economic growth

6 statements across 5 episodes · 4 bullish · 1 bearish · 5 people on the record · first statement Jan 2, 2019 by Joel Mokyr · across every show →

Everything said about economic growth, oldest first

Jan 2, 2019 positive
Insight
Mokyr: Mutual feedback between knowledge and technology drives economic growth
“Now, what is true for steam engines is essentially true across the board. Knowledge. Builds technology, and technology builds knowledge, and that synergy between these two sort of different aspects of human knowledge is what drives essentially our modern econo…”
Joel Mokyr Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 2:25 a16z Podcast | Knowledge Builds Technology and Technology Builds Knowledge -- with Joel Mokyr
Jan 2, 2019
Insight
Levinson: Scientific research investments lack predictable timelines for economic returns
“We know that as a general proposition, it's been important for economic growth that we've had scientific research going on. Does that mean that if we put more money into scientific research now that we will be able to benefit from the consequences at any predi…”
Mark Levinson Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 32:43 a16z Podcast | The Golden Era of Productivity, Retail, and Supply Chains
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Opinion
Levinson: Governments lack capacity to guarantee rapid economic growth
“For decades and decades, we've trained people to believe that the government can provide a very steady income, can provide low unemployment, can provide rapid economic growth. And I think the government's ability to do this is limited. What we're seeing, I thi…”
Mark Levinson Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 28:04 a16z Podcast | The Golden Era of Productivity, Retail, and Supply Chains
Mar 5, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Casado: Generative AI will expand overall economic growth rather than eliminate value
“Even though the costs drop, the total throughput, the total use increases by a lot because it becomes more accessible. And so rather than removing drops or removing value, this tends to expand growth. Like the internet almost certainly expanded growth in the U…”
Martin Casado Mar 5, 2024 ▶ 8:36 The Future of AI Is Amazing
Aug 4, 2025 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2030
Dwarkesh Patel: Post-AGI annual economic growth will exceed 20%
“And so you're gonna have this explosive dynamic. And once we get like that loop closed, I think it would just be like, 20% growth plus.”
Dwarkesh Patel Aug 4, 2025 ▶ 16:23 Dwarkesh Patel and Noah Smith on AGI and the Economy
Aug 5, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Andreessen: AI will cause productivity growth to shoot up and accelerate economic growth
“AI, if it works the way that actually people either hope or fear that it's going to work, it's going to cause productivity growth to shoot up. That will naturally accelerate economic growth.”
Marc Andreessen Aug 5, 2025 ▶ 22:32 Marc Andreessen: The US is in a AI Arms Race & It Decides The World's Future
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