Assertion Supported
Microsoft is the world's most valuable company at over $3 trillion
“It is the world's most valuable company worth over three trillion dollars.”
Opinion
Mary Gates was a powerful Pacific Northwest business figure
“It is not an overstatement at all to say that Mary Gates became one of the most powerful business people in the Pacific Northwest, period.”
Assertion Supported
Bill Gates Sr. co-founded the predecessor to K&L Gates
“He becomes a co-founding partner of the firm Preston, Gates & Ellis, which today, I didn't even realize this until I dug in the research, that is K&L Gates today, one of the largest law firms in the world.”
Assertion Supported
Bill Gates was Washington state's top math student
“He was the number one math student in the state of Washington.”
Assertion Supported
IBM unbundled hardware and software in 1968 amid antitrust scrutiny
“But an important thing that was also happening this year, in 1968, was that IBM was undergoing some antitrust scrutiny over that huge bundle that I just told you about. I mean, doesn't it smell like antitrust? They do everything from the hardware to the softwa…”
Assertion Supported
DEC priced the PDP-1 at $120,000, far below IBM mainframes
“So the first deck machine, when it comes out, the PDP one a few years before this time, it was priced at a 120,000 dollars. So like an order of magnitude, maybe two below a system that you would buy from IBM.”
Assertion Contradicted
In the late 1960s, every computer user wrote their own software
“There was no package software that you bought. The software that IBM was selling was the operating system to make the machines actually function, and it was the programming languages that you could then Program on, but you weren't clicking around and using Exc…”
Opinion
BASIC was the Python of its day for accessibility
“It's sort of the Python of its day. I think the way Python is now, where you sort of joke that Python is so flexible, you know, you can, like, accidentally write a program by writing English, and it can kind of forgive a lot of mistakes, and it reads kind of l…”
Assertion Partly supported
Bill Gates negotiated a $10,000 software royalty deal as a teenager
“And Bill now, who's the de facto leader of this group, he negotiates a deal with the help of his dad, Bill Gates Sr., prolific corporate attorney in Seattle, that rather than just being paid hourly for their time, they're gonna get a royalty on the revenue tha…”
Assertion Contradicted
Traf-O-Data generated approximately $20,000 in total revenue
“I think I read a few places they make about 20,000 dollars in revenue from it.”
Assertion Supported
Microsoft dropped 'running Microsoft software' from its vision due to DOJ scrutiny
“And then the part that got left off later when the DOJ started sniffing around was running Microsoft software, but that is the vision here.”
Assertion Supported
Steve Ballmer outscored Bill Gates on the Putnam math exam
“Steve is the guy that outscored Bill Gates on the Putnam exam.”
Assertion Contradicted
The Altair 8800 was the first commercially available microcomputer
“On whose cover is the Altair, 8800. The world's first real, honest to God, commercially available for sale microcomputer.”
Assertion Partly supported
The original Altair shipped with no keyboard, screen, or software
“Does not have a screen, does not have a keyboard, doesn't have a display of any kind. What it does have is it has a set of 16 lights on the front of the machine, like Christmas lights, and 16 switches. And you can flip the switches to flip bits, and then the m…”
Assertion Supported
Paul Allen wrote the Altair BASIC bootloader on a plane
“Paul gets on a plane, flies from Boston to Albuquerque, and, you know, in a total, like, epic legend moment, they didn't have a bootloader written for the basic interpreter. So they had the basic, it was all written, they'd done it on the emulator, and Paul's …”
Assertion Supported
Paul Allen hand-coded the Altair BASIC bootloader in pure octal
“On paper, by hand, he is hand-coding octal, not even assembly language instructions, like he's hand-coding in pure octal the instructions to load their basic interpreter program into memory.”
Assertion Open · timeframe Apr 2024
MITS negotiated Intel's 8080 chip price down from $360 to $75
“The list price from Intel for the 8080 chip was 360 dollars... He managed to negotiate a volume deal with Intel to get eighty-eighty chips at 75 bucks a pop.”
Assertion Partly supported
MITS received 4,000 Altair pre-orders and $1.5 million upfront
“After the Popular Electronics article comes out, they get 4000 pre-orders in the first month or two, which is one and a half million dollars in Revenue. Cash paid up front.”
