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The Ledger, every show

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks, across all 44 shows. Pick shows below, then mix any filter with any other.

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Y COMBINATOR Assertion Supported
Kaplan: Scaling laws apply to reinforcement learning in AI training
“You can see scaling laws in the reinforcement learning phase of AI training.”
Jared Kaplan Jul 29, 2025 ▶ 6:15 Scaling and the Road to Human-Level AI | Anthropic Co-founder Jared Kaplan · Y Combinator
Y COMBINATOR Assertion Supported
Kaplan: METR found AI task duration doubles roughly every seven months
“And an organization meter studied this very systematically and found yet another scaling trend. They found that If you look at the length of tasks that AI models can do, it's doubling roughly every seven months.”
Jared Kaplan Jul 29, 2025 ▶ 9:41 Scaling and the Road to Human-Level AI | Anthropic Co-founder Jared Kaplan · Y Combinator
Y COMBINATOR Prediction Held up
Kaplan: AI training and inference will see 3x-10x yearly efficiency gains
“I think that over time, as AI becomes more and more widespread, I think that we're going to really drive down the cost of inference and training dramatically from where we are right now. Sort of, three X to 10 X gains algorithmically, and in sort of scaling up…”
Jared Kaplan Jul 29, 2025 ▶ 32:02 Scaling and the Road to Human-Level AI | Anthropic Co-founder Jared Kaplan · Y Combinator
Y COMBINATOR Assertion Supported
Kaplan: Claude 4 will store and retrieve memories across context windows
“Claude IV can blow through its context window with a very complex task, but can also, ah, store memories as files or records, retrieve them in order to sort of keep doing work across many, many, many context windows.”
Jared Kaplan Jul 29, 2025 ▶ 17:19 Scaling and the Road to Human-Level AI | Anthropic Co-founder Jared Kaplan · Y Combinator
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