forecasts

“These are all relatively soluble problems, and nothing would lead me to believe that they can't be solved within the next few years given sufficient focus and effort.”

“Their secret is that they encode knowledge as behavior-dependent predictions, meaning that each forecast predicts something about what an agent will perceive if it acts in a certain way. So they're subjective predictions. Each one says basically, I will percei…”

“But critically, forecasts are an isolaminar mechanism, so you can use them layer after layer, from simple to complex. And this is possible because a forecast can make a prediction about another forecast. You can build forecast A to make one prediction, and the…”