why aren't all 111 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Noam Shazeer Urged Google Leadership to Replace Search with Transformer Models
“Gnome, though, immediately starts advocating to Google leadership. Hey, I think this is going to be so big, the transformer, that we should actually consider just throwing out the search index And the 10 blue links model and go all in on transforming all of Go…”
Assertion Supported
Steve Jobs Lawsuit Threats Kept Pinch-to-Zoom Off Early Android Devices
“So Steve Jobs threatens to sue Google over implementation of multi-touch gestures. And so, as a result, Android for several years doesn't have things like pinch to zoom or the sort of swipe operating system UI navigation gestures, and I'm pretty sure if you re…”
Assertion Supported
Google Paid $2.7B to License Character.AI and Rehire Noam Shazeer
“Google ultimately in twenty-twenty-four, after ChatGPT launches, pays 2.7 billion dollars, I think, to do a licensing deal with Character AI, the net of which Gnome comes back to Google.”
Assertion Supported
Google Announced Gemini Reached 450M Monthly Active Users
“So they announced there are now four hundred and fifty million monthly users of Gemini.”
Assertion Supported
Google Operates an Estimated 2 to 3 Million Custom TPUs
“But today, Google, it's estimated, has two to three million TPUs. For reference, Nvidia shipped, people don't know for sure, somewhere around four million GPUs last year.”
Assertion Supported
Google Doubled Its Offer to Keep Ilya Sutskever Before OpenAI
“Google came back with a big counter, something like double the offer, and I think it was delivered from Jeff Dean personally, and Ilya said, nope, I'm doing this.”
Prediction Held up
Neoclouds Will Offer Google TPUs in the Coming Months
“I think within a year it might happen. There are rumors already that some NeoClouds in the coming months are gonna have TPUs.”
Assertion Supported
Google Owns Eight Distinct Products With Over One Billion Users
“It is wild that this one company has eight products with over a billion users and started this era with just one search that didn't even have a billion users yet, but search, Android, Chrome, YouTube, Gmail, Maps, Drive, Photos, and then if you count the Play …”
Assertion Supported
Google Maps Generates an Estimated Five to Ten Billion Dollars Annually
“They don't break out revenue, but estimates are that Maps does well over five billion in revenue, maybe even ten billion in revenue.”
Assertion Supported
Alphabet generates more net income than any other U.S. company
“Google, and I should say Alphabet today, generates more net income or profit than any other U.S. Company. More than Apple, Microsoft, Exxon Mobil, JPMorgan Chase, Berkshire Hathaway.”
Assertion Supported
Page and Brin told VCs only Steve Jobs met their CEO bar
“There's one person that we met in this whole process who we think meets our bar, who we would be willing to come in and hire as our CEO here at Google. Oh God, who is it? Steve Jobs.”
Assertion Supported
Chang: Analysts Value Standalone YouTube at $500B, YouTube TV Leading Cable
“Today you have analysts saying if you pulled YouTube out of Google, it would be worth half a trillion dollars, which is almost double where Netflix is. It's on track, YouTube TV, to be the largest cable provider in the United States.”
Assertion Supported
Novo Nordisk's 84% gross margins surpass Microsoft and Google
“Gross margins are better than software. They run about 84%. Lilly is also a very high margin company, running about 80%. For context, Microsoft has a gross margin of 70% and Google is 56%.”
Assertion Supported
Eich: Google only pays browsers for default search status
“Google only pays for default because they're king of the hill and they figure they'll get the traffic anyway.”
Assertion Supported
Larry Page Personally Approved $130M Nvidia GPU Order in 2014
“So they settle on a plan to order 40,000 GPUs. From Nvidia. For a cost of a hundred and thirty million dollars. That's a big enough price tag that the request gets elevated to Larry Page, who personally approves it, even though finance wanted to kill it, becau…”
Assertion Supported
'Attention Is All You Need' Is the 21st Century's 7th Most-Cited Paper
“As of today, in 2025, this paper has been cited Over a 173,000 times in other academic papers, making it currently the seventh most cited paper of the 21st century.”
