Jan 2, 2019 · 47m · a16z

a16z Podcast | Bots and Beyond

Chris Messina · 19m spoken Benedict Evans · 13m spoken Connie Chan · 6m spoken Sonal Chokshi · 3m spoken
0:00 / 0:00
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gold bands on the timeline = statements, start to end. Hover to read, click to jump. CC turns on captions

This a16z podcast discussion examines whether chatbots and conversational interfaces represent the next major computing paradigm following the era of web and mobile apps. Featuring tech analysts and industry practitioners, the panel analyzes platform control dynamics, user experience limitations, Chinese market precedents like WeChat, and strategic guidance for software developers.

How this conversation actually went

Every chapter scored 0–10 on four independent dynamics. Hover any point for the reasoning behind the score. The host holds 8.9% of the talking time here. How this is scored →

The host as informed peer 1.9 Guest teaching 3.3 Guest disagreement 3.8 The host pushing back 1.0
05100:0015:0030:0045:001:30–4:08 · The host as informed peer 1/10 Facebook F8 Bot Platform Features and Tech Industry Megatrends Benedict provides an expert breakdown of Facebook's F8 Messenger platform announcements and connects them to three broader industry trends. The host provides minimal framing, allowing the guest to deliver an extended educational overview.4:08–7:18 · The host as informed peer 2/10 WeChat Official Accounts Comparison and Chat UI Limitations Connie Chan educates the host on why pure text-based chatbots failed in China's WeChat ecosystem and why web views are superior for commerce. The exchange is highly informative as Connie reframes the host's question about bot efficacy.7:18–9:59 · The host as informed peer 3/10 Identity Persistence, Canvas Types, and Open Web versus Chat Sonal suggests chat bubbles are crucial for identity, but Connie quickly corrects her by noting web views maintain persistent identity just as well. Chris Messina joins to address critiques of his conversational commerce concept and clarify canvas constraints.9:59–13:07 · The host as informed peer 1/10 Distribution Models, Discovery Channels, and Operating System Platforms Chris directly disagrees with Benedict's claim about Facebook search and discovery models, pointing out friend-based filtering. Connie further emphasizes that WeChat functions as a full operating system rather than a mere chat interface.13:07–17:04 · The host as informed peer 2/10 Messaging Scale, Newsfeed Positioning, and Payment Infrastructure Integration Sonal introduces scale metrics comparing Messenger volume to peak SMS. Chris vigorously argues that Facebook checkout plugins in Messenger beat Apple Pay to the web and offer crucial low-bandwidth access for the developing world.17:04–19:16 · The host as informed peer 0/10 Global Identity Realities versus Western Assumptions in Tech Platforms Benedict shares an anecdote about Burma where account sharing undermines Western assumptions about online identity. Chris argues in response that maturing markets inevitably move toward persistent identity for commercial transactions.19:16–21:34 · The host as informed peer 2/10 Evaluating the Transition from Web and Apps to Bots Sonal prompts the panel on whether bots represent a true successor runtime after web and apps. Benedict analyzes platform dynamics, contrasting local service discovery on Baidu Maps with Messenger's generic search box.21:34–24:33 · The host as informed peer 2/10 Small Business Discovery, Social Channels, and Merchant Onboarding Chris explicitly challenges Benedict's view on merchant discovery, arguing Messenger offers small businesses low-friction access compared to custom apps. Connie then challenges Chris by questioning whether bot development is truly easier than webpage creation.24:33–27:01 · The host as informed peer 4/10 User Preferences, Frictionless Interaction, and Third Runtime Search Sonal steps in with strong host pushback, steering the abstract industry debate toward concrete user needs for frictionless customer service. Benedict acknowledges her point and expands on user convenience versus vendor app-install goals.27:01–30:28 · The host as informed peer 1/10 User Control, Advertising Overhead, and Closed Platform Formats A heated guest debate occurs as Benedict tells Chris his characterization of messaging control is 'exactly wrong' because messaging is a push channel while the web is a pull channel. Chris immediately fires back that users must initiate contact first.30:28–33:22 · The host as informed peer 3/10 Evolving Consumer Expectations, Authenticity, and Complementary Tooling Chris advocates for Snapchat and Messenger as narrow, authentic