The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 136 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Microsoft Invested an Additional $2B in OpenAI in 2021
“So after that, Microsoft invests another two billion dollars in OpenAI, which seemed like a lot of money at the time.”
David Rosenthal Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 2:18:35 Google Part III: The AI Company. Google is amazingly well-positioned... will they win in AI? (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Partly supported
Microsoft Announced $10B OpenAI Investment in January 2023
“January 23, when OpenAI hits a hundred million registered users for ChatGPT, Microsoft announces they are investing another ten billion dollars in OpenAI. And says that they now own 49% of the for-profit entity.”
David Rosenthal Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 2:37:39 Google Part III: The AI Company. Google is amazingly well-positioned... will they win in AI? (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Supported
Microsoft Originally Created the XMLHttpRequest API for Internet Explorer
“The origin of the XML HTTP request is a part of Internet Explorer, first implemented by Microsoft, and used in this part of Outlook called Outlook Web Access.”
Ben Gilbert Aug 26, 2025 ▶ 15:53 Google Part II: Alphabet (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Supported
Writely Founder Sam Schillace Is Now the Deputy CTO of Microsoft
“He would go on to manage all of Docs and Sheets, and I think he actually managed Maps at some point, too. He is now the deputy CTO of Microsoft.”
David Rosenthal Aug 26, 2025 ▶ 52:04 Google Part II: Alphabet (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Supported
Gmail Launched When Hotmail Offered Just Two Megabytes of Storage
“At the time, Hotmail, which as you said, Microsoft owns, Had two megabytes of free storage, and Yahoo Mail had four megabytes.”
David Rosenthal Aug 26, 2025 ▶ 8:02 Google Part II: Alphabet (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Supported
Ballmer: Microsoft's upgrade model threatened to cut company revenue in half
“We were selling upgrades and new licenses. And upgrades were, I can't, less than half the price of new licenses. So what does that mean? The company was headed to a world where its revenue was half of its existing revenue.”
Steve Ballmer Jun 2, 2025 ▶ 41:45 The Steve Ballmer Interview · Acquired
Assertion Supported
Ballmer: US Air Force was Microsoft's first big Windows customer
“Our first big Windows customer, at least as I remember it, was the US Air Force, and they were buying single copies of Windows.”
Steve Ballmer Jun 2, 2025 ▶ 32:30 The Steve Ballmer Interview · Acquired
Assertion Supported
Gilbert: Microsoft offered around $1M to acquire Zuckerberg's high school software Synapse
“Yeah, and I think Microsoft was one of them, too. It was for, like, a million-dollar acquisition offer or something like that.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 22:03 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Supported
Rosenthal: Facebook revenue reached $48 million in 2006
“In 2006, with this Microsoft partnership, that jumps to forty eight million dollars in revenue.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 2:02:46 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Partly supported
Rosenthal: Facebook had $150M revenue and broke even during 2007 Microsoft deal
“Facebook at this point in time is basically break even and doing one hundred and fifty million in revenue, most of which is Microsoft itself.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 2:47:26 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Supported
Rosenthal: Facebook reached $153 million in revenue in 2007
“And then the next year in 2007, again, I think almost all of this is Microsoft, that goes to a hundred and fifty three million dollars in revenue.”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 2:02:57 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Partly supported
Facebook Handled No Native Ad Targeting When Sheryl Sandberg Joined
“And when she comes on board, like you referenced this earlier, Ben, there's Basically no ad targeting that's happening natively on Facebook. Like there probably is targeting that's happening through the third party Microsoft advertising network, but none of th…”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 2:57:45 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Supported
Rosenthal: Microsoft pursued Facebook in 2007 after missing search to Google
“Microsoft, perhaps obvious now in retrospect to everybody, really just wants to buy the company. But Mark's, of course, not gonna do that after the whole Yahoo experience, etc. Microsoft is also happy, though, to just keep the partnership going and expand it, …”
David Rosenthal Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 2:41:05 Meta (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Supported
Rosenthal: LinkedIn generates over $16B in annual revenue
“Sixteen billion plus in revenue today.”
David Rosenthal Sep 30, 2024 ▶ 52:46 Acquired LIVE from Chase Center (with Daniel Ek, Emily Chang, Jensen Huang and Mark Zuckerberg) · Acquired
Assertion Partly supported
Microsoft's Entertainment & Devices lost $1.4B on $4B revenue in 2006
“If you look at the E&D reporting over time, let's start back in 2006. They generated four billion dollars in revenue, lost 1.4 billion dollars operating loss.”