Assertion Supported
Bill Gates and Paul Allen's founding equity split was 60/40
“Initially, it's sixty-forty ownership. Bill is 60%. Paul is 40%. Later, it gets changed to Bill is 64%, and Paul is 36%.”
Assertion Partly supported
Microsoft's MITS deal paid $30 per copy plus 50% sublicense revenue
“And the terms of the deal are Microsoft is to get 30 dollars for each copy of BASIC that MITS sells, plus 50% of the revenue that comes from These sub-licensing deals that MITS may or may not do with other companies who want to use the BASIC.”
Assertion Supported
Microsoft's lifetime BASIC revenue from MITS was capped at $180,000
“And the kicker on this contract is that the total Amount of lifetime revenue that Microsoft can make from the Basic. From MITS is capped at a 180,000 dollars.”
Assertion Supported
Microsoft's MITS contract required best efforts to commercialize BASIC
“And that clause is that MITS must use its best efforts to license, promote, And commercialize the basic broadly in the marketplace, and that any failure to do so by MITS would be grounds for termination of the contract by Microsoft.”
Assertion Supported
Microsoft generated $16,000 in 1975 and $22,000 in 1976
“Microsoft does 16,000 dollars in revenue that year from their 30 dollars a pop the basics that are getting sold with the Altair, which is great, especially the first year that they're starting. And the next year in 1976, everybody's so excited about this new m…”
Assertion Supported
MITS sold thousands of Altairs but only hundreds of BASIC copies
“Despite MITS selling thousands of computers a month, only a few hundred copies of BASIC are selling per month.”
Assertion Supported
Software copyright was not codified in US law until 1980
“And so with software, it actually took until 1980. Congress changed the law. We'll put a link in the show notes to like the literal congressional change that happened. And it is in Title 17, Copyrights, Chapter One, Subject Matter and Scope of Copyright. In 19…”
Assertion Contradicted
Microsoft's Altair BASIC was the first commercial software product ever sold
“This is the first time software has ever been sold. Other than the IBM accounting machinations to protect themselves from antitrust, which was just accounting, nobody had ever sold software before. This is the first time.”
Assertion Supported
Altair manufacturer MITS was acquired for $6.5 million in 1977
“So in May of 1977, MITS gets acquired by the tape drive manufacturer Pertek for six and a half million dollars”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
A 1977 arbitration dispute was Microsoft's only period of cash constraint
“The interim months while this arbitration is happening are the only moment in Microsoft's history where, like, cash gets tight. They're sort of running out of money because they can't really make any sales here.”
Assertion Supported
Apple licensing Microsoft BASIC in 1977 was their first commercial deal
“And that's the first deal that happens between the companies. I mean, there's so many deals done both directions, commercial deals, equity deals, legal disputes in both directions. And this is the very first time that they do something together.”
Assertion Partly supported
Microsoft licensed BASIC to Apple for $31,000 over eight years
“So like the Apple deal is 31,000 dollars for eight years. Of access for Apple, for the Apple II to Microsoft's BASIC.”
Assertion Supported
Microsoft generated $381,000 in revenue in 1977
“They end in 1977 with 381,000 dollars in revenue, despite zero for the first, like, 11 months of the year.”
Assertion Supported
Half of Microsoft's revenue came from Japan by 1979
“And by the next year, in 1979, half of Microsoft's revenue is coming from Japan, which is wild.”
Opinion
The Microsoft-IBM PC partnership was tech history's most important deal
“I think you can make a very strong argument, the single most important deal ever done in the history of technology.”
Assertion Supported
IBM's market cap in 1980 was $34 billion
“Thirty four billion dollars. That was the most valuable company.”
Assertion Supported
IBM mandated the Project Chess team to ship a PC within one year
“IBM leadership tells this team in Boca They have to ship the PC to customers within one year.”
Assertion Supported
Microsoft's 30-person staff outnumbered IBM's entire Project Chess team
“The Microsoft team of 30, which the whole company of Microsoft pivots to, like, work on the IBM PC Partnership is bigger than the project chess team in Boca.”
