why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kaufman: Workers who fail to adapt to AI will be poor or burdens on society
“Seriously, if you're not going to take the time to make yourself valuable, to embrace reality, you're doomed. I'm not going to help you. If you don't want to do this, you're either going to be poor or a burden on society.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kaufman: Workers who fail to self-upgrade in the AI era are done
“But if not, fuck you. You're done. You're done. You're not done at Fiverr. You're done. Period. Because no one, there's not going to be demand for people that cannot upgrade themselves.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kaufman expects every Fiverr employee to automate 100% of their role
“In an ideal situation, my expectation of you is that each and every one of you, and it doesn't matter what you do, Is going to replace a hundred percent of what you do with automation.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kaufman: Governments will not allow superintelligent AI to remain in private hands
“What AI companies is doing right now that like the foundational companies, It's like privatizing the Manhattan Project. Ok? Alright, so imagine that they do build the atomic bomb. And now they're sitting and saying, ah, you know, I don't know, maybe we'll do i…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kaufman: AI Startup Flood Will End in Mass Consolidation or Bankruptcies
“Someone's going to win, which by definition is not going to leave that much for the rest, which means that there's going to be a cleanup either through consolidation or through companies going bust.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kaufman: 999 out of 1,000 AI startups will fail in 1-2 years
“In terms of The amount of companies that are going to be around? Absolutely. Like, I don't know, like, 90, you know, 999 companies out of a thousand maybe is going to be around for a year, maybe two. It's going to be ruthless.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2030
Kaufman: Fiverr's engineering team will be larger in five years
“Will you need many, many more of them? I don't know, but you asked me, is your team going to be, is your engineering team going to be larger? Yes.”
Prediction Held up
Kaufman: Fiverr will exclusively hire AI natives across all departments
“And if we think about bringing more people, these people need to be AI natives in whatever they do. I don't care if you're whatever, if you, or you're joining the legal department or the finance or customer support, you need to be very well versed in this new …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kaufman: Banks refusing AI tools over compliance will be left behind
“Look, fine. So they shouldn't use it which is going to be another reason why banks are going to be left behind, whatever.”