why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Open
Lemkin: Chamath Palihapitiya has been sued by all his former partners
“Chamath, all his ex-partners have sued him. Mamoon sued them. The Grok guys he sued.”
Insight
Palihapitiya: Investing is an infinite game where survival is the only success metric
“I think if you think about investing more broadly speaking, it's an infinite game. The only real competitor is yourself because the only thing you're really fighting is not really market gyrations, but it's your own psychology. And if you can manage your own p…”
Insight
Wei: Social capital is as predictable as financial capital
“I find social capital very compelling to study because I don't think we study social capital with as much rigor as maybe financial capital, but in many ways, it's just as predictable a medium.”
Disclosure
Palihapitiya operated Social Capital on a budget-based fee model
“I ran my fund as budget based. I never ran it as a flat fee. Now, I ended up using the two percent because I had many, many tens of people. I had data scientists, we had HR, we had PR, we had all these outsourced resources, all those things consumed capital. B…”
Disclosure
Palihapitiya designed Social Capital to combine Berkshire, Koch, and Red Cross
“I wanted to build a kind of organization that, you know, in some ways was a mixture between Berkshire with respect to its Capital and capitalism philosophy. The developments that are like Koch Industries with respect to its view on amalgamation and building co…”
Disclosure
Social Capital Splits Fund Between Long-Gestation and Fast-Growth Bets
“What we have a very deliberate approach of sort of half of our investments are in those longer gestation cycle businesses, and the other half are in more predictable enterprise software and consumer businesses, where it's more apparent much faster that these b…”
Assertion Partly supported
Hamid: Average Successful Tech Startup Takes Eight Years to Exit
“The average Successful company takes about eight years. Massive successful company have taken sort of eight years to get to that point of exit or liquidity or IPO.”
Disclosure
Social Capital Grew Fund Size From $270 Million to $600 Million
“Our first fund was two hundred seventy million. Our second fund was two hundred eighty million. Our third fund was, along with an opportunities fund, was six hundred million, so we doubled the fund size.”