The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 7 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe May 2027
Lemkin: HubSpot's AI agent strategy will prove if classic SaaS can re-accelerate
“I believe over the next 12 months, this strategy, if it's real, should lead to genuine re-acceleration at HubSpot. Otherwise, it's, there's no hope for this class, these classic categories”
Jason Lemkin May 7, 2026 ▶ 50:50 Anthropic's Raise & What It Means for Potential IPO? Mag7: Google & Amazon Up, Meta & Microsoft Down · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2029
Lemkin: Monday.com Will Churn Faster Than HubSpot and Salesforce
“The Mondays will churn faster than HubSpot, right? And HubSpot will churn faster than Salesforce. It's just delayed churn, right? That, that's the thing is, you know, ServiceNow takes you 10 years to get off that platform.”
Jason Lemkin Feb 19, 2026 ▶ 1:33:23 Thrive Raises New $10B Fund | OpenAI Buys OpenClaw | Stripe at $140B: Is Adyen Wildly Undervalued? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2028
Rangan: Rapidly falling AI inference costs will prevent margin degradation
“First of all, model costs and cost of inferences come down pretty significantly. You know, you look at it in 2023 to where we are now, it's come down significantly. I think cost curve is going to continue to, you know, decline. I wish we had a margin problem. …”
Yamini Rangan Mar 17, 2025 ▶ 38:11 Yamini Rangan, CEO @ HubSpot: How HubSpot Competes Against Salesforce · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2027
Lemkin predicts Klaviyo will surpass HubSpot in marketing revenue soon
“They will be soon be doing more marketing revenue than HubSpot.”
Jason Lemkin May 27, 2024 ▶ 1:13:56 Jason Lemkin: Why Pricing is Worse Than Ever and There is More Funding Than Ever | E1157 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Not yet assessed
HubSpot's year-five acquisition mix was 50% inbound, 30% channel, 20% outbound
“So I would say by year five, we were probably like. 50% inbound, 30% channel, 20% outbound.”
Mark Roberge Jul 12, 2024 ▶ 40:02 Mark Roberge: The Framework for How Startups Should Scale into the Enterprise -Stage 2 Capital|E1176 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Open
Lemkin: HubSpot's Essentials edition accounts for 45% of new customers
“HubSpot two years ago didn't even have this essentials edition, which is like 45% of the new customers and more enterprise.”
Jason Lemkin May 1, 2025 ▶ 54:09 What Does it Take to Be Good at Series A and B Today? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Not yet assessed
Roberge: 100% of HubSpot's early customers came from inbound marketing
“It was, I think a hundred percent of our customers came inbound for the first two or three years.”
Mark Roberge Jul 12, 2024 ▶ 39:44 Mark Roberge: The Framework for How Startups Should Scale into the Enterprise -Stage 2 Capital|E1176 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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