Everything Nikhyl Singhal said on any show that made the record, most notable first. Each card names its show and opens the statement there.
Singhal: Half of PMs are 'information movers' who will become obsolete
“Now what we're essentially saying is the information mover is essentially going to become a dinosaur. And I think about half of the product people that were kind of, that grew into the industry, you know, have that skill and superpower.”
Singhal: Tech diversity and geographic breadth will regress significantly during AI wave
“Sadly, I think that geography and actually diversity is going to take a step back. I think that we were very good about driving more breath. As we grew the industry, we started looking at people who were from different backgrounds to populate it, including dif…”
Singhal: Product leaders will be paid for judgment while automating everything else
“Product leaders will increasingly get paid and be asked to drive judgment and then be the tip of the sphere on trying to essentially obsolete everything else through software, through AI, through agents.”
Singhal: Tech companies will obsolete mechanical product building within two years
“Within two years, I think most of these companies will obsolete all the mechanical parts of building product.”
Singhal predicts massive tech layoffs and AI-first rehiring in 12-24 months
“I predict in the next 12 to 24 months, we're going to see massive shedding of staffs and then massive rehiring. But the re you might see a company shed 30,000 and hire 8000, but the 8000 people they're going to hire are going to all be AI first.”
Singhal: Modern product delivery skills now matter more than prestige company brands
“Your brands don't matter as much as how modern you are in your ability to deliver product. In, in the past, I think for the last 10 years, it's like, have you seen the movie before? ... But now if every way of building software and how we deliver product is co…”
Singhal: Most listeners will change jobs within five years
“My prediction is the vast majority of people that are listening to this will be in a different job in the next five years, because they will either choose to move to something. Because they will, that company will struggle to stay modern. Just like we're descr…”
Singhal: Product leaders will disperse into non-tech industries to lead transformation
“So I'm like really bullish that product leaders are going to be like, you know, like those like dandelion, whatever you call it seeds when you blow it and they just go everywhere.”
Singhal: Boards will reclaim capital from overcapitalized startups in H2 2023
“And my sense is we're going to see, even in the second half of this year, Lots of boards pulling back, taking their capital back, companies essentially saying, hey, we're capitalized like we're a scaled ocean liner, and now we need to go find product market fi…”
Singhal: Top product builders are seeing record compensation and offers
“For a lot of the strongest builders in the group that I'm associated with, compensation is an all time high. They have more offers than they've ever seen.”
Singhal: AI tools will run across all app store software to fix bugs
“There's gonna be like some super skill that's gonna run against every piece of software that's in, in the app store. And it's gonna basically go in and it's gonna fix them all. And then they're gonna get released. They're gonna be like, oh, this sucks. It's ju…”
Singhal: PMs coding alongside engineering teams are just cheap knockoffs
“I think that if you have an engineering team of 50 people building things for your customers and you're like, Hey, I want to be the 51st because that's how I get leveraged. I'm like, eh, it's kind of a cheap knockoff of an engineer.”
Singhal: Building with AI requires strong opinions, not engineering skills
“You don't even need to be an engineer. You just have to be opinionated on what you want to see.”
Singhal: The tech industry conflates design with production rather than taste
“I think that there are pixel generators and then there are tastemakers. And I worry that in design, maybe the industry itself conflates design with more production and not with taste. And so I think there's a lot of companies that you would talk to, and even w…”
Singhal: Senior individual contributor PM tracks will solidify within nine months
“Those tracks from a promotion and from a industry, how we perceive it. Are hard to, they're not in cement yet. They're tender. You wait six months, you wait, you know, nine months, they'll become very, very strong and solid. And I think then we'll be able to l…”
Singhal: Pushing all PMs into management is a bug being permanently fixed
“And then for whatever reason in product managers, maybe because there were managers in our title, we just all became managers. Like what about the product? What about the other side? So I actually think it's a bug that has existed for a long time that actually…”
Singhal: Scaling professional peer groups destroys member trust and authenticity
“Six went to 12 and then 12 went to 15, and now we have 28 members. And a lot of folks are interested in these types of communities, but I'm so worried about scaling it because it's the enemy of trust and authenticity.”
Singhal: Product managers learn more from communities than managing single direct reports
“They will learn more from that community than they will learn from managing one random person that they were attached to managing in some project that may or may not see the light of day.”
Singhal: Early careers are for creating, while late careers center on giving
“I think that it's okay for you in Act One and Act Two to not predicate yourself around the notion of giving to others, because this is maybe the time on the planet where you need to take and you need to create. But boy, if you're going to work on an Act Three …”
Singhal: Product iteration will jump 10x to 100x as costs drop
“I think that there will be 10 to a hundred times more changes that will be presented to products than ever before, because now There, the cost of testing something, the cost of changing is going to be much, much low.”
Singhal: Product roles will see influx of engineering, data, and design talent
“Meanwhile, I think a lot of people going into product might be coming from design, might be coming from data science, might be coming from engineering because the ones that have judgment, the ones that can talk, the ones that want to stay current, they might b…”
Singhal: AI will eliminate the administrative theatrics of corporate alignment
“So alignment won't go away. It's just, it's not going to have as much theatrics. And I think a lot of companies that are larger do have theatrics that I think the eyes are going to remove.”
Tech workers will hold dozens of jobs due to short tenures
“Most tech jobs actually last fewer number of years than you may think. Two to three versus five to 10. So if you put the math together, we're looking at easily dozens of jobs.”
Foundation years diversify skills while power years leverage your superpowers
“If you think about the investments you make in the foundation years, it's to find a superpower. It's to diversify your strengths and experiences. But in the power years, you're actually leveraging that superpower. You're not broadening As much as leveraging th…”