Assertion Partly supported
Bill Gates personally absorbed 3.5% equity dilution to hire Steve Ballmer
“In fact, it created some tension with Paul Allen, where Bill asked Paul if they could go to five percent. Paul said sure, and then Bill actually offered him eight and a half percent, and Paul got upset, and Bill said, I'll eat the three and a half percent. It …”
Opinion
Digital Research missing the IBM PC OS deal was a historic blunder
“What is clear is, however it goes down, this is one of, if not the biggest Business blunder in history”
Assertion Supported
Microsoft bought full rights to QDOS for $75,000
“Later on, before this all gets announced and the PC ships, Microsoft would pay Seattle computer products another 50,000 dollars for full rights to own 86 QDOS, sell and license it to anybody else indefinitely. So I believe the total amount of dollars that chan…”
Assertion Contradicted
All Windows operating systems released prior to Windows 95 were DOS-based
“Until Windows 95, all of the Windows operating systems were DOS based.”
Assertion Supported
IBM paid Microsoft a $430,000 fixed fee for DOS with no royalties
“IBM paid Microsoft 75,000 dollars for testing and consultation. 45,000 dollars for DOS. 45. And 310,000 dollars for an array of sixteen-bit language interpreters and compilers. So all told, bundled together, that is 430,000 dollars fixed that IBM paid Microsof…”
Assertion Supported
Microsoft retained full non-exclusive licensing rights to DOS from IBM
“Microsoft retained the rights To own DOS and to own their languages and license it and them to anyone else they wanted at any price on any terms.”
Assertion Supported
IBM sold 500,000 PCs within two years of launch
“They sell 13,500 IBM PCs within the first couple months after they announce it. Over the next two years, they sell half a million of them.”
Assertion Open · timeframe Dec 1994
Compaq set multiple rapid growth records and became the largest PC maker
“Compaq was the fastest startup to ever hit a hundred million in revenue, then the youngest firm to break into the Fortune 500, then the fastest company to hit a billion in revenue, and by 1994, Compaq was the largest PC maker in the world.”
Assertion Supported
Compaq reached $111 million in revenue in its first year
“They start the company in 1982, and within the first year, they do a hundred and eleven million dollars of revenue of selling IBM PC clone hardware.”
Insight
Microsoft used IBM for demand creation and PC clones for value capture
“Microsoft used IBM to generate demand for their software, and then they used every other PC manufacturer to capture the value. That all that demand created.”
Assertion Supported
Microsoft revenue jumped from $25M in 1982 to $98M in FY1984
“I believe that for calendar year, 1982, Microsoft's revenue was twenty five million dollars, and I think this must have been when they switched to fiscal year end and June 30th. So Microsoft's fiscal year end starting then and up through now is June 30th. So t…”
Assertion Supported
Technology Venture Investors provided Microsoft's only external equity dilution
“Spoiler alert, this is the only dilution that they would ever take.”
Assertion Partly supported
Microsoft IPO'd at a $750M market cap with $200M in revenue
“When Microsoft itself would go public a few years later in 1986, they actually go public the same week that they moved to the big campus in Redmond, where they are to this day. Their market cap at IPO is only seven hundred and fifty million dollars, despite ha…”
Assertion Supported
Microsoft generated $5M in revenue and $2M–$3M profit in 1980
“And Dave's remarking at this point in 1980, they're doing five million in revenue, two to three million in profit.”
Assertion Supported
Don Valentine refused to invest beyond a bicycle ride from Sand Hill Road
“Oh, Don Valentine famously had the rule, they didn't invest in any company that you couldn't bicycle to from Sand Hill Road.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
TVI's Microsoft deal produced one of VC history's best returns
“And that resulted in, depending how long TVI held, one of, if not the best venture capital return in history.”
Assertion Supported
Lotus generated more revenue than Microsoft in the late 1980s
“There are a couple of years in the late eighties where Lotus has more revenue than Microsoft. And is valued higher.”
Insight
Software makers must target platform shifts rather than fight entrenched incumbents
“You kind of have to counter position. If one, two, three is the best spreadsheet out there for the current technology generation, you just can't compete with them. You need to wait for the next big leap forward in order to find a new competitive vector.”
Assertion Supported
The first version of Microsoft Excel was built for the Macintosh
“Far and away, the first thing to point out is the first version of Microsoft Excel was for the Mac.”
Assertion Contradicted
Microsoft Excel was the world's first graphical spreadsheet program
“Excel is the world's first graphical spreadsheet program, and that's why it wins, and that's why it's so important.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Apple matched Microsoft's marketing spend for the launch of Excel
“And so I'm not sure this has ever been publicly disclosed before, but Apple spent just as much marketing Excel as Microsoft did. They matched Microsoft's marketing spend with their own campaign for it and split the bill.”
Assertion Supported
Steve Jobs showed Bill Gates the Mac project in 1981
“Steve Jobs Shows Bill Gates the Mac project in 1981. Three years before it ships. And Microsoft and Apple signed an agreement to work together on applications for it in 1982.”
Assertion Supported
Microsoft's first application bundle launched on the Mac in 1985
“So in 1985, in January, the bundle is released, and it was originally called the Business Pack for Microsoft. And it started on the Mac.”
Opinion
Lotus Notes pursued a dead-end path trying to be an operating system
“Lotus would really go down a dead-end evolutionary path with notes, you know, later in its life, in its final chapter, where the application was going to be the operating system.”
Assertion Supported
Microsoft announced Windows in 1983 prior to the Mac's launch
“Starting in 1983, they're like, we gotta Do our own graphical operating system, or at least user interface, and this is the origins of the Windows product, and they actually announced it in November of 1983 before the Mac ends up shipping, which their partner …”
Assertion Supported
Steve Ballmer took over engineering management to ship Windows 1.0
“Steve Bomber gets drafted to come in and be the dev manager for the final push to release Windows one point out, which is hilarious.”
Assertion Supported
Apple's 1985 intellectual property license covered all future versions of Windows
“Apple does do a deal to license a lot of quote unquote their intellectual property, which of course came from Xerox, to Microsoft. Apple, I think, was under the impression that it was just for Windows one point oh, but the actual terms of the agreement are thi…”
Assertion Partly supported
Windows was merely a graphical shell over DOS until Windows 95
“And actually, it was not until Windows 95 that Windows was its own operating system. It was in Windows one, two, three, three dot one, and Windows for Workgroups, it was a graphical operating environment.”
Assertion Supported
Microsoft generated $600M in FY1988 with almost nothing from OS/2
“Fiscal 88, they do six hundred million in revenue. Basically none of this is from OS two and the IBM world.”
Assertion Supported
Windows 3.0 doubled previous versions' DOS penetration in six months
“Windows one point O and Windows two point O only ever achieved five percent penetration of the DOS installed base. Windows three point O doubles that in the first six months.”
Assertion Supported
A team of only 65 people shipped Microsoft Windows 3.1
“I mean, it was 65 people that shipped Windows 3.1.”
Assertion Partly supported
Microsoft became the first software company to pass $1 billion in revenue
“In fiscal, 1990, the year that Windows three point O shipped, Microsoft does 1.2 billion dollars in revenue, making them the first software company ever to pass a billion dollars in revenue.”
Assertion Supported
Bill Gates became the wealthiest person in America in October 1992
“And that year, 1992, in October, is when Gates finally passes John Kluge, acquired OG fans. Back to the LVMH episode. Gates passes John Kluge of Metro Media fame. Media mogul to become the wealthiest person in America”
Assertion Supported
Microsoft surpassed IBM in market capitalization in January 1993
“January, 93, the crowning moment, it happens, Microsoft passes IBM in market cap”
Assertion Supported
Regulators forced Microsoft to end per-processor OEM licensing in 1994
“Now, this is, of course, the way that regulators would look at it in 1994, and that would get Microsoft in some hot water, and they had to agree to stop doing this practice.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Microsoft had no enterprise software sales experience until the mid-1990s
“The Microsoft you know today, as late as the mid-nineties, really had no idea how to sell or build software for businesses.”
Assertion Partly supported
IBM and Microsoft officially dissolved their OS/2 partnership by late 1990
“By the end of 1990, the Microsoft IBM divorce is official. IBM takes full control of OS two development back from Microsoft. Microsoft ceases involvement.”