Ben Gilbert Jul 22, 2024 ▶ 2:10:41 Microsoft Volume II: The Complete History and Strategy of the Ballmer Years (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Supported
Rosenthal: Windows 95 lacked an internet browser at launch
“There was one thing. That was missing from Windows 95 at launch. That if you were a consumer user of technology, of software, of products, of operating systems, maybe you kind of wanted to have. And that was an internet browser.”
David Rosenthal Jul 22, 2024 ▶ 5:32 Microsoft Volume II: The Complete History and Strategy of the Ballmer Years (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Partly supported
Gilbert: Microsoft grew annual revenue from $6B to $80B between 1995 and 2014
“From 1995, where we start our story, To 2014, where we will end this episode, Microsoft grew their annual revenue from six billion to eighty billion.”
Ben Gilbert Jul 22, 2024 ▶ 1:08 Microsoft Volume II: The Complete History and Strategy of the Ballmer Years (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Supported
Microsoft's Enterprise Business Has Never Had a Down Year Except 2008
“The enterprise motion of Microsoft has basically never had a down year. I mean, 2008 in the Great Recession. But other than that, like, chug, chug, chug, chug, chug, even through the bad Windows releases.”
Ben Gilbert Jul 22, 2024 ▶ 3:34:24 Microsoft Volume II: The Complete History and Strategy of the Ballmer Years (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Supported
Rosenthal: J Allard's 1994 memo coined Microsoft's 'embrace, extend, innovate' strategy
“In January, 1994, when a young Windows networking engineer named James Allard, or J as he goes by, writes a memo to Bill Gates and to the senior leadership At Microsoft entitled Windows, the next killer application for the internet. And in this memo, he points…”
David Rosenthal Jul 22, 2024 ▶ 14:34 Microsoft Volume II: The Complete History and Strategy of the Ballmer Years (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Supported
Rosenthal: Ballmer declared Microsoft 'all in' on cloud at UW in 2010
“In 2010, Ray Ozzie actually leaves the company, but as he's doing, he and Steve roll Red Dog, by this point in time renamed Azure, back into the server and tools business, and the two of them go to the University of Washington, and Steve gives a speech at the …”
David Rosenthal Jul 22, 2024 ▶ 3:46:31 Microsoft Volume II: The Complete History and Strategy of the Ballmer Years (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Supported
Rosenthal: FTC deadlocked 2-2 on Microsoft antitrust penalties in 1993
“So in July, 1993, the FTC commissioners vote on whether Microsoft is a monopoly that deserves further action and penalties, and they deadlock at two to two, which means essentially a win for Microsoft. No action would be taken against the company.”
David Rosenthal Jul 22, 2024 ▶ 55:31 Microsoft Volume II: The Complete History and Strategy of the Ballmer Years (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Supported
Gilbert: Microsoft invested $240M in Facebook at $15B valuation in 2007
“So the terms of the deal are, in October, 2007, Microsoft invests two hundred and forty million dollars for 1.6% of Facebook. So for those trying to do the math at home, that is a fifteen billion dollar valuation on the deal. Microsoft will get the exclusive r…”
Ben Gilbert Jul 22, 2024 ▶ 2:58:31 Microsoft Volume II: The Complete History and Strategy of the Ballmer Years (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Partly supported
Rosenthal: Dave Cutler built Azure's original hypervisor from scratch
“Cutler builds a new hypervisor that Azure runs on from scratch without using open source like himself.”
David Rosenthal Jul 22, 2024 ▶ 3:42:42 Microsoft Volume II: The Complete History and Strategy of the Ballmer Years (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Partly supported
Rosenthal: Appellate court permitted Microsoft to bundle IE into Windows in 1998
“Microsoft appeals Judge Jackson's order, and in early May, 1998, the appellate court rules that Microsoft can continue shipping Windows with IE bundled into it, and also continue to bundle any other features that they want as part of Windows, as long as it ben…”
David Rosenthal Jul 22, 2024 ▶ 1:02:40 Microsoft Volume II: The Complete History and Strategy of the Ballmer Years (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Partly supported
Gilbert: Windows and Office franchises generate more revenue today than ever
“Windows and Office have proven to be these ridiculously durable franchises generating more revenue today than ever.”