Assertion Supported
Google's Monthly AI Token Volume Grew 50x in One Year
“In April of 24, Google was processing 10 trillion tokens across all their surfaces. In April of 25, that was almost 500 trillion. That's a fifty-x increase in one year of the number of tokens that they're vending out across Google services through inference.”
Assertion Supported
Google Acquired DNN Research for $44M After Founders Halted Auction
“And so they stop the bidding at forty-four million dollars and just say, Google, This is more than enough money. We're going with you.”
Assertion Supported
Google Generates Approximately $400 Per US User Annually
“Google makes something like four hundred-ish dollars per user per year, just based on some napkin math in the US.”
Assertion Supported
Google Reached Nearly 1 Quadrillion Inference Tokens by June 2025
“And between April of 25 and June 25, it went from a little under 500 trillion to a little under one quadrillion tokens. Technically 980 trillion.”
Assertion Supported
Jeff Dean Cut Google Translate Latency from 12 Hours to 100ms
“And Jeff's work with the team gets that average sentence translation time down from 12 hours to 100 milliseconds.”
Assertion Supported
Google Tied Company-Wide Employee Bonuses Directly to the Success of Google+
“Company-wide bonuses were based on the success of Google Plus.”
Assertion Supported
Android Smartphone Market Share Grew From 5% to 80% in Four Years
“In holiday, 2009, when the droid comes out, total Android market share of the smartphone market is still in the, you know, the G one range, like five, six percent global market share. One year later, 30%. They go from five percent to 30% in one year. They anno…”
Assertion Supported
YouTube Generates Over $50 Billion in Total Annual Revenue Today
“On top of the thirty-six billion in advertising revenue, Google reported that if you include subscription revenue, so this is things like YouTube Premium, YouTube Music, NFL Sunday Ticket, They're now doing over fifty billion in revenue.”
Assertion Supported
Google Play Store Generated $7 Billion in Operating Income in 2019
“In 2019, Play Store revenue was 11.2 billion. Then gross profit was 8.5 1,000,000,007 billion in operating income.”
Assertion Supported
Google Pays Apple $20 Billion Annually to Remain the Default Search Engine
“This is why Google pays Apple twenty billion dollars a year.”
Assertion Supported
YouTube Lost Roughly $1 Billion Annually on $30 Million in Early Revenue
“So after the acquisition, he said it was doing about thirty million in revenue. So they did have revenue. I believe, just to foreshadow our next chapter, that was in the form of programmatic advertising that was on the DoubleClick ad exchange that they were us…”
Assertion Supported
Google Acquired Android for Just $50 Million in July 2005
“So July, 2005, Google buys Android for fifty million dollars, five, zero million dollars per Android.”
Assertion Supported
Google Has Been the World's Top Advertising Seller for 18 Straight Years
“So every year, for the last 18 years, Google has been the number one seller of advertising of any kind in the world.”
Assertion Supported
Google Became the World's Largest Ad Seller in 2007
“This 2007 year, This is when they become the largest seller of advertisements in the world. Not just digital ads. Ads.”
Assertion Supported
Google Employed Nearly Every Top AI Pioneer Simultaneously in 2015 and 2016
“Between 2015 and 2016, so this next year, this next 12 months after the Alphabet transition, all of the following people were Google employees. Alex Krzyzewski of AlexNet. Dawn of machine learning AI. His PhD advisor, Jeff Hinton, godfather of AI. His collabor…”
Assertion Supported
Google gave AOL an 85% revenue share to dominate search
“Google will then share back
85 cents on the dollar to AOL for all of that revenue.
AOL wants two things in exchange for turning over their entire business in the search advertising world to Google.
One is, we want warrant coverage, so what they end up getting …”
Assertion Supported
Rosenthal: Google AdSense surpassed $1M per day in revenue by late 2003
“They launch AdSense. By the end of the year, so just a few months later, it's doing over a million dollars a day in revenue.”
