The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

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why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2031
Jake Paul: Anti Fund Aims to Manage $10B to $20B Eventually
“Yeah, I think if the 30 mil fund was, like, the end goal, it would be like, no, but, like, we want to run 10, twenty billion dollars at some point, and look up to people like, you know, Josh Kushner at Thrive, who started with, you know, I think it was four, f…”
Jake Paul Apr 18, 2026 ▶ 9:34 Jake Paul: Traditional VC is Toast & Attention is More Valuable than Cash · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2027
Lemkin: Open Evidence will raise at $30B-$40B valuation next year
“Open Evidence will probably do a round at 30 or 40 next year. I'm actually going to suggest that Thrive is very smart. And they've probably done the math and this is the right insertion point for them. And they believe in it. And someone else is going to do it…”
Jason Lemkin Jan 29, 2026 ▶ 43:44 Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket |TikTok Deal Closes |The IPO Market:Wealthfront & EquipmentShare · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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