why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Insight
Lemkin: Operator-VCs Should Only Invest in CEOs Better Than Themselves
“You have to invest in CEOs that were better than you. If you know the problem, if I know, if I'm a podcaster and I know Riverside or whatever the other versions are, and I look, Riverside's great. We're on it today. And you meet the CEO who I don't know, and h…”
Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2031
Zeev predicts Riverside will reach a $10B valuation
“Riverside too, which is the, it's not ten billion yet, but it will be, I believe.”
Disclosure
Stebbings: Passing on Riverside and Descript were my biggest investment misses
“You've articulated why I've missed my biggest misses in investing, which is Riverside and it's Descript. And I miss them both because I said, the only thing creators care about is do you bring me more cash or more fans?”
Disclosure
Stebbings passed on Riverside and Descript due to podcasting expert bias
“So I missed Riverside, which is a great, you know, podcasting tool. I missed Descript because I was like, I knew this better than anyone. I've done 3000 shows. Idiot expert.”
Disclosure
Stebbings passed on Riverside because he doubted podcasters would pay
“I really regret Riverside. Oh, fuck me. Ah. Fucking Oran Zeve, who I love. Yeah, he's great. Amazing dude. Brought it to me, and I said, no one will do this. You know why? Because like, 90% of podcasters don't earn more than a hundred dollars a month. It's 50 …”
Disclosure
Stebbings admits passing on early investments in Riverside and Descript
“I turned down Riverside. This company is fantastic. The product is amazing. What a mistake. I also turned down Descript, the editing tool, which Andreessen did.”