compute

10 statements across 8 episodes · 3 bullish · 1 bearish · 8 people on the record · first statement Jan 2, 2019 by Sonal Chokshi · across every show →

Everything said about compute, oldest first

Jan 2, 2019 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Falling memory costs will unify storage and compute memory
“With the cost of system memory decreasing, memory for both storage and compute will be the exact same thing.”
Sonal Chokshi Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 0:06 a16z Podcast | The Storage Renaissance
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Conde: Illumina's sequencing breakthrough was driven by engineering, not biology
“And really what drove that wasn't some fundamental discovery on the biology or the science. What drove that was Illumina was able to apply Three very specific and distinct engineering disciplines and converge them. One was the use of microfluidics, the, just a…”
Jorge Conde Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 8:41 a16z Podcast | Taking the Pulse on Bio
Jul 16, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ulevitch: Society is underestimating long-term electricity demand for AI compute
“And so, I do think that compute is gonna just, I think we actually probably are underestimating the amount of compute that we're gonna soak up over the, with electricity over the next, you know, 10, 2030, 4050 years.”
David Ulevitch Jul 16, 2025 ▶ 20:42 America's Energy Problem: We Need A New Grid
Aug 4, 2025
Assertion Supported
Patel: Frontier AI training compute grew 4x annually over past decade
“So the compute used on training a frontier system has grown four X a year for, I think like the last decade.”
Dwarkesh Patel Aug 4, 2025 ▶ 51:20 Dwarkesh Patel and Noah Smith on AGI and the Economy
Aug 6, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Patel: AI Growth Is Currently Constrained by Power, Compute, and Network
“And then you have to look back and say, where is AI constrained? Right now. It's constrained in power, it's constrained on compute, it's constrained on the net, on the network.”
Jeetu Patel Aug 6, 2025 ▶ 22:42 From the Dot-Com Crash to the AI Era: How Builders Survive Waves of Disruption
Sep 25, 2025
Disclosure
Chen: OpenAI historically prioritized algorithmic advances over product research
“I think historically we've put a little bit more on just the core algorithmic advances versus kind of the product research.”
Mark Chen Sep 25, 2025 ▶ 39:08 From Vibe Coding to Vibe Researching: OpenAI’s Mark Chen and Jakub Pachocki
Sep 25, 2025
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chen: No research leader at OpenAI feels they have enough compute
“There's no one who's like, ah, you know, I have all the compute that I need.”
Mark Chen Sep 25, 2025 ▶ 41:10 From Vibe Coding to Vibe Researching: OpenAI’s Mark Chen and Jakub Pachocki
Nov 24, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Epoch AI: Most AI compute is spent on product inference, not training
“It does seem as if most compute gets spent on inference that companies don't so far regret like using to offer their products.”
Epoch AI Researcher Nov 24, 2025 ▶ 3:06 The 2045 Superintelligence Timeline: Epoch AI’s Data-Driven Forecast
Aug 31, 2026 bearish
Insight
Enterprise AI Providers Must Vertically Integrate Compute to Be Low-Cost
“You're just simply not going to be the low cost provider. If you're not vertically integrated, if you don't own your own compute over the very long. Long-term.”
Gavin Baker Aug 31, 2026 ▶ 59:53 Why AI Demand Is Outrunning Compute Supply
Aug 31, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Open-Source Models Require the Same Compute as Equivalent Frontier Models
“It takes the exact same amount of compute. All else equal to make an open source token as a, you know, frontier token for a comparably sized model. Now there's a lot of nuances there, but that's broadly true. It's just a question of what are the margins that a…”
Gavin Baker Aug 31, 2026 ▶ 32:16 Why AI Demand Is Outrunning Compute Supply
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