AI industry

8 statements across 8 episodes · 3 bullish · 3 bearish · 6 people on the record · first statement Dec 23, 2023 by Anjney Midha · across every show →

Everything said about AI industry, oldest first

Dec 23, 2023 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Midha: The AI industry cannot currently observe internal LLM decision-making
“Where we are in the industry right now is that from the outside, we can't really see what's happening in these kitchens. So you have no idea how they made that decision.”
Anjney Midha Dec 23, 2023 ▶ 3:05 Big Ideas 2024: AI Interpretability: From Black Box to Clear Box with Anjney Midha
Apr 2, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Horowitz: AI will experience a Cambrian explosion unless small startups are outlawed
“So I think what we will, we're likely to see kind of a great kind of Cambrian explosion of innovation across all sectors, you know, big companies, small companies, and so forth, provided that the regulation doesn't outlaw the small companies. But that would be…”
Ben Horowitz Apr 2, 2024 ▶ 46:03 Politics & the Future of Tech
May 13, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Horowitz: AI Will Suffer Infrastructure Overbuilds in Boom-and-Bust Cycle
“And that doesn't mean there's no like boom and bust and all that, because that's just the nature of technology. You know, people get too excited and then they get too depressed. So there'll be some of that, I'm sure. There'll be over build outs, you know, pote…”
Ben Horowitz May 13, 2024 ▶ 4:00 Ben Horowitz & Marc Andreessen Compare the AI Boom Vs. Internet Boom
Sep 8, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
McCune: Current AI tech lobbying is dwarfed by decade of safety spending
“But I mean, when people are writing these articles about the fact that the AI industry is, you know, pumping all this money into the system, Certainly, like, I'm not suggesting that there's not money in the system. We're obviously active on the political and p…”
Colin McCune Sep 8, 2025 ▶ 13:48 The Little Tech Agenda for AI
Oct 23, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Masad: Bearish on true AGI breakthroughs due to current AI profitability
“I, I'm kind of bearish on, on, on true AGI breakthrough because what we built is so useful and economically valuable.”
Amjad Masad Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 51:12 Marc Andreessen & Amjad Masad on “Good Enough” AI, AGI, and the End of Coding
Nov 3, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Horowitz: Crypto sector was unified in demanding regulatory rules, unlike AI
“One of the things that is very different between crypto and AI that we've noticed is that on the crypto front, everybody just wanted rules and the industry was relatively unified.”
Ben Horowitz Nov 3, 2025 ▶ 8:24 Sacks, Andreessen & Horowitz: How America Wins the AI Race Against China
Jan 7, 2026 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Andreessen: AI market will split into supercomputers and small embedded models
“I tend to think the AI industry is going to be structured a lot like the computer industry ended up getting structured, which is you're going to have a small handful of basically the equivalent of supercomputers, which are these like giant, you know, kind of w…”
Marc Andreessen Jan 7, 2026 ▶ 19:04 Marc Andreessen's 2026 Outlook: AI Timelines, US vs. China, and The Price of AI
May 29, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
George: AI market will remain supply-constrained rather than bubble
“But I think it's more likely we remain supply constrained for the next three years than then we end up in bubble territory.”
David George May 29, 2026 ▶ 26:10 The New Rule for Picking AI Winners | The a16z Show
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