channels that strip out web ad clutter. Sonal grounds the debate by pointing out that bots act as complementary tools to existing web infrastructure rather than replacing it.33:22–37:12 · The host as informed peer 1/10 Platform Governance Dynamics and Defining Conversational Software Benedict quotes The Godfather to illustrate platform governance and user behavior dynamics. Connie calls out Chris's definition of conversational software, noting that the concept has existed in Asia for years.37:12–47:50 · The host as informed peer 3/10 Offline QR Integration, Diffuse Computing, and Advice for Developers The panel explores offline QR code integration and diffuse computing beyond smartphones. Sonal contributes an expert thought experiment on branded bot personalities, while Connie closes with pragmatic advice for developers considering bot creation.1:30–4:08 · Guest teaching 3/10 Facebook F8 Bot Platform Features and Tech Industry Megatrends Benedict provides an expert breakdown of Facebook's F8 Messenger platform announcements and connects them to three broader industry trends. The host provides minimal framing, allowing the guest to deliver an extended educational overview.4:08–7:18 · Guest teaching 4/10 WeChat Official Accounts Comparison and Chat UI Limitations Connie Chan educates the host on why pure text-based chatbots failed in China's WeChat ecosystem and why web views are superior for commerce. The exchange is highly informative as Connie reframes the host's question about bot efficacy.7:18–9:59 · Guest teaching 5/10 Identity Persistence, Canvas Types, and Open Web versus Chat Sonal suggests chat bubbles are crucial for identity, but Connie quickly corrects her by noting web views maintain persistent identity just as well. Chris Messina joins to address critiques of his conversational commerce concept and clarify canvas constraints.9:59–13:07 · Guest teaching 3/10 Distribution Models, Discovery Channels, and Operating System Platforms Chris directly disagrees with Benedict's claim about Facebook search and discovery models, pointing out friend-based filtering. Connie further emphasizes that WeChat functions as a full operating system rather than a mere chat interface.13:07–17:04 · Guest teaching 3/10 Messaging Scale, Newsfeed Positioning, and Payment Infrastructure Integration Sonal introduces scale metrics comparing Messenger volume to peak SMS. Chris vigorously argues that Facebook checkout plugins in Messenger beat Apple Pay to the web and offer crucial low-bandwidth access for the developing world.17:04–19:16 · Guest teaching 4/10 Global Identity Realities versus Western Assumptions in Tech Platforms Benedict shares an anecdote about Burma where account sharing undermines Western assumptions about online identity. Chris argues in response that maturing markets inevitably move toward persistent identity for commercial transactions.19:16–21:34 · Guest teaching 3/10 Evaluating the Transition from Web and Apps to Bots Sonal prompts the panel on whether bots represent a true successor runtime after web and apps. Benedict analyzes platform dynamics, contrasting local service discovery on Baidu Maps with Messenger's generic search box.21:34–24:33 · Guest teaching 4/10 Small Business Discovery, Social Channels, and Merchant Onboarding Chris explicitly challenges Benedict's view on merchant discovery, arguing Messenger offers small businesses low-friction access compared to custom apps. Connie then challenges Chris by questioning whether bot development is truly easier than webpage creation.24:33–27:01 · Guest teaching 2/10 User Preferences, Frictionless Interaction, and Third Runtime Search Sonal steps in with strong host pushback, steering the abstract industry debate toward concrete user needs for frictionless customer service. Benedict acknowledges her point and expands on user convenience versus vendor app-install goals.27:01–30:28 · Guest teaching 3/10 User Control, Advertising Overhead, and Closed Platform Formats A heated guest debate occurs as Benedict tells Chris his characterization of messaging control is 'exactly wrong' because messaging is a push channel while the web is a pull channel. Chris immediately fires back that users must initiate contact first.30:28–33:22 · Guest teaching 2/10 Evolving Consumer Expectations, Authenticity, and Complementary Tooling Chris advocates for Snapchat and Messenger as narrow, authentic channels that strip out web ad clutter. Sonal grounds the debate by pointing out that bots act as complementary tools to existing web infrastructure rather than replacing it.33:22–37:12 · Guest teaching 4/10 Platform Governance Dynamics and Defining Conversational Software Benedict quotes The Godfather to illustrate