why aren't all 16 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
James: Instacart had a neglected culture while Thumbtack was an incredible workplace
“Thumbtack, amazing culture, incredible workplace. I would love to have worked there forever, and Instacart, incredible business, but neglected culture, not a pleasant place to work.”
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Uber and Thumbtack had a combined $9M valuation at first round
“Thumbtack and Uber, You know, they were nine million dollars, and they're like, well, we only want one million dollars more. I was like, no, no, combined. Their valuation was nine million combined when I invested in their first rounds”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
James: Thumbtack's onboarding friction improved match quality and overall success
“At Thumbtack, you know, conventional wisdom is like remove friction from onboarding, make it easier, faster, whatever. What we found was that doesn't actually work for our product, where the friction was answering questions about your project that you're tryin…”
Insight
Jason James: Product teams should follow common sense over data dependency
“For me, the biggest product lesson from Thumbtack is you should just do the common sense things and whether you have the data to support them or not. And chasing the data to support why we should do something can actually just be a distraction and a delay.”
Insight
Zappacosta: Board meeting preparation offers more value than the actual discussion
“And just providing that insight, which I think is honestly most valuable in preparing rather than necessarily the discussion that it fosters.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Zappacosta: Thumbtack service professionals earn an average of $72 per hour
“Our pros are earning 72 dollars an hour and are able to differentiate themselves on more than just price.”
Insight
Zappacosta: Judging board decisions as right or wrong is a false framework
“I think starting from the premise of right and wrong is a false framework, because the truth is you don't know, and you will not know whether you're right or wrong for years, and so it's much more about the process around the decision-making, how well you can …”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Zappacosta: Thumbtack expects international expansion and an IPO within five years
“Yeah, both of those things I would expect happen in the next five years.”
Insight
Breinlinger: Horizontal marketplaces beat vertical models for low-frequency categories
“The frequency of any one of those Types of transactions might be fairly low, but when you span every single category and you can literally buy anything, the frequency is, is very high. And OfferUp has done that in peer-to-peer commerce. Thumbtack has done that…”
Insight
Zappacosta: Local service friction stems from discovery failure, not supply shortage
“It wasn't because there weren't great professionals who are ready to do the work. It was literally a market failure, a problem of discovery that these two sides couldn't easily find each other and transact.”
Insight
Nationwide supply density enables efficient broad marketing like remnant TV ads
“The benefit of that is it has let us then leverage marketing channels that are not geographically specific. So we can buy remnant on TV or online independent of where it's going to show because we have supply everywhere.”
Insight
Zappacosta: Home service pros require offline ads; creatives convert on Facebook
“Creative services, think photographers, DJs are very digitally savvy and tend to have Facebook pages about themselves and talk about themselves on social media. And so we can target them more easily on Facebook. Home service companies like plumbers, HVACs tend…”
Disclosure
Calacanis was Thumbtack's second investor before bringing Sequoia to the deal
“I was the second investor in Thumbtack after Marco's parents, and then roll off, I brought him The A round, I brought him the B round, I brought him the C round, and Roloff eventually and Sequoia did the B round.”
Assertion Supported
Thumbtack operates across 100,000 sub-markets spanning 100 metros and 1,000 categories
“We have, you know, on the order of a 100,000 unique different markets to fill, you know, across, you know, a hundred cities and a hundred metros and a thousand different categories.”
Assertion Supported
Thumbtack raised Series B from Sequoia six weeks after business model pivot
“February and March were the first months that this new model was rolled out nationwide. And we raised our beef from Sequoia six weeks later because they saw the potential in what we had done.”
Disclosure
Zappacosta: Thumbtack retains a large portion of its $250M venture funding
“We're in this position where we've raised two hundred fifty million dollars And a huge chunk of that is still in the bank because of that discipline and the business has done very well”