prediction markets

5 statements across 1 episodes · 4 bullish · 0 bearish · 2 people on the record · first statement Nov 21, 2025 by Vlad Tenev · across every show →

Everything said about prediction markets, oldest first

Nov 21, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
Tenev: Prediction markets are currently Robinhood's fastest-growing business segment
“Like who would have guessed two years ago that prediction markets would be our fastest growing business.”
Vlad Tenev Nov 21, 2025 ▶ 52:28 Robinhood CEO: Making Everyone An Owner
Nov 21, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Tenev: Prediction markets could become a major asset class and news source
“And prediction markets solve that, which is why I think for traders, it has the potential to become a really big market. And for mass market consumers, it could be a better source of news and forecasting.”
Vlad Tenev Nov 21, 2025 ▶ 1:00:38 Robinhood CEO: Making Everyone An Owner
Nov 21, 2025 positive
Insight
Tenev: Prediction markets yield more accurate forecasts than traditional polls
“Well, prediction markets actually Take advantage of all of these sort of, like, forces to consolidate into a more accurate forecast. That's not a guess. It's not a poll. It's, you know, a price formed by people with real skin in the game.”
Vlad Tenev Nov 21, 2025 ▶ 1:01:08 Robinhood CEO: Making Everyone An Owner
Nov 21, 2025 positive
Opinion
Rampell: Prediction markets gather information more efficiently than the CIA
“And this is a much more efficient truth machine than, like, the central intelligence agency, if you think about it.”
Alex Rampell Nov 21, 2025 ▶ 1:02:38 Robinhood CEO: Making Everyone An Owner
Nov 21, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Tenev: Unregulated prediction markets will move offshore like crypto
“And I think that's the best argument for doing prediction markets inside a regulated framework, because if we don't they could go offshore much like a lot of the crypto business.”
Vlad Tenev Nov 21, 2025 ▶ 1:03:11 Robinhood CEO: Making Everyone An Owner
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