platform governance and user behavior dynamics. Connie calls out Chris's definition of conversational software, noting that the concept has existed in Asia for years.37:12–47:50 · Guest teaching 3/10 Offline QR Integration, Diffuse Computing, and Advice for Developers The panel explores offline QR code integration and diffuse computing beyond smartphones. Sonal contributes an expert thought experiment on branded bot personalities, while Connie closes with pragmatic advice for developers considering bot creation.1:30–4:08 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Facebook F8 Bot Platform Features and Tech Industry Megatrends Benedict provides an expert breakdown of Facebook's F8 Messenger platform announcements and connects them to three broader industry trends. The host provides minimal framing, allowing the guest to deliver an extended educational overview.4:08–7:18 · Guest disagreement 2/10 WeChat Official Accounts Comparison and Chat UI Limitations Connie Chan educates the host on why pure text-based chatbots failed in China's WeChat ecosystem and why web views are superior for commerce. The exchange is highly informative as Connie reframes the host's question about bot efficacy.7:18–9:59 · Guest disagreement 4/10 Identity Persistence, Canvas Types, and Open Web versus Chat Sonal suggests chat bubbles are crucial for identity, but Connie quickly corrects her by noting web views maintain persistent identity just as well. Chris Messina joins to address critiques of his conversational commerce concept and clarify canvas constraints.9:59–13:07 · Guest disagreement 5/10 Distribution Models, Discovery Channels, and Operating System Platforms Chris directly disagrees with Benedict's claim about Facebook search and discovery models, pointing out friend-based filtering. Connie further emphasizes that WeChat functions as a full operating system rather than a mere chat interface.13:07–17:04 · Guest disagreement 4/10 Messaging Scale, Newsfeed Positioning, and Payment Infrastructure Integration Sonal introduces scale metrics comparing Messenger volume to peak SMS. Chris vigorously argues that Facebook checkout plugins in Messenger beat Apple Pay to the web and offer crucial low-bandwidth access for the developing world.17:04–19:16 · Guest disagreement 4/10 Global Identity Realities versus Western Assumptions in Tech Platforms Benedict shares an anecdote about Burma where account sharing undermines Western assumptions about online identity. Chris argues in response that maturing markets inevitably move toward persistent identity for commercial transactions.19:16–21:34 · Guest disagreement 3/10 Evaluating the Transition from Web and Apps to Bots Sonal prompts the panel on whether bots represent a true successor runtime after web and apps. Benedict analyzes platform dynamics, contrasting local service discovery on Baidu Maps with Messenger's generic search box.21:34–24:33 · Guest disagreement 5/10 Small Business Discovery, Social Channels, and Merchant Onboarding Chris explicitly challenges Benedict's view on merchant discovery, arguing Messenger offers small businesses low-friction access compared to custom apps. Connie then challenges Chris by questioning whether bot development is truly easier than webpage creation.24:33–27:01 · Guest disagreement 3/10 User Preferences, Frictionless Interaction, and Third Runtime Search Sonal steps in with strong host pushback, steering the abstract industry debate toward concrete user needs for frictionless customer service. Benedict acknowledges her point and expands on user convenience versus vendor app-install goals.27:01–30:28 · Guest disagreement 7/10 User Control, Advertising Overhead, and Closed Platform Formats A heated guest debate occurs as Benedict tells Chris his characterization of messaging control is 'exactly wrong' because messaging is a push channel while the web is a pull channel. Chris immediately fires back that users must initiate contact first.30:28–33:22 · Guest disagreement 3/10 Evolving Consumer Expectations, Authenticity, and Complementary Tooling Chris advocates for Snapchat and Messenger as narrow, authentic channels that strip out web ad clutter. Sonal grounds the debate by pointing out that bots act as complementary tools to existing web infrastructure rather than replacing it.33:22–37:12 · Guest disagreement 5/10 Platform Governance Dynamics and Defining Conversational Software Benedict quotes The Godfather to illustrate platform governance and user behavior dynamics. Connie calls out Chris's definition of conversational software, noting that the concept has existed in Asia for years.37:12–47:50 · Guest disagreement 3/10 Offline QR Integration, Diffuse Computing, and Advice for Developers