self-driving cars

also referred to as: self-driving car

21 statements across 12 episodes · 15 bullish · 3 bearish · 7 people on the record · first statement Jul 15, 2017 by Peter Levine · across every show →

Everything said about self-driving cars, oldest first

Jul 15, 2017 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Levine: Future autonomous vehicles will house hundreds of onboard computers
“A self-driving car in the not-to-existent future may have a hundred of these cards, maybe 200 of these computers that are inside the card.”
Peter Levine Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 4:59 The End of Cloud Computing
Jul 15, 2017
Assertion Supported
Levine: Self-driving cars generate 10GB of data per mile
“A self-driving car generates about 10 gigabytes of data per mile.”
Peter Levine Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 14:43 The End of Cloud Computing
Jul 15, 2017 positive
Insight
Levine: Autonomous edge devices are effectively domain-specific mobile data centers
“You think about a self-driving car, it's effectively a data center on wheels. And a drone is a data center with wings, and a robot is a data center with arms and legs, and a boat is a floating data center”
Peter Levine Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 4:01 The End of Cloud Computing
Jul 16, 2017 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chen: Self-Driving Cars Will Blend Deep Learning and Rule-Based Code
“And so I think we're going to see some blend of these techniques, but it's a tribute to the power of deep learning and how effective those techniques that we're even having this conversation that you could build an end to end deep learning car.”
Frank Chen Jul 16, 2017 ▶ 10:08 16 Questions About Self Driving Cars
Jul 16, 2017 bullish
Opinion
Chen: Society Must Deploy Autonomous Cars Immediately Despite Temporary Accident Increases
“Morally, from a social point of view, we should try to get self-driving cars on the road as soon as possible, even if we get this small tick up in new types of accidents that we've never seen before due to the interaction, because the self-driving algorithms w…”
Frank Chen Jul 16, 2017 ▶ 25:46 16 Questions About Self Driving Cars
Feb 3, 2018 positive
Insight
Chen: Normal historical grid expansion rates can support an all-electric fleet
“So if you added 15 gigawatts every year for 30 years, you could get to 450 gigawatts, which is just about the forecast capacity needed. So it looks like we don't have to do anything incredibly unnatural to get to the electricity production levels that we're go…”
Frank Chen Feb 3, 2018 ▶ 5:06 The Autonomy Ecosystem: Energy (4 of 8)
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2020
Andreessen: Hedge funds will buy and own autonomous car fleets
“I think self-driving cars are actually gonna be, I think they're actually gonna be owned by hedge funds. So I guarantee they're not going to want to take responsibility. So I think what's going to happen is hedge funds are going to spend a billion dollars and …”
Marc Andreessen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 27:57 a16z Podcast | Security's Painful Prominence and Why There is No Turning Back
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Prediction Held up
Evans: Early autonomous vehicles will navigate independently, not in city meshes
“The first self-driving car is not going to be part of a mesh of every car in the city. You're going to get into the car and say, I want to go here, and it will have to work out how to get there.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 17:15 a16z Podcast | When Software Eats Cars
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Opinion
Evans: Self-driving buses will not be as transformative as self-driving cars
“I don't think a self-driving bus is, is, is kind of transformative in the way the self-driving car is, because there's always got to, you know, that's, you know, the space taken up by the driver isn't really the point.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 13:05 a16z Podcast | When Software Eats Cars
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Evans: Autonomous cars will shrink personal vehicle ownership significantly
“The point is that self-driving cars, therefore, make on-demand services much, much, much bigger, and they tend to result, therefore, in many fewer people owning a car.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 6:15 a16z Podcast | When Software Eats Cars
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Insight
Evans: Self-driving cars will reshape urban real estate and city layouts
“What self-driving does is it transforms the layout of the city because things like parking and gas stations and strip malls and the kind of the whole layout of the retail and commercial real estate starts to change because it's all built around parking as much…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 5:23 a16z Podcast | When Software Eats Cars
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Assertion Supported
Evans: The technology for fully self-driving cars does not exist
“Making a self-driving car, we do not yet have the technology to make self-driving cars.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 20:24 a16z Podcast | When Software Eats Cars
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Evans: Self-driving car insurance will cost half as much due to safety
“And those cars don't have a driver, and the insurance probably costs half as much because self-driving cars don't have accidents in the same way, because the error rate will be lower, and so the price of those self-driving, of those on-demand services will be …”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 5:49 a16z Podcast | When Software Eats Cars
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Paulus: Ridesharing platforms will deliver self-driving cars to mass market first
“Services like Lyft and Uber which will likely be the first delivery mechanism on the, for the mass market for self-driving cars.”
Mike Paulus Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 14:22 a16z Podcast | Reinventing Insurance
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Andreessen: Self-driving cars will reduce traffic fatalities close to zero
“If the self-driving car works the way that it does, you could take that number very close to zero. Self-driving cars really should never get into accidents, because they just know so much more about what's happening around them, and by the way, they don't get …”
Marc Andreessen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 23:11 a16z Podcast | Investing in (Business and Career) Change
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Supported
Autonomous vehicles generate 10 gigabytes of data per mile driven
“Self-driving car collects 10 gigabytes of data a mile, right?”
Peter Levine Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 8:44 a16z Podcast | The Storage Renaissance
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Edge endpoints will process data locally instead of centralized streaming
“If you think about the new world of distributed computing, the data that gets collected in a self-driving car or some endpoint is going to be, the information will be processed at that endpoint. It won't be translated back to a central storage pool. The inform…”
Peter Levine Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 8:18 a16z Podcast | The Storage Renaissance
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Wu: Rural areas will require human drivers for a long time
“And also, I think for self-driving cars it will heavily rely on data, especially mapping data. So, I think for certain space, like rural regions or tough road, and people seldom drive, we don't have enough data there, it's probably still need human drivers the…”
James Wu Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 14:03 a16z Podcast | Self-Driving Cars — Where Are We, Really?
Dec 30, 2019 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chen: Most technology for autonomous pod transportation already exists
“It turns out that most of the technology that we need to build the Autopod already exists, because it's a subset of what we need to build for self-driving cars.”
Frank Chen Dec 30, 2019 ▶ 31:20 Imagining Our Future Through Tech
Jan 9, 2023 positive
Assertion Supported
Andreessen: Self-driving cars already have lower accident rates than humans
“And the way that self-driving cars score this is accidents per thousand miles driven, and self-driving cars are already lower than human drivers.”
Marc Andreessen Jan 9, 2023 ▶ 24:32 Expert AI as a Healthcare Superpower
Dec 20, 2023 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pande: Delaying self-driving cars increases preventable driver fatalities
“Or like the self-driving cars, right? Like self-driving cars now in many cases could be safer than human drivers, but you make if, but they won't be perfect, but people I think can't reason that actually you're killing people by having humans drive once self-d…”
Vijay Pande Dec 20, 2023 ▶ 56:21 Tony Robbins on the Future of Health & Longevity
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