Insight
Microsoft pioneered product-led enterprise growth decades before SaaS startups
“Everyone loves to talk about product-led growth, and how it's this new thing in the late twenty-tens, and how Slack, and Atlassian, and Trello, everyone figured out PLG in this bottoms-up, workforce-adopted way, rather than selling to procurement, or IT, or th…”
Assertion Supported
Dave Cutler is still writing code at Microsoft today
“Like, he's still writing code at Microsoft today, which is amazing.”
Assertion Supported
Microsoft had 75 million Windows users before Windows 95 shipped
“I mean, even before Windows 95 shipped, they had seventy five million Windows users.”
Assertion Supported
Only 14% of Americans had internet access in 1995
“Right at this point in history, only 14% of Americans had internet access.”
Assertion Supported
Only 360 people built Microsoft Windows 95
“There's only 360 people that built Windows 95, so it's still kind of a small team”
Assertion Supported
Windows 95 sold 7 million copies in its first month
“Windows 95 comes out, sells a million copies in the first week, seven million copies in the first month.”
Assertion Supported
Microsoft was the first software firm to reach $10 billion in revenue
“Fiscal 95. So this is the 12 months ending in June before Windows 95 comes out. Microsoft did 5.9 billion dollars in revenue. Fiscal 96, they did 8.7. Fiscal 97, when Windows 95 is really going, they do twelve billion dollars in revenue. First software company…”
Assertion Supported
Nathan Myhrvold founded Microsoft Research in 1991
“In 91, Nathan Mirvold started Microsoft Research”
Assertion Supported
The PC market grew at a 98% CAGR from 1975 to 1986
“From 1975 to 1986, 11 years prior to their IPO, so founding to IPO, PCs grew
At a compound annual growth rate of 98%.”
Assertion Partly supported
Microsoft did not pass IBM in annual revenue until 2015
“Microsoft would not eclipse IBM in revenue, you mentioned market cap, David, but in revenue until the year 2015.”
Assertion Partly supported
IBM's annual revenue did not peak until 2012
“IBM's revenue did not peak until 2012.”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
The early Windows OEM go-to-market team was only about 20 people
“I think the Microsoft OEM team for Windows was like 20 people or something. Before the enterprise, in this era that we're talking about, the group of people responsible for go-to-market for Windows was really small.”
Assertion Supported
Excel copied Lotus 1-2-3's keyboard shortcuts to preserve user muscle memory
“So a lot of the keyboard shortcuts in Excel to this day are there because they were originally the Lotus one, two, three shortcuts, and they wanted people to have the same muscle memory that just worked.”
Insight
Copying proven products delivers better risk-adjusted returns than being first
“So fundamentally what this does for you as a business is it just leads to better risk-adjusted returns. You already know what's going to work before you ship it. Like, you don't really take market risk. So you're not gonna be the first to the market with early…”
Insight
Microsoft's copycat apps could not win without major platform shifts
“The Microsoft versions never actually won until there was a platform shift that they could take advantage of to beat the incumbent. Like, Microsoft wasn't gonna beat Lotus one, two, three until the graphical paradigm came along, and then Excel being graphical …”
Insight
Document file formats created massive network effects before the internet
“The document formats are a huge network effect thing, even before the internet, even before organizations were networked and computers were networked outside of an organization. File formats. You're right. There's huge network economies to file formats.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Microsoft's 6,000-person Office team consistently hit three-year planned ship dates
“I did always think it was absolutely incredible when I was at Microsoft and we would ship a version of Office every three years, I worked on Office 15, that the entire 6000 person organization had a process in place where we could release to manufacturing, RTM…”
Insight
New tech generations shift value chain power from hardware to OS
“A new technology generation, when something becomes possible and opens up a new market, It enables a shift in the point of integration in a value chain. The old value chain of IBM, if you shipped the mainframe, you had all the power. But in this new world of P…”
Assertion Contradicted
VC Dave Marquardt first met Bill Gates at the Homebrew Computer Club
“So Dave had watched Bill present many years earlier at none other than the Homebrew Computer Club
At Stanford.
Yes!
The very place that is part of the Apple lore with Jobs and Woz showing off the early Apple computer.
Apparently, Bill also went and made a pres…”
Assertion Supported
PowerPoint creator Forethought was Microsoft's first major acquisition
“Forethought was the company that made PowerPoint. Microsoft acquired the first major acquisition for the company.”