex Lebrun · 20VC · 19sDidn’t hold up

17MasterClass will be in every American home within five yearsDavid Rogier · 20VC · 6sDidn’t hold up

18Ek predicts US-Europe tech funding gap will close in five yearsDaniel Ek · 20VC · 5sDidn’t hold up

19Bar: B2B paper check volume will drop to zero within five yearsMatan Bar · 20VC · 11sDidn’t hold up

20Riccitiello: Viewers will walk inside 3D movie scenes within three yearsJohn Riccitiello · the a16z Podcast · 12sDidn’t hold up

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