The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 34 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Lacaillade: Founders Fund, a16z, Greenoaks, and Thrive proactively marked down valuations
“In my core relationships Founders Fund's the most extreme, because Peter Thiel's very contrarian and he wants to reset the mindset of his team. Which I think is great. But Andreessen Horowitz, Green Oaks Thrive, they've all proactively marked down their compan…”
Peter Lacaillade Dec 18, 2023 ▶ 24:08 Peter Lacaillade: Why Now is the Best Time to Invest in Emerging Managers | E1096 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Held up
Singerman predicts Founders Fund's $200M Anduril check will turn into $2B
“Enduro is going to be an extremely valuable company. I am, there's, yes, quite sure of that. We are not going to lose that two hundred million dollar check. That two hundred million dollars will turn into, you know, two billion.”
Brian Singerman Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 34:41 Brian Singerman: How I Became a Partner at Founders Fund, Why We Put $400M into Anduril | 20VC #943 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Held up
O'Driscoll: Founders Fund's SpaceX deal will return $50B–$100B
“There's no doubt in a world where one investment might return 50 to a hundred Billion dollars. Everyone else has to feel just a teeny tiny tad irrelevant compared to that return for founders fund and good on them. It's a 20 year compounder at 50% plus or minus…”
Rory O'Driscoll Dec 18, 2025 ▶ 1:16:51 Will Cursor Kill Figma? Lightspeed Raises $9B & OpenAI’s $1B from Disney & #1 App in App Store · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Partly supported
Stebbings: Recent top breakout VC firms are all single-person led
“When you look at, Bundly, the best performing managers, or the breakout managers the last few years, I think you put probably Thrive, Green Oaks, Founders Fund, and Eli Gill definitely up there. And all four of them are one person led.”
Harry Stebbings Jul 31, 2025 ▶ 18:06 Why Apple Needs a Management Overhaul & Why Google is Catching Up with Hyperscalers · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: Founders Fund intentionally avoids investing in B2B software
“Founders Fund doesn't do B to B intentionally. They make exceptions, but they don't believe in B to B. They don't believe the outcomes justify it. It's explicitly, they don't do it.”
Jason Lemkin Apr 17, 2025 ▶ 56:19 a16z's $20BN Fund & Founders Fund's $4.6BN & Why Josh Kushner Has Mastered the Game · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Founders Fund was the only VC to proactively halve its fund size
“Also, they're the only ones that Cut their fund size in half proactively when the macro changed. So they went from, I don't know, 1.8 to nine hundred million in two funds, right?”
Nico Wittenborn May 22, 2023 ▶ 1:18:26 Nico Wittenborn: Consumer Subscription Apps; Using Evolutionary Biology to Invest; Solo GP's | E1017 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Partly supported
Rabois: Tech valuation multiples have normalized to 30-year historical average
“We analyzed it recently at Founders Fund, and it's definitely not an overreaction, even with the corrections of the last, we'll call it six, seven months, we're only at the thirty-year normal average. Like, if you look at multiples, we're exactly at the averag…”
Keith Rabois May 30, 2022 ▶ 18:30 Keith Rabois: The End of Woke Capitalism; Time Allocation Tips; Silicon Valley vs Miami | 20VC #891 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Stebbings: Founders Fund deployed $3B in under 12 months into mega-rounds
“Founders Fund, deploying three billion in under 12 months, but deploying it into Stripe, SpaceX, and Anduril.”
Harry Stebbings Dec 22, 2025 ▶ 17:13 Predictions for 2026: Top Buy & Biggest Short | Why Salesforce Could Win & NVIDIA’s Challenges · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
O'Driscoll: Founders Fund scored 5x on Stemcentrx before program was canceled
“Got a five X, get money off the table. We're pointing out three years later, the acquirer canceled the program. You know, huge amount of risk. Made, I mean, you know, made it work, but never forget the risk was there.”
Rory O'Driscoll Apr 17, 2025 ▶ 53:32 a16z's $20BN Fund & Founders Fund's $4.6BN & Why Josh Kushner Has Mastered the Game · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Stephens: Founders Fund Was the First VC to Promote Being Founder-Friendly
“We were the first fund that was talking about being founder friendly”
Trae Stephens Apr 3, 2024 ▶ 28:59 Trae Stephens: Why No Company is Successful Because of their VC | E1135 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Lacaillade: Multiple billion-dollar-plus venture funds have achieved 5x-plus returns
“Founders Fund, like, there, if you, I mean, I'm saying some of the data, like, there's, I, there's a number of examples of big funds being five X plus, right?”
Peter Lacaillade Dec 18, 2023 ▶ 32:44 Peter Lacaillade: Why Now is the Best Time to Invest in Emerging Managers | E1096 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Anduril won major government defense contracts within two years
“I think it took Andrel two years. The speed at which these guys were able to break in to these large government contracts was astounding.”
Brian Singerman Nov 11, 2021 ▶ 9:02 20VC: The Anduril Memo: Founders Fund's Brian Singerman on What Makes Palmer Luckey One of the Greatest Innovators in History, Why It Is BS The DOD Do Not Want To Work With Silicon Valley & Why in Venture You Have To Play A Different Game to the Hedge Fun
Assertion Contradicted
No other Silicon Valley company was innovating in defense before Anduril
“At the time when we did this, there was no other company in Silicon Valley innovating in defense.”
Brian Singerman Nov 11, 2021 ▶ 22:56 20VC: The Anduril Memo: Founders Fund's Brian Singerman on What Makes Palmer Luckey One of the Greatest Innovators in History, Why It Is BS The DOD Do Not Want To Work With Silicon Valley & Why in Venture You Have To Play A Different Game to the Hedge Fun
Assertion Supported
Hartz: Brian Singerman's Stemcentrx deal is a historic biotech outcome
“Brian Singerman is a computer science, you know, major from Stanford that worked at Google that led the STEM-centric steel, which was one of the best outcