The Calls

⏳ Open 📼 The record

Every prediction date that has already passed, checked against the public record: green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly held up. Diamonds at the right edge were assessed before their prediction date arrived.

4held up → 1didn’t hold up → 0partly held up →
80%of resolved predictions held up
Everyone Marc Andreessen (14)Benedict Evans (13)David George (9)Ben Horowitz (8)Jared Isaacman (7)Dylan Patel (6)Alex Rampell (6)Frank Chen (5)Gavin Baker (4)Chris Dixon (4)Vijay Pande (3)Qasar Younis (3)
drag to pan · pinch, buttons, or ⌘/ctrl scroll to zoom
today 201820192020202120222023202420252026 FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep

The record (5) every resolved claim →

Prediction Held up
Rampell: Consumers will increasingly buy and sell homes directly with companies
“In the future, or even increasingly the present, you're gonna buy your house from, or sell your house to a company.”
Alex Rampell Nov 29, 2018 ▶ 0:07 When Software Eats the Real (Estate) World
Prediction Held up
Rampell: Banks will not compete with private fix-and-flip lenders
“So private lenders like Lending Home and Pierce Street do that, and banks aren't going to compete with them.”
Alex Rampell Oct 26, 2017 ▶ 14:57 The Future of Money: Banking on Fintech
Prediction Held up
Rampell: Apple and Google will fully open their mobile wallet platforms
“Apple and Google need to open up their respective wallets, but I think they will, because Apple and Google, if they want to build a powerful position and actually truly have the mobile wallet not just be a payment type that has three credit cards in it, But ac…”
Alex Rampell Jul 16, 2017 ▶ 25:06 What Happens When Mobile (Really) Hits the Wallet
Prediction Held up
Rampell: Repatriated corporate cash will fund buybacks, not innovation
“Exactly. It's probably going to go to buybacks M&A and dividends. And a lot of that is just kind of like reshuffling as opposed to actually building anything new.”
Alex Rampell Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 24:54 a16z Podcast | Technology, Mobility, and the American Dream
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Alex Rampell predicts US zero interest rate policy will last 8-9 years
“So and I think we're going to remain in, go to year eight and year nine. That's my own personal opinion.”
Alex Rampell Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 27:52 a16z Podcast | Money, Risk, and Software
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 1,000 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.