Ben Gilbert Jul 22, 2024 ▶ 4:13:54 Microsoft Volume II: The Complete History and Strategy of the Ballmer Years (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Supported
Judge Jackson Ordered Microsoft Broken Up Into Two Companies in June 2000
“On June seventh, 2000, Judge Jackson issues the final judgment in the case, and he rules that Microsoft did indeed abuse its monopoly power, and as a remedy for having done so, he orders that Microsoft be broken up. Into at least two separate companies. Separa…”
David Rosenthal Jul 22, 2024 ▶ 1:13:33 Microsoft Volume II: The Complete History and Strategy of the Ballmer Years (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Supported
Rosenthal: TVI provided Microsoft's only outside capital before its IPO
“The only outside capital into the company before IPO from TVI, and then Dave went on to co-found August Capital, where he's a partner emeritus these days.”
David Rosenthal Jul 22, 2024 ▶ 4:49:35 Microsoft Volume II: The Complete History and Strategy of the Ballmer Years (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Supported
Gilbert: Xbox Live achieved 40 million subscribers by 2012
“This is a group of people that went and created Xbox Live that by 20 12 had forty million subscribers.”
Ben Gilbert Jul 22, 2024 ▶ 2:13:00 Microsoft Volume II: The Complete History and Strategy of the Ballmer Years (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Supported
Gilbert: Releasing Office for iPad was among Nadella's first CEO moves
“The year later, we did ship it actually right after Satya became CEO. That was one of the first things he did.”
Ben Gilbert Jul 22, 2024 ▶ 3:58:25 Microsoft Volume II: The Complete History and Strategy of the Ballmer Years (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Partly supported
Gilbert: Microsoft revenue grew 3.5x to $84B during Ballmer's CEO tenure
“Revenue went from twenty three billion to eighty four billion. That's a three and a half X over 14 years. Operating income went from twelve billion to thirty billion. So almost a three X.”
Ben Gilbert Jul 22, 2024 ▶ 4:09:51 Microsoft Volume II: The Complete History and Strategy of the Ballmer Years (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Supported
Gilbert: Microsoft held over 90% share of PC operating system sales
“The fact is that they had over 90% of PC operating system sales.”
Ben Gilbert Jul 22, 2024 ▶ 1:06:30 Microsoft Volume II: The Complete History and Strategy of the Ballmer Years (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Supported
Gilbert: Three-Quarters of Corporate PCs Still Ran XP in 2009
“Even as late as 2009, so three and a half years after launch, something like that, three quarters of corporate PCs are still running XP and had never upgraded to Vista.”
Ben Gilbert Jul 22, 2024 ▶ 2:25:19 Microsoft Volume II: The Complete History and Strategy of the Ballmer Years (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Supported
Rosenthal: Microsoft Extended XP OEM Sales Two Years Post-Vista
“Microsoft OEMs were so unhappy because consumers didn't want to buy Vista machines. Microsoft had to extend the ability for their OEM partners to keep selling XP machines to consumers for another two years after this.”
David Rosenthal Jul 22, 2024 ▶ 2:25:32 Microsoft Volume II: The Complete History and Strategy of the Ballmer Years (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Supported
Rosenthal: Microsoft Intelligent Cloud generated $88B in fiscal 2023 revenue
“In fiscal, twenty-twenty-three, Intelligent Cloud did eighty-eight billion dollars in revenue.”
David Rosenthal Jul 22, 2024 ▶ 3:49:25 Microsoft Volume II: The Complete History and Strategy of the Ballmer Years (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Supported
Rosenthal: Ray Ozzie began recruiting for Project Red Dog in January 2006
“And so in January, 2006, Ray with Steve Bomber's full blessing goes and starts recruiting for a secret project within Microsoft incubated outside any of the existing divisions.”
David Rosenthal Jul 22, 2024 ▶ 3:39:21 Microsoft Volume II: The Complete History and Strategy of the Ballmer Years (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Partly supported
Rosenthal: Single-year enterprise agreements drove 15% of Microsoft's 2007 revenue
“40% of all dollars were flowing from multi-year EAs, and then another 15% of all dollars that Microsoft was earning as revenue were flowing from single-year EAs.”