The panel explores offline QR code integration and diffuse computing beyond smartphones. Sonal contributes an expert thought experiment on branded bot personalities, while Connie closes with pragmatic advice for developers considering bot creation.1:30–4:08 · The host pushing back 0/10 Facebook F8 Bot Platform Features and Tech Industry Megatrends Benedict provides an expert breakdown of Facebook's F8 Messenger platform announcements and connects them to three broader industry trends. The host provides minimal framing, allowing the guest to deliver an extended educational overview.4:08–7:18 · The host pushing back 1/10 WeChat Official Accounts Comparison and Chat UI Limitations Connie Chan educates the host on why pure text-based chatbots failed in China's WeChat ecosystem and why web views are superior for commerce. The exchange is highly informative as Connie reframes the host's question about bot efficacy.7:18–9:59 · The host pushing back 2/10 Identity Persistence, Canvas Types, and Open Web versus Chat Sonal suggests chat bubbles are crucial for identity, but Connie quickly corrects her by noting web views maintain persistent identity just as well. Chris Messina joins to address critiques of his conversational commerce concept and clarify canvas constraints.9:59–13:07 · The host pushing back 0/10 Distribution Models, Discovery Channels, and Operating System Platforms Chris directly disagrees with Benedict's claim about Facebook search and discovery models, pointing out friend-based filtering. Connie further emphasizes that WeChat functions as a full operating system rather than a mere chat interface.13:07–17:04 · The host pushing back 1/10 Messaging Scale, Newsfeed Positioning, and Payment Infrastructure Integration Sonal introduces scale metrics comparing Messenger volume to peak SMS. Chris vigorously argues that Facebook checkout plugins in Messenger beat Apple Pay to the web and offer crucial low-bandwidth access for the developing world.17:04–19:16 · The host pushing back 0/10 Global Identity Realities versus Western Assumptions in Tech Platforms Benedict shares an anecdote about Burma where account sharing undermines Western assumptions about online identity. Chris argues in response that maturing markets inevitably move toward persistent identity for commercial transactions.19:16–21:34 · The host pushing back 1/10 Evaluating the Transition from Web and Apps to Bots Sonal prompts the panel on whether bots represent a true successor runtime after web and apps. Benedict analyzes platform dynamics, contrasting local service discovery on Baidu Maps with Messenger's generic search box.21:34–24:33 · The host pushing back 1/10 Small Business Discovery, Social Channels, and Merchant Onboarding Chris explicitly challenges Benedict's view on merchant discovery, arguing Messenger offers small businesses low-friction access compared to custom apps. Connie then challenges Chris by questioning whether bot development is truly easier than webpage creation.24:33–27:01 · The host pushing back 4/10 User Preferences, Frictionless Interaction, and Third Runtime Search Sonal steps in with strong host pushback, steering the abstract industry debate toward concrete user needs for frictionless customer service. Benedict acknowledges her point and expands on user convenience versus vendor app-install goals.27:01–30:28 · The host pushing back 0/10 User Control, Advertising Overhead, and Closed Platform Formats A heated guest debate occurs as Benedict tells Chris his characterization of messaging control is 'exactly wrong' because messaging is a push channel while the web is a pull channel. Chris immediately fires back that users must initiate contact first.30:28–33:22 · The host pushing back 2/10 Evolving Consumer Expectations, Authenticity, and Complementary Tooling Chris advocates for Snapchat and Messenger as narrow, authentic channels that strip out web ad clutter. Sonal grounds the debate by pointing out that bots act as complementary tools to existing web infrastructure rather than replacing it.33:22–37:12 · The host pushing back 0/10 Platform Governance Dynamics and Defining Conversational Software Benedict quotes The Godfather to illustrate platform governance and user behavior dynamics. Connie calls out Chris's definition of conversational software, noting that the concept has existed in Asia for years.37:12–47:50 · The host pushing back 1/10 Offline QR Integration, Diffuse Computing, and Advice for Developers The panel explores offline QR code integration and diffuse computing beyond smartphones. Sonal contributes an expert thought experiment on branded bot personalities, while Connie closes with pragmatic advice for developers considering bot creation.

speaking balance: gold is the host, purple is the guest (3 minute bins)

0:00 · the host 49.9% · guest 50.1%0:00 · the host 49.9% · guest 50.1%3:00 · the host 2.9% · guest 97.1%3:00 · the host 2.9% · guest 97.1%6:00 · the host 11.9% · guest 88.1%6:00 · the host 11.9% · guest 88.1%9:00 · the host 0% · guest 100%9:00 · the host 0% · guest 100%12:00 · the host 3.9% · guest 96.1%12:00 · the host 3.9% · guest 96.1%15:00 · the host 0% · guest 100%15:00 · the host 0% · guest 100%18:00 · the host 7.6% · guest 92.4%18:00 · the host 7.6% · guest 92.4%21:00 · the host 1.2% · guest 98.8%21:00 · the host 1.2% · guest 98.8%24:00 · the host 20.6% · guest 79.4%24:00 · the host 20.6% · guest 79.4%27:00 · the host 2.4% · guest 97.6%27:00 · the host 2.4% · guest 97.6%30:00 · the host 1% · guest 99%30:00 · the host 1% · guest 99%33:00 · the host 12.9% · guest 87.1%33:00 · the host 12.9% · guest 87.1%36:00 · the host 29.2% · guest 70.8%36:00 · the host 29.2% · guest 70.8%39:00 · the host 0% · guest 100%39:00 · the host 0% · guest 100%42:00 · the host 0% · guest 100%42:00 · the host 0% · guest 100%45:00 · the host 1.4% · guest 98.6%45:00 · the host 1.4% · guest 98.6%
Sharpest disagreement ▶ 28:49 Benedict vs. Chris on Push vs. Pull Channels

