scaling laws
also referred to as: scaling law
8 statements across 6 episodes · 7 bullish · 0 bearish · 6 people on the record · first statement Sep 25, 2023 by Dario Amodei · across every show →
Everything said about scaling laws, oldest first
Sep 25, 2023 bullish
Amodei: AI scaling laws will continue driving improvements without algorithmic breakthroughs
“I think we are on track, even if there were no algorithmic improvements from here, even if we just scaled up what we had so far, ah, I think the scaling laws are going to continue, and I think that's going to lead to amazing improvements.”
Sep 25, 2023 bullish
Amodei: Next-word prediction scaling has no limits and will continue
“Our view was that, look, this is the beginning of something amazing because there's no limit and you can continue to scale it up. And there's no reason why the patterns we've seen before won't continue to hold. The objective of predicting the next word is so r…”
Sep 25, 2023 bullish
Amodei: AI inference will remain affordable over next 3-4 years
“I think my basic view is that inference will not get that much more expensive. The simple, you know, the basic logic of the scaling laws is that if you increase compute by a factor of n, you need to increase data by a factor of square root of n. And size the m…”
Sep 25, 2023 bullish
Sep 25, 2023 bullish
Feb 14, 2025 positive
Sep 30, 2025 positive
Oct 14, 2025 neutral
Labenz: AI scaling laws are empirical observations, not guaranteed natural laws
“The scaling law idea, which is, you know, it's definitely worth agreeing, taking a moment to note that it is not a law of nature. You know, we do not have a principled reason to believe that scaling is some law that will go indefinitely. All we really know is …”