why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Didn’t hold up
McMaster: Apple faces margin pressure and negligible emerging market share
“I believe over time, Apple's even going to have products. You know, problems, because they're not going to be able to sustain these margins, and in these markets where Android is dominant, Apple's market share will be negligible. Right? As these markets contin…”
Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: Steve Jobs was fired from Apple for making products too expensive
“Steve Jobs got fired because he made the product too expensive.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Evans predicts Apple VR and cars are two to four years away.
“The two big things that are next for Apple are on the one hand VR, or potentially AR, and then on the other hand cars. But just from looking at the state of the technology, but those are both basically two, three, four years away.”
Assertion Contradicted
Rabois asserts Apple's profits exceed Google's total revenues
“Their profits are greater than like Google's revenues or something.”
Assertion Contradicted
Wenmachers: Apple has historically operated without hiring external PR agencies
“I mean, like, yeah, I don't think Apple has really used PR agencies. There are models where you don't have an agency at all.”
Assertion Contradicted
Apple acquires around a dozen startups per quarter
“And they buy a dozen startups a quarter, you know, but they spend a hundred million here and a hundred million there.”
Assertion Contradicted
Chan: China generated 29% of Apple's global revenue in 2015
“In 2015, China was 29% of Apple's total global revenues.”
Assertion Contradicted
Evans: Big Tech annual capital expenditure reached $34 billion in 2015
“Annual capex across these companies has gone from one billion dollars in 2000 to thirty four billion dollars in 2015.”
Assertion Contradicted
Evans: Apple devices account for the majority of global mobile web browsing
“Apple devices have a majority of all the web browsing happening on mobile devices.”
Assertion Contradicted
James Rogers: Middle Age monks preserved apples through winter using beeswax
“Monks discovered in the Middle Ages that you were able to dip apples in beeswax, and they would last throughout the winter.”