Bayesian posterior

1 statements across 1 episodes · 1 bullish · 0 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement Mar 17, 2026 by Vishal Misra · across every show →

Everything said about Bayesian posterior, oldest first

Mar 17, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Transformers compute precise Bayesian posteriors down to 10^-3 bits accuracy
“We trained these models and we found that the transformer got the precise Bayesian posterior down to 10 to the power minus three bits accuracy. It was matching the distribution perfectly. So it is actually doing Bayesian in the mathematical sense, given a task…”
Vishal Misra Mar 17, 2026 ▶ 20:44 Why Scale Will Not Solve AGI | Vishal Misra - The a16z Show
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