why aren't all 15 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Noah Glass: Olo has a 100x growth opportunity ahead
“I think that Olo itself has a hundred X growth And then some opportunity ahead of us, more restaurant locations, more orders per location as we get to digital entirety, and then more revenue per order from Olopay and other products that we can sell into our cu…”
Opinion
Lemkin: Enterprise plays in SMB markets like Olo lack fundable TAM
“Olo is trying to do an, basically an enterprise play in an SMB market. That's really brutal, right? It's the same problem in anything in B to B e-commerce. If you're doing, if you're not doing some SMB in e-commerce, like, yeah, there's a few niche players, bu…”
Disclosure
Frankel: I believed my early investment in Olo was a total loss
“I remember saying to my wife on Olo, this is done. We've lost a lot. This was pre-founder collective saying, we have lost our money. Like, Noah is never going to get there.”
Insight
Noah Glass: Put team first, investors last to best serve all stakeholders
“Having your stakeholders in that order ultimately is the way to best serve all of your stakeholders”
Assertion Supported
Glass: Olo's primary core value prioritizes family over work
“We actually, as a company, have always had our first value be family first, and what family first has meant is, if you ever have a conflict, if you ever have a tie between your family and Olo, your family will Wins the tie every single time.”
Insight
Glass: Enduring difficult point-of-sale integrations built Olo's competitive moat
“If we can endure, if we can outlast our competitors, if we can integrate into systems in the restaurant that Point of sale systems that weren't meant to be integrated into, if we can get through that suck, we'll be in a place that nobody else will be able to s…”
What-if
Glass: Restaurant operators would have requested faster drive-throughs over digital ordering
“If you'd asked a restaurant operator, what do you want? They would have said, I want a faster drive-through. They wouldn't have said, I want on-demand ordering so that the entire paradigm shifts and the drive-through is no longer the fastest way of getting foo…”
Assertion Supported
Olo went public with $122M ARR and $6M net burn
“When this company went public, it had a net burn of just six million dollars and an ARR of one hundred and twenty-two million dollars.”
Assertion Supported
Olo closed its Series A on the day Bear Stearns collapsed
“I mean, one of the things that was really an incredible moment in the company's history was we raised in March of 2008. That was our series a round. I believe on the exact same day, March 17th of 2008, when Bear Stearns collapsed, it felt like it was the last …”
Disclosure
Noah Glass raised a $7M Series A at a $7M valuation
“It was seven on seven. It was a very dilutive round, but we were incredibly grateful that we did that round, that we got the seven million dollars on the balance sheet of the company, and that really became this crucible moment of, can we last to the next stag…”
Assertion Partly supported
O'Driscoll: Olo went public at $25 and was bought for $10
“I think it went for 10 bucks a share. I think the damn thing went public for 25.”
Assertion Supported
Stebbings: Thoma Bravo bought Olo for $2B at $320M ARR
“Three hundred and twenty million of ARR Gap profitable, business that is decent, and it's bought for two billion dollars by Toma Bravo.”
Assertion Partly supported
Frankel: Olo raised $600M at 10% dilution in its IPO
“Noah raised six hundred million for 10% dilution when he IPO'd, right?”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Noah Glass took 12 full weeks of paid parental leave as CEO
“I did pretty well of taking the full twelve-week paid parental leave off.”
Disclosure
Glass: Olo spends marketing dollars on restaurant buyers, not tech press
“Where Olo's marketing dollars and PR dollars go is really not in anything consumer or in anything kind of tech press. It's really focused on restaurant buyers”