small models

also referred to as: small model

4 statements across 4 episodes · 1 bullish · 0 bearish · 4 people on the record · first statement Sep 25, 2023 by Mira Murati · across every show →

Everything said about small models, oldest first

Sep 25, 2023 neutral

Prediction Not checkable as stated

Murati: AI market will feature a diverse range of models

“You can see even today, you know, we make a lot of models available through our API and from the various, from the very small models to our frontier models, and people don't always need to use The most powerful, the most capable model. Sometimes they just need…”

Mira Murati Sep 25, 2023 ▶ 21:59 Where We Go From Here with OpenAI's Mira Murati

Dec 12, 2025

Prediction Didn’t hold up

Evans: On-device AI models will fail as capability gains outpace compression

“Will we have small models running on devices? No, because the small models, the capabilities are moving too fast for the small models to shrink the small model onto the device.”

Benedict Evans Dec 12, 2025 ▶ 52:37 AI Eats the World: Benedict Evans on the Next Platform Shift

Jan 7, 2026 neutral

Assertion Not checkable as stated

Andreessen: Small AI models match frontier capabilities within 6 to 12 months

“If you track the capability of the leading edge models over time, what you find is after six or 12 months, there's a small model that's just as capable.”

Marc Andreessen Jan 7, 2026 ▶ 16:42 Marc Andreessen's 2026 Outlook: AI Timelines, US vs. China, and The Price of AI

Jul 30, 2026 positive

Insight

Zhang: Fine-tuned small models can match or beat large frontier models

“And if you fine tune it to be really good at that task, it can be just as good or better than the big models.”

Jesse Zhang Jul 30, 2026 ▶ 3:45 How Decagon Runs 90% of Its Agents on Open-Source Models

small models

Everything said about small models, oldest first

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