Assertion Supported
Sequoia and Kleiner Perkins aggressively split Google's Series A round
“Famously, Kleiner and Sequoia end up splitting the deal, and Michael Moritz and John Doerr, the two most legendary VCs in the world, they team up, they join forces, they split the deal, and they both join the board of Google at the Series A.”
Assertion Supported
Google shut down Google.com in 1999 to serve Netscape traffic
“In 1999, they shut Google down so that they could serve Netscape's users.”
Assertion Supported
Yahoo invested $10M and powered Google's search backfill in 2000
“In June of 2000, Google signs the deal with Yahoo that they are gonna take over All organic search result backfills on yahoo.com with the Powered by Google branding, and Yahoo is going to invest ten million dollars in Google as part of this deal.”
Assertion Supported
Yahoo CEO Terry Semel offered $1B to buy Google in 2001
“As recently as late 2001, just months before, there's a dinner with Terry Semel, who's the CEO of Yahoo.
Kind of big media executive guy, comes in, takes over, is the big media CEO.
And he sits down with the founders and he says, so guys, I think we're your bi…”
Assertion Supported
Gilbert: Paul Buchheit originally coined Google's 'Don't be evil' motto
“Paul Buchheit is awesome, and recently launched a new venture fund, and actually the original coiner of the term, don't be evil, at Google.”
Assertion Supported
Jeff Dean built Google's first ad test using Amazon affiliate links
“Jeff Dean codes it up so that dynamically, as users are searching, if there's a query that is related at all to Any book in the Amazon library catalog, Google will dynamically generate a text ad saying, go buy this book at Amazon, insert an Amazon affiliate li…”
Assertion Supported
Jeff Dean built AdWords, AdSense, MapReduce, and Gemini
“He also implemented the first version of AdWords, built AdSense, rewrote the core search pipeline five times, co-invented and implemented Bigtable MapReduce, TensorFlow, and Gemini.”
Assertion Supported
Google AdSense originated from the prototyping process of Gmail
“And so the thing that led to AdSense Was actually part of the prototyping process of Gmail.”
Assertion Supported
Top VCs gave Google a $100M Series A valuation pre-revenue
“They just...
Paid a hundred million dollar post for a Series A company with no revenue.”
Assertion Supported
Facebook Surpassed Google in Daily Page Views in November 2005
“By November of 2005, they were getting two hundred and thirty million page views daily, which means that they had passed Google in page views.”
Assertion Supported
Gilbert: Pre-Facebook VCs routinely replaced founder CEOs with professional managers
“There wasn't Founders Fund yet. There wasn't A-sixteen Z yet. There wasn't like the notion of founder friendliness. What venture capitalists did is they invested in founders companies and then brought in management to take them to the next level. It's what hap…”
Assertion Supported
Google Sheets Users Are in the Global Minority Compared to Excel
“Excel is still the main way that spreadsheets are done around the world. I bet a lot of listeners use Google Sheets. We do, too. We love it. Also use Excel, but if you do use Google Sheets, you are in the minority.”
Assertion Supported
Gilbert: Apple makes around $20 billion annually from Google default search
“The rumors are that Apple makes something on the order of twenty billion dollars a year today in 2024 from Google as being the front door to Google, sending all of the iPhone search traffic to Google.”
Assertion Supported
Jeff and MacKenzie Bezos invested $250,000 into Google at seed terms
“So Rahm goes to bath for him, and he convinces Larry and Sergey to take another 250,000 dollars of Jeff and Mackenzie's personal money at the seed price.”
Assertion Supported
Yakovenko: A Solana transaction uses the energy of two Google searches
“The other thing about Solana is it's very, very energy efficient. So single Solana transaction is about like two or three Google searches. So if you think of it as using a web service, this is a network that, you know, takes as much energy as a regular web ser…”