The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 3 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2031
Waymo and Tesla Will Eventually Have to Partner With Uber
“I think ultimately it's in both of their interests to put their vehicles on our network, even if they have their own robo taxi apps or their own one P apps, even if they work with our competitors on the rideshare side or on the delivery side. I think everyone …”
Andrew Macdonald (Mac) Aug 17, 2026 ▶ 27:01 Uber President on Travis, China & Self-Driving | Why Autonomy Is Existential | How to Beat DoorDash
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2026
Lemkin: Tesla is months away from allowing owners to profit off robotaxis
“As soon as this really works, and maybe it's only single digit months away, he has millions of people who could be paid more than their lease price to allow the car into the fleet. And when he said this a decade ago, it sounded effing insane. He said that your…”
Jason Lemkin Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 1:16:35 The SaaS Massacre: Public Market Collapse |Microsoft Lost $360B & NVIDIA’s $100B Dispute with OpenAI
Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2026
O'Driscoll: Musk will run X without CEO title to appease Tesla
“It's an other person who's really Elon, but won't take the title because it will just irk the people at Tesla too much in current dynamics. But yes, he will be in charge.”
Rory O'Driscoll Jul 17, 2025 ▶ 1:17:32 Windsurf x Google x Cognition: Full Breakdown: Who Made Money, Who Did Not · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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