Benedict bluntly tells Chris his framing is 'exactly wrong' regarding user control in messaging apps versus web browsing, provoking an immediate counter-argument from Chris.

Hardest push from the host ▶ 24:31 Host Re-anchors Focus onto User Friction

Sonal cuts through high-level platform theories to firmly reorient the discussion around end-user friction and practicality, refusing to let the guests ignore actual user desires.

Biggest teaching moment ▶ 7:28 Connie Refutes Host's Identity Assumption

When Sonal assumes that chat bubbles are uniquely necessary for maintaining identity during transactions, Connie instantly corrects her by explaining that web views preserve persistent identity just as seamlessly.

The host holds their own ▶ 13:07 Host Grounds Scale Discussion with Messaging Statistics

Sonal demonstrates strong topic mastery by introducing precise metrics on Facebook Messenger and WhatsApp daily message volume, contrasting them with historical peak SMS numbers to set up the scale debate.

the scores for every segment, with the reasoning behind each
ChapterTopicThe host as informed peerGuest teachingGuest disagreementThe host pushing backWhy
Facebook F8 Bot Platform Features and Tech Industry Megatrends 1310 Benedict provides an expert breakdown of Facebook's F8 Messenger platform announcements and connects them to three broader industry trends. The host provides minimal framing, allowing the guest to deliver an extended educational overview.
WeChat Official Accounts Comparison and Chat UI Limitations 2421 Connie Chan educates the host on why pure text-based chatbots failed in China's WeChat ecosystem and why web views are superior for commerce. The exchange is highly informative as Connie reframes the host's question about bot efficacy.
Identity Persistence, Canvas Types, and Open Web versus Chat 3542 Sonal suggests chat bubbles are crucial for identity, but Connie quickly corrects her by noting web views maintain persistent identity just as well. Chris Messina joins to address critiques of his conversational commerce concept and clarify canvas constraints.
Distribution Models, Discovery Channels, and Operating System Platforms 1350 Chris directly disagrees with Benedict's claim about Facebook search and discovery models, pointing out friend-based filtering. Connie further emphasizes that WeChat functions as a full operating system rather than a mere chat interface.
Messaging Scale, Newsfeed Positioning, and Payment Infrastructure Integration 2341 Sonal introduces scale metrics comparing Messenger volume to peak SMS. Chris vigorously argues that Facebook checkout plugins in Messenger beat Apple Pay to the web and offer crucial low-bandwidth access for the developing world.
Global Identity Realities versus Western Assumptions in Tech Platforms 0440 Benedict shares an anecdote about Burma where account sharing undermines Western assumptions about online identity. Chris argues in response that maturing markets inevitably move toward persistent identity for commercial transactions.
Evaluating the Transition from Web and Apps to Bots 2331 Sonal prompts the panel on whether bots represent a true successor runtime after web and apps. Benedict analyzes platform dynamics, contrasting local service discovery on Baidu Maps with Messenger's generic search box.
Small Business Discovery, Social Channels, and Merchant Onboarding 2451 Chris explicitly challenges Benedict's view on merchant discovery, arguing Messenger offers small businesses low-friction access compared to custom apps. Connie then challenges Chris by questioning whether bot development is truly easier than webpage creation.
User Preferences, Frictionless Interaction, and Third Runtime Search 4234 Sonal steps in with strong host pushback, steering the abstract industry debate toward concrete user needs for frictionless customer service. Benedict acknowledges her point and expands on user convenience versus vendor app-install goals.
User Control, Advertising Overhead, and Closed Platform Formats 1370 A heated guest debate occurs as Benedict tells Chris his characterization of messaging control is 'exactly wrong' because messaging is a push channel while the web is a pull channel. Chris immediately fires back that users must initiate contact first.
Evolving Consumer Expectations, Authenticity, and Complementary Tooling 3232 Chris advocates for Snapchat and Messenger as narrow, authentic channels that strip out web ad clutter. Sonal grounds the debate by pointing out that bots act as complementary tools to existing web infrastructure rather than replacing it.
Platform Governance Dynamics and Defining Conversational Software 1450 Benedict quotes The Godfather to illustrate platform governance and user behavior dynamics. Connie calls out Chris's definition of conversational software, noting that the concept has existed in Asia for years.
Offline QR Integration, Diffuse Computing, and Advice for Developers 3331 The panel explores offline QR code integration and diffuse computing beyond smartphones. Sonal contributes an expert thought experiment on branded bot personalities, while Connie closes with pragmatic advice for developers considering bot creation.

