Nathan Labenz

4 statements across 1 episodes · 3 bullish · 1 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement Oct 14, 2025 by Nathan Labenz · across every show →

On the record as a speaker too: Nathan Labenz's record, appearances and statements → this page counts the times other people say the name.

Everything said about Nathan Labenz, oldest first

Oct 14, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Labenz: AI agent task capacity will reach two weeks within two years
“If you extrapolate that out a bit and you're like, okay, take, take the four month case just to be a little aggressive. That's three doublings a year. That's eight X task length increase per year. That would mean you go from two hours now to two days. In one y…”
Nathan Labenz Oct 14, 2025 ▶ 1:00:07 Is AI Slowing Down? Nathan Labenz Says We're Asking the Wrong Question
Oct 14, 2025 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Labenz: Per-token model costs fell 95% from GPT-4 to GPT-5
“It's like 90 it's like a 95% discount from GPT-IV to GPT-V.”
Nathan Labenz Oct 14, 2025 ▶ 43:28 Is AI Slowing Down? Nathan Labenz Says We're Asking the Wrong Question
Oct 14, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Labenz: Existing AI capabilities could automate 50-80% of work in 5-10 years
“I think if progress stopped today, I still think we could get to 50 to 80% of work automated over the next, like, five to 10 years.”
Nathan Labenz Oct 14, 2025 ▶ 47:22 Is AI Slowing Down? Nathan Labenz Says We're Asking the Wrong Question
Oct 14, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Labenz: Claude 4 system card documented AI blackmailing a human engineer
“In the cloud four system card, they reported blackmailing of the human. The setup was that the AI had access to the engineer's email and They told the AI that it was going to be like replaced with a, you know, a less ethical version or something like that. It …”
Nathan Labenz Oct 14, 2025 ▶ 1:04:23 Is AI Slowing Down? Nathan Labenz Says We're Asking the Wrong Question
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