PC market

4 statements across 3 episodes · 2 bullish · 2 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement Jan 2, 2019 by Benedict Evans · across every show →

Everything said about PC market, oldest first

Jan 2, 2019 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Evans predicts global PC base will plateau then gently decline over time
“Yeah, so the PC number will stay more or less where it is for a while. It will gently drift downwards over time.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 12:39 a16z Podcast | The Micro and Macro of Mobile
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Insight
Evans argues mobile creates 5x to 10x greater market opportunity than PCs
“When you combine all of those together, it's not that there's two or three times more devices. It's that you've got five or 10 X more opportunity.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 16:11 a16z Podcast | The Micro and Macro of Mobile
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Evans: Mobile scale dwarfs PCs with 4 billion units replaced biennially
“We're going from a world where there are three hundred and fifty million PCs on Earth replaced every five years, more or less, to four billion phones on Earth replaced every two years, and those four billion phones are converting very fast to smartphones.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 2:18 a16z Podcast | Mobile is Eating the World (and Apple is Gobbling Fastest)
Jan 2, 2019 bearish
Insight
Evans: 90% of enterprise PC users do not need desktop PCs
“There's a sort of a core part of the PC market that actually needs to be on a PC, because you're running Excel, or you're running Photoshop, or AutoCAD. And the other 90% of it actually doesn't need to be on a PC. It can be on a Chromebook, or it can be on som…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 28:44 a16z Podcast | The $200 PC in the Enterprise
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