Statements from this episode (29)

Assertion Supported
Chokshi: Chris Messina proposed the first Twitter hashtag
“He's widely credited with proposing the first use of hashtag on Twitter”
Sonal Chokshi Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 0:31
Assertion Supported
Evans: Facebook Messenger bot platform launched without viral distribution mechanics
“Very oddly, there's no sort of social or viral mechanic in it, which we can talk about a bit later.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 2:16
Insight
Evans: Smartphones act as non-neutral internet platforms unlike desktop Windows
“The smartphone itself is kind of, is a platform for the internet in a way that Windows was not. You targeted the browser, you didn't target Windows, but on the smartphone, you target the smartphone operating system, and it's not neutral. Apple and Google chang…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 3:10
Assertion Supported
Chan: Text-based chatbots failed on WeChat in China
“When WeChat first launched official accounts, a lot of them were more text-based as well with very Simple very simple graphics. They didn't have the menus at the bottom just yet, and a lot of official accounts weren't focused on the WebView concept and the app…”
Connie Chan Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 4:27
Insight
Chan: Chatbots slow down e-commerce; messaging should link to web views
“I think a lot of commerce actually doesn't need the conversation. And I don't think it, the dialogue, the back and forth chat is that additive. I take customer service aside from that because that's an instance where I feel like I want someone listening. I wan…”
Connie Chan Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 4:53
Insight
Evans: Chatbots work for customer support, not browsing product catalogs
“Well, there's some interaction patterns where that's going to work really well. Like if you want, if you placed an order online and you want to change the order or you want to see if it's available and you want to ask like an actual question, there's an actual…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 6:05
Opinion
Messina: Chatbots are currently dumb and shouldn't replace all web interfaces
“I actually agree with you that chat isn't the right thing for all things. One of the critiques that I got, of course, from the piece that I wrote about conversational commerce was, well, it was your critique, which is, well, you know, it doesn't make sense to …”
Chris Messina Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 8:34
Assertion Supported
Chan: Baidu Maps integrated local services like booking cleaners by 2014
“There is no chat functionality in Baidu Maps, and in 2014, you could already book a cleaner on demand through Baidu Maps. You could already hire a driver on demand through Baidu Maps. You could already buy a specific seat at a movie theater for a movie in Baid…”
Connie Chan Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 11:49
Opinion
Chan: WeChat is a mobile operating system, not a chat app
“If you think about WeChat, it, it's not Fair to classify it as a chat application, and it's not fair to draw all the conclusions that WeChat has achieved and say that all messaging apps can achieve that, because WeChat is much more an operating system. It is m…”
Connie Chan Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 12:08
Insight
Chan: High-frequency apps with payments can replicate WebView commerce ecosystems
“And in a sense, any app that has high frequency use case, has login, and ideally payments data tied to it could create the same WebView commerce ecosystem.”
Connie Chan Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 12:23
Opinion
Messina: Searching for the 'WeChat of the West' is unhelpful
“There is, and has been this meme, which I have nothing to do with and don't think that it's that useful of figuring out what the WeChat of the West is going to be. And it's actually not that interesting of a question.”
Chris Messina Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 12:46
Assertion Supported
Chan: Over one-third of WeChat users have linked banking credentials
“WeChat flourishes because over a third of their users already have their banking credentials tied to their account. And that's why So much commerce can happen with what, just one tap.”
Connie Chan Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 15:05
Assertion Supported
Messina: Facebook beat Apple Pay to web checkout integration
“And they beat Apple pay to the web, which I think is, is hugely important for the developing world and for people who live in environments that are not at all like ours.”
Chris Messina Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 16:39
Opinion
Messina: The web has completely failed as an identity and payment platform
“So when I think about the failure of the web as the platform, it's because it's so heavy. It's because, you know, ad blockers are in ascendancy because the web is so slow for most of the world that we don't have sensitivity to that. And so when it comes to ide…”
Chris Messina Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 16:48
Insight
Evans: Linking Facebook to personal identity is a Western assumption
“So the idea that this is about identity is kind of a Western assumption, that actually those people in Burma are using Facebook like Twitter, with no connection to their identity at all.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 17:47
Assertion Contradicted
Messina: Facebook Login is integrated into 70% of top global apps
“I mean, they said yesterday that Facebook login is used across 70% of apps out there in the world.”
Chris Messina Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 18:38
Opinion
Messina: Facebook remains a strong long-term platform as markets mature
“I think with a maturing market that starts to understand the power and utility of internet access and internet identity, Facebook is actually a pretty good platform to build on for the longterm.”
Chris Messina Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 18:54
Insight
Evans: Creating an app store inside Messenger just shifts discovery problems
“It's like, problem, the app store has two million things in it. Solution, create an app store inside Messenger. Problem, the Messenger app store has two million things inside it. Like, if you haven't actually done something, you have to do some other thing. Al…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 20:49
Insight
Chan: Web views inside messaging apps onboard businesses faster than full bots
“If you focus much more on web views and use the bot as more just a shortcut to go into the full-on web view, you can onboard accounts much, much faster.”
Connie Chan Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 24:17
Insight
Evans: Messaging platforms are push channels, unlike the pull-based web
“Facebook, those are push channels, whereas the web is a pull channel.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 29:04
Assertion Supported
Evans: Direct traffic accounts for only one-quarter of BuzzFeed content views
“There's a great chart from BuzzFeed, information from BuzzFeed on where people watch content on BuzzFeed. And, you know, it's one quarter is direct, and then it's YouTube and Facebook video and Facebook images and Snapchat.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 29:27
Insight
Evans: Closed platforms force publishers to adopt custom content formats
“You can look at Snapchat video is exactly the same as Instant Stories or Google AMP in a funny kind of way, even though one is that the bandwidth consumption is very different. But they're about somebody with a closed platform creating new content formats and …”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 30:04
Insight
Messina: Users abandon social platforms when aggressive monetization begins
“Successively, though, you see generations of people using social media abandon the previous generation once they move into monetization mode because they start to abuse the users.”
Chris Messina Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 32:16
Opinion
Chan: Text-and-single-image messaging interfaces severely limit commerce marketing
“At the same time, commerce is a hundred percent reliant on marketing, right? Commerce is built on marketing. And so if you completely strip down the way that you can market a new product to just text in a one image, it, it's very limiting for these commerce co…”
Connie Chan Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 32:44
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chokshi: Consumers will book on websites and manage itineraries via bots
“Like when I book my initial plane ticket, I'm probably going to go to a travel website. And then when I have the rest of those interactions about updating my travel and doing all the reservations, I'll do all that within a bot.”
Sonal Chokshi Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 33:12
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Evans: Facebook Messenger lacks WeChat's circular network effect
“WeChat has achieved the point that its success is circular, that you have to be on WeChat because everyone's on WeChat. Everyone's on WeChat because everyone's on WeChat. All brands are on it. And Facebook clearly isn't in that position at all. Certainly not o…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 33:22
Insight
Evans: Mark Zuckerberg excels at adapting Facebook to user behavior trends
“What Zuckerberg is extremely good at is surfing user behavior. And that if anything is unbalancing the surfboard, he pushes them off.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 34:05
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Messina: Conversational software is a paradigm spanning chat and voice platforms
“It's about conversational software as being a new paradigm for releasing and launching services, features, and tools in a way that previously people didn't have that expectation. And so that's the shift that I see in terms of this new runtime and that those co…”
Chris Messina Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 36:10
Insight
Evans: Building on Facebook risks sudden 75% traffic loss
“The challenge is that you have that nice, easy, frictionless experience and you're on Facebook and then you wake up one morning and your traffic's down by three quarters.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 43:20
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