personal computer

also referred to as: pcs · personal computers

15 statements across 10 episodes · 5 bullish · 3 bearish · 4 people on the record · first statement Jul 15, 2017 by Benedict Evans · across every show →

Everything said about personal computer, oldest first

Jul 15, 2017 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Evans: Mobile represents a 10x economic opportunity over PCs by 2020
“So there are two or three times more smartphones and PCs by 20 20, but you need to multiply those smartphones because they're personal and they're taken everywhere and they're frictionless and they have sensors and cameras and payments and all these other thin…”
Benedict Evans Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 3:57 Mobile Is Eating the World, 2014
Jul 15, 2017 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Evans: Mobile makes technology a universal product for the first time
“I think the first, and really the most important, is the sense that mobile is really making technology a universal product. That is to say, we sold mainframes to big companies, and we sold PCs to middle class families, and we sold technology in one way or anot…”
Benedict Evans Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 0:06 Mobile Is Eating the World, 2015
Jul 15, 2017 bearish
Assertion Supported
Evans: The global PC base of 1.5 billion is starting to decline
“We have about one and a half billion PCs on earth, and you can see that growth coming up. Over the last couple of decades and now flattening out and starting to decline.”
Benedict Evans Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 0:37 Mobile Is Eating the World, 2016
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Supported
Sinofsky: Most consumers regularly use only seven apps on phones and PCs
“Most everybody is going to just use about seven apps on their phone. And the same holds for PCs.”
Steven Sinofsky Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 10:53 a16z Podcast | The Topic That's Lasted the Entire History of Computing -- Bundling and Unbundling
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Assertion Supported
Chou: 1980s personal computer marketing shifted to target boys and men
“In the eighties, computers started to become more popular. They started to become this concept of like personal computers that people would actually bring to their homes, but they started to become more marketed as things for boys and men.”
Tracy Chow Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 16:35 a16z Podcast | Coding as Literacy
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Prediction Partly held up
Evans predicts global hardware will settle at 4 to 5 billion smartphones
“There's probably two billion smartphones on earth today, maybe two and a half billion, and the great majority of those mobile phones will convert. And so we'll end up with something like one and a half billion PCs and four to five billion smartphones and those…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 2:52 a16z Podcast | A Copernican Update ... In Tech, the Smartphone is the Center
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Supported
Evans: Only 700 to 800 million PCs worldwide are in consumer homes
“And PCs are about one and a half billion, and half of those are corporate. So it's eight hundred million PCs, or seven or eight hundred million PCs that are in someone's home.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 12:50 a16z Podcast | A Copernican Update ... In Tech, the Smartphone is the Center
Jan 2, 2019
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Evans: Autonomous vehicle fleets will be bought like corporate IT hardware
“They're not getting chosen based on how nice it feels when you slam the door and, you know, the diamond cut chamfered edges. They're getting bought in the same way that Hertz buys cars, and they're getting bought in the same way that a big company buys PCs. Th…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 7:45 a16z Podcast | When Software Eats Cars
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Insight
Evans: Simplified EV manufacturing will lower entry barriers for tech companies
“And so a little bit like what happened with PCs or smartphones 10 years and 20 years ago you move to a point that it may be easier for people who are not in the car business to be in the car business, because the amount of stuff that you have to make, how that…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 2:48 a16z Podcast | When Software Eats Cars
Jan 2, 2019 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sinofsky: PCs will become super expensive and niche like mainframes
“PCs are going to get super expensive now. Like, and everything about them is, it's just like buying a mainframe. Like, today, you can, if you're a big insurance company running mainframe software, you can hire programmers, you can get new features. It's just 1…”
Steven Sinofsky Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 19:10 a16z Podcast | So Where Are We on the 'S-curve' for PC Devices?
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Supported
Evans: Apple's 900M active iOS devices rival 1.5B global PCs
“There's only one and a half billion PCs on Earth, and Apple has nine hundred million iOS devices out there.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 13:09 a16z Podcast | So Where Are We on the 'S-curve' for PC Devices?
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Partly supported
Evans: Adobe Creative Cloud has 7 million subscribers vs. 1.5B PCs
“There's only seven million people subscribing to Creative Cloud, and there's one and a half billion PCs out there.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 27:41 a16z Podcast | So Where Are We on the 'S-curve' for PC Devices?
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Assertion Supported
Sinofsky: Apple's quarterly device sales match the entire global PC market
“And on a quarterly basis, Apple sells about the same number of, Apple sells the same number of devices as their RPCs sold.”
Steven Sinofsky Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 13:13 a16z Podcast | So Where Are We on the 'S-curve' for PC Devices?
Jun 28, 2024
Assertion Supported
Andreessen: Pre-1993 PCs and Macs lacked built-in TCP/IP support
“Computers, PCs and Macs up until 93, 94 didn't even come with TCP IP built into the computer, built into the operating system.”
Marc Andreessen Jun 28, 2024 ▶ 40:44 Marc Andreessen on Inventing The Internet Browser (How We all Access the Internet)
Oct 31, 2025 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Andreessen: Personal computing was text-based for 17 years before GUIs
“The personal computer from sort of invention in 1975 through to, you know, basically 1992 was a text prompt system. I mean, 17 years in, you know, the whole industry took a left turn into GUIs and never looked back.”
Marc Andreessen Oct 31, 2025 ▶ 0:03 Marc Andreessen and Ben Horowitz on the State of AI
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 1,000 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.