why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Held up
Shankar: Full 6DOF standalone VR headsets will launch within 18 months
“There are going to be dev kits of that next year, and that shows that if you move the price point up, and if you move the timeline of another six to 12 months or 18 months, you do get a fully standalone headset that does have the full capabilities of six degre…”
Prediction Held up
Stromberg: VR distribution will shift from download stores to subscription models
“Initially where you know when you have sites like Steam and you know, Oculus site and all these will be the first places that you're able to sort of download, but I can see very clearly a time when you will have this sort of Netflix like library to choose from…”
Prediction Held up
Russell: PSVR sales will surpass Oculus before 2016 holidays end
“At the very least, they will probably surpass Oculus plus Rift combined before the holidays are even out.”
Prediction Held up
Sinofsky: Android OEMs will launch dozens of VR headsets by 2017
“Fast forward this, 1218 months, and you could see the reviews and the columns, and it's going to be the Samsung VR kit, the Xiaomi VR kit, and just like 12 different ones that are like the same but different, and people are going to evaluate those, and then th…”
Assertion Supported
Shankar: Microsoft WMR headsets launched at $350 compared to Oculus's $800
“But it's also higher resolution. It's at an affordable price point, so they're launching at 350 dollars. Rather than how Oculus launched a year and a half ago at 800. So it's lower price point, easier to use.”
Assertion Partly supported
Shankar: Total Oculus setup costs dropped over 50% in 18 months
“The PC, the headset, anything that you need, it's now more than half the price. That's a significant drop in a year, year and a half.”
Prediction Held up
Pantharatna: Oculus CV1 consumer VR headset will launch in 2016
“And we're still waiting for The consumer, which is like the super high quality version, which is coming out next year”