The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 175 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 7 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Disclosure
Every infrastructure startup pitches something Amazon, Microsoft, or Google could build
“Every pitch that I hear about infrastructure is ostensibly something that Amazon could do one day, right? Or Microsoft or Google”
Crystal Huang Jan 10, 2018 ▶ 20:56 20VC: 3 Key Differences Between US and Asian Tech Markets & With Such Large Incumbents Chasing Early Acquisitions, Is There A Market For Later Stage VC with Crystal Huang, Investor @ GGV Capital
Assertion Contradicted
Wolfe: Kymeta is the only board Bill Gates joined besides Berkshire and Microsoft
“It's the only company that Bill Was on the board of besides Berkshire Hathaway and Microsoft.”
Josh Wolfe May 10, 2017 ▶ 11:54 20VC: The 3 Forms Of Edge A Founder Can Have, Lessons From Being on A Board With Bill Gates & Why There Are A Lot Of Tourist VCs Who Are Going To Lose A Lot Of Money, with Josh Wolfe, Co-Founder @ Lux Capital
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Wunderlist maintained complete operational autonomy in Berlin after Microsoft acquisition
“Really nothing has changed. We're operating in Berlin. We're a solid team making decisions the same way we did before. Like I said, we, you know, we have freedom to do things exactly as we did in the past, but we have more help when we need it.”
Chad Fowler Oct 9, 2015 ▶ 20:16 FF 016: Chad Fowler, CTO @ Wunderlist, App Of The Year 2013
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Soltero: Microsoft will modernize email into a beloved medium within five years
“Over the next five years, we're here to make email awesome, and really take this incredibly powerful and pervasive medium that, that we often sort of complain about and hate and really turn it into something that people genuinely love and feel like it has adap…”
Javier Soltero Sep 6, 2015 ▶ 28:59 FF 012: Acquired by Microsoft for $200m with Javier Soltero @ Microsoft
Assertion Supported
Microsoft bought Nuance for $20B+ and competed with Abridge
“And the first big competitor for us was Microsoft. They had bought a company called Nuance for 20 some billion some years ago, and they had a product in our category and we still compete with them in the marketplace.”
Shiv Rao May 16, 2026 ▶ 34:04 The Five Year Desert to Product Market Fit & a $5.3BN Valuation with Shiv Rao, Founder @ Abridge · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Partly supported
Tom Tunguz: Microsoft went public with $50M revenue and $2M fees
“Like I went back and looked at Microsoft, you know, you needed like fifty million in trailing revenue and six quarters of profitability to go public, right? And the cost to take a company public was a couple million bucks.”
Tomasz Tunguz Nov 20, 2025 ▶ 1:04:06 Peter Thiel and Softbank Sell NVIDIA - Why? & Why VC Will Hit $1TRN and The Opening of Retail · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
O'Driscoll: Microsoft's capital expenditure has reached 25% of its revenue
“Microsoft CapEx as a percentage of revenue has crept up to 25%.”
Rory O'Driscoll Aug 21, 2025 ▶ 1:10:34 Databricks at $100BN, CoreWeave’s $11B Debt Bet & Nubank’s $2.5B Profit Shocker - Ep.19 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Disclosure
Microsoft remains Databricks' largest commercial partner
“Ali and I did the deal with Microsoft, right? Which became kind of pretty historical, I think in legend. And it's still, you know, Microsoft's our, you know, biggest partner. It's a amazing partner for us.”
Ron Gabrisko Aug 4, 2025 ▶ 43:15 20Sales: $0-$3.7BN: The Databricks CRO's Playbook to Build the Fastest GTM Engine in SaaS History | How Databricks Beat Snowflake | How To Build a Sales Org of 5,000 and Close $190M Deals with Ron Gabrisko
Assertion Partly supported
Big Four Tech Giants Generate $600B in Annual Operating Cash Flow
“You look at Google, Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta combined, I mean, they're doing six hundred billion of operating cash flow, just cash coming off the company every single year”
Miles Dieffenbach Aug 4, 2025 ▶ 1:11:57 Miles Dieffenbach: Inside Carnegie Mellon’s $4BN Endowment & The Math Behind DPI, TVPI, Illiquidity · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Lemkin: Microsoft Laid Off 3% of Its Workforce
“Microsoft laid off three percent of their company today.”
Jason Lemkin May 15, 2025 ▶ 0:10 OpenAI, SBF & Perplexity: What VCs Know That You Don’t · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Disclosure
Microsoft is the Norwegian sovereign wealth fund's largest equity position
“Our biggest position is Microsoft. We have big, very big positions in you know, Nvidia, AMD. Alphabet. You name them, we have. Those are our biggest positions.”