David Rosenthal Jul 22, 2024 ▶ 1:54:34 Microsoft Volume II: The Complete History and Strategy of the Ballmer Years (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Supported
Gilbert: Microsoft offered $24B to acquire Facebook in 2007
“Microsoft puts an offer on the table. It's a very complex deal structure, but effectively what it does is it lets Facebook shareholders cash out over a long period of time as the company's value grew. So you're not taking all your money off the table today. An…”
Ben Gilbert Jul 22, 2024 ▶ 2:57:36 Microsoft Volume II: The Complete History and Strategy of the Ballmer Years (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Partly supported
Rosenthal: Multi-year enterprise agreements were 40% of Microsoft's 2007 revenue
“By 2007, analysts estimated that 40%, four zero, of all of Microsoft's revenue, which I think was about fifty one billion dollars that year. So 40% of fifty one billion dollars Came from multi-year enterprise agreements.”
David Rosenthal Jul 22, 2024 ▶ 1:54:06 Microsoft Volume II: The Complete History and Strategy of the Ballmer Years (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Supported
Gilbert: Windows Phone's Metro UI Design Originated from Microsoft Zune
“We're defining a really breakthrough new user interface called Metro that actually came from the Zune, which is funny that that's its lineage.”
Ben Gilbert Jul 22, 2024 ▶ 3:12:32 Microsoft Volume II: The Complete History and Strategy of the Ballmer Years (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Supported
AOL bought browser maker Booklink for $30M during Microsoft licensing talks
“They start negotiating. They're talking about a, call it, two million dollar license deal. And all of a sudden, AOL comes in and buys the whole company of Booklink for thirty million dollars.”
David Rosenthal Jul 22, 2024 ▶ 28:41 Microsoft Volume II: The Complete History and Strategy of the Ballmer Years (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Partly supported
Microsoft Market Cap Dropped 55% in 12 Months Following Antitrust Findings
“From late 19 99, when the findings of Fact came out, over the next 12 months, Microsoft's market cap dropped from six hundred billion to two hundred and seventy billion. Which was a 55% drop.”
Ben Gilbert Jul 22, 2024 ▶ 1:15:21 Microsoft Volume II: The Complete History and Strategy of the Ballmer Years (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Supported
Rosenthal: Ballmer's famous 2000 stage dance occurred during breakup threat
“The crazy dancing on stage. I love this company. That was in September of 2000. When they thought they were gonna get broken up.”
David Rosenthal Jul 22, 2024 ▶ 1:28:52 Microsoft Volume II: The Complete History and Strategy of the Ballmer Years (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Supported
Gilbert: Internet Explorer held roughly 90% market share in November 2001
“At this moment in time, Internet Explorer has right around 90% market share.”
Ben Gilbert Jul 22, 2024 ▶ 1:18:18 Microsoft Volume II: The Complete History and Strategy of the Ballmer Years (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Supported
Half of Microsoft's revenue came from Japan by 1979
“And by the next year, in 1979, half of Microsoft's revenue is coming from Japan, which is wild.”
David Rosenthal Apr 22, 2024 ▶ 1:17:35 Microsoft Volume I: The Complete History and Strategy of founding through Windows 95 (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Supported
A team of only 65 people shipped Microsoft Windows 3.1
“I mean, it was 65 people that shipped Windows 3.1.”
Ben Gilbert Apr 22, 2024 ▶ 2:52:04 Microsoft Volume I: The Complete History and Strategy of founding through Windows 95 (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Partly supported
IBM and Microsoft officially dissolved their OS/2 partnership by late 1990
“By the end of 1990, the Microsoft IBM divorce is official. IBM takes full control of OS two development back from Microsoft. Microsoft ceases involvement.”
David Rosenthal Apr 22, 2024 ▶ 3:07:01 Microsoft Volume I: The Complete History and Strategy of founding through Windows 95 (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Supported
Apple licensing Microsoft BASIC in 1977 was their first commercial deal
“And that's the first deal that happens between the companies. I mean, there's so many deals done both directions, commercial deals, equity deals, legal disputes in both directions. And this is the very first time that they do something together.”
Ben Gilbert Apr 22, 2024 ▶ 1:10:00 Microsoft Volume I: The Complete History and Strategy of founding through Windows 95 (Audio) · Acquired
Assertion Supported
The first version of Microsoft Excel was built for the Macintosh
“Far and away, the first thing to point out is the first version of Microsoft Excel was for the Mac.”
Ben Gilbert Apr 22, 2024 ▶ 2:26:28 Microsoft Volume I: The Complete History and Strategy of founding through Windows 95 (Audio) · Acquired
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