Nicolai Tangen Mar 4, 2024 ▶ 23:05 Nicolai Tangen: Managing the Largest Sovereign Wealth Fund in the World | E1122 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella mentors Procore CEO Tooey Courtemanche
“I have the fortunate privilege of having Satya be a mentor of mine, and I am absolutely fascinated by the complexity of that business, and how he makes sense out of it all.”
Tooey Courtemanche Dec 4, 2023 ▶ 1:18:21 Tooey Courtemanche: From Construction Worker to Billionaire CEO | E1090 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Wood: FAANGs, Microsoft, and Nvidia made up nearly 50% of Nasdaq 100 in 2021
“Last year the market reached all-time highs in twenty-twenty-one as we were selling off, and it was the Fangs, it was Microsoft, it was Nvidia, and those, if you look at the Nasdaq 100, account for, account ed at that time, for nearly 50% of that index”
Cathie Wood Nov 14, 2022 ▶ 18:21 Cathie Wood: Elon & Twitter; Why Facebook is a Value Stock Now; ARK's Performance | 20VC #949 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Partly supported
Haas: Masayoshi Son lost 90% of his net worth and recovered it
“Arm is owned by SoftBank. So, Masayoshi-san, who's, I think, in the top 50 most wealthy people in the world, in the year 2000, he was the wealthiest man in the world, I think, for, he likes the joke, for about 20 nanoseconds when the SoftBank stock was higher …”
René Haas Sep 2, 2022 ▶ 26:02 20VC: Arm CEO Rene Haas on How The Best Leaders Make Decisions and The Trade-Off Between Speed and Quality | Leadership Lessons from 7 Years at Nvidia | How Companies Can Retain Speed, Innovation and Agility at Scale
Assertion Supported
Quarles: OpenTable Ran on an Old Microsoft On-Premises Database
“When I got into the company, we were at a point at which the software that we had inside the restaurant was an old Microsoft on-prem distributed database, like not in the cloud.”
Krista Quarles Jul 29, 2021 ▶ 12:27 20VC: A Masterclass in Leadership and Scaling Companies: The Decisions only the CEO Can Make, The Secret To Talent Acquisition and Retention and How To Find The Unscalable Things that are Fundamental To Scale with Christa Quarles, CEO @ Corel Corporation
Disclosure
Simons: Atlassian drew inspiration from Microsoft's platform ecosystem strategy
“We drew a lot of inspiration from Microsoft, which I think is a textbook case here.”
Jay Simons Jun 10, 2021 ▶ 10:03 20VC: Why and How The Best Companies Build Economies Around Themselves, When, Why and How To Build Effective Partner/Channel Networks & The Power of Compounding Growth in SaaS with Jay Simons, General Partner @ Bond
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Clark: Winning a debate against Bill Gates was a Microsoft rite of passage
“And it was a rite of passage to be in a conference room with Bill and in a debate with him and win a point. Like, just to win a debate, right, was this major rite of passage.”
Quentin Clark Dec 28, 2020 ▶ 5:15 20VC: Lessons From Working with Bill Gates, How To Lead Without Authority and The Difference Between Leadership and Management & How Fundraising Changes In A COVID World with Quentin Clark, Managing Director @ General Catalyst
Opinion
Clark: Microsoft's culture was insular and disconnected before Satya Nadella
“Microsoft before Satya was a little insular. Like, we're up there in the woods in Seattle, and we didn't really kind of get down to the valley very much, right?”
Quentin Clark Dec 28, 2020 ▶ 3:22 20VC: Lessons From Working with Bill Gates, How To Lead Without Authority and The Difference Between Leadership and Management & How Fundraising Changes In A COVID World with Quentin Clark, Managing Director @ General Catalyst
Disclosure
Satya Nadella allows Reid Hoffman to meet freely across Microsoft teams
“Satya feels perfectly comfortable having me meet with, like, everybody, like, people in company, product groups, and everything else, because he knows that I'm actually, in fact, very capable of giving that kind of advice and listening and so forth, without sa…”
Reid Hoffman Dec 7, 2020 ▶ 9:43 20VC: Reid Hoffman on Investing in Airbnb and Passing on Stripe, The Different Styles of Truly Great Leaders, How To Think Through Ownership and Price in Venture & How To Ensure Venture Partnerships Always Have Trust and a Learning Mindset
Assertion Supported
Hartz: Microsoft and Amazon both IPO'd at $500M valuations
“If you look back at Microsoft in the 19 eighties or Amazon in the 19 nineties, one would maybe not recall that they went public at a five hundred million dollar valuation each”
Kevin Hartz Aug 31, 2020 ▶ 10:49 20VC: SPACs. What Are They? Why Now? How Do They Change The Venture Landscape? Are They Better Than IPOs & Direct Listings? How Should Founders Think About Them? Kevin Hartz & Troy Steckenrider @ A*
What-if
Nozad missed massive returns by not maintaining pro-rata ownership in Danger
“Had we participated and kept our ownership after the initial investment, we would have made a lot of money through a half a billion dollar acquisition of Danger by Microsoft.”
Pejman Nozad Feb 20, 2017 ▶ 16:54 20VC: Pejman Nozad: Tech's Most Unlikely VC: From Yoghurt Shop To Investing In Startups Now Worth $20Bn+
Disclosure
Accompli had millions in enterprise pipeline before Microsoft acquisition
“At the time, We were very, very, very fortunate to already have, like, multiple millions of dollars of sales pipeline, and customers actually two in Europe, one in the UK, and two in the US, who were working with us very closely to really sign up and craft wha…”
Javier Soltero Sep 6, 2015 ▶ 22:39 FF 012: Acquired by Microsoft for $200m with Javier Soltero @ Microsoft
Disclosure
Valade: Microsoft Paid the Acquisition Price Sunrise Asked For
“You just, you know, for us, you know, we knew that we had a price, and we got the price we wanted, and the vision were aligned, and we liked the people we met there, so, you know, we said, okay, you know, we should do it.”
Pierre Valade Aug 14, 2015 ▶ 17:05 FF 08: Pierre Valade, CEO @ Sunrise on Being Acquired By Microsoft for $100m and Building Beautiful Products
Assertion Supported
Microsoft acquired calendar app Sunrise.am for $100 million
“Sunrise.am, which was recently acquired for a hundred million by Microsoft.”
Harry Stebbings Mar 12, 2015 ▶ 0:27 20 VC 019: Funding the Future with James Wise of Balderton Capital
Disclosure
Daniel Dines Saved $150,000 During Five Years at Microsoft Before Founding UiPath
“So in five years working in Microsoft, my old savings were like a 150,000 dollars.”
Daniel Dines Apr 22, 2024 ▶ 30:13 Daniel Dines: From a Dollar a Day to Romania's Richest Man| Happiness, Wealth, Risk and more | E1143 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Disclosure
Google and Microsoft rejected Zaria Parvez's job applications out of college
“I've been rejected from big brands for jobs and I was applying out of college because I, my resume, I can send it to you after this, but it's definitely not a traditional resume. It's very different. It's very, it's unhinged. And my whole like life mantra was …”
Zaria Parvez Jan 19, 2024 ▶ 40:06 Zaria Parvez: How Duolingo Scaled to 8M TikTok Followers & How to Create Viral Content | E1105 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Partly supported
Romanow: Bill Gates Owned 50% of Microsoft at IPO
“When Microsoft went public, Bill Gates owned half of that company”
Michele Romanow May 10, 2019 ▶ 16:08 20VC: Clearbanc's Michele Romanow on Why 40% of VC $ Raised Today Goes To Google and Facebook, How To Create A Financing Mechanism For The Repeatable Parts Of Your Business & Why We Need To Stop Celebrating Fundraises
Disclosure
Dan Lewis says Amazon influenced Convoy's culture more than Google
“I think the one that certainly influenced me the most, primarily because I was doing it right before I started Convoy, was Amazon.”
Dan Lewis Mar 23, 2018 ▶ 4:33 20VC: How To Strategically Build The Right Investor Base, Why Startup Timing is Like Surfing & How To Determine Whether Someone is Scaling with the Organisation or Not with Daniel Lewis, Founder & CEO @ Convoy
Assertion Supported
Buchheit: Microsoft's first product targeted only a few thousand potential customers
“Microsoft's first product was Altair Basic, which was a little basic interpreter for, or compiler for this computer called the Altair that had probably several hundred or maybe thousand possible customers.”
Paul Buchheit Nov 1, 2017 ▶ 6:31 20VC: Y Combinator's Paul Buchheit on Creating Gmail Version 1.0 & Leadership Lessons from Working With Zuckerberg and Larry Paige
Assertion Supported
Ver Ploeg: Microsoft went public at a sub-$1B market cap
“I mean, people like to talk about how when Microsoft went public, it was a sub one billion dollar market cap company.”
Eric Ver Ploeg Sep 9, 2015 ▶ 18:44 20 VC 070: Do Investors in California Outperform The Rest of The World with Eric ver Ploeg @ Recursive Capital
Assertion Supported
Microsoft Acquired Accompli for $200 Million in 2014
“Prior to Microsoft, Javier co-founded Accompli, the mobile personal information manager acquired by Microsoft for two hundred million dollars in 2014.”
Harry Stebbings Sep 6, 2015 ▶ 0:13 FF 012: Acquired by Microsoft for $200m with Javier Soltero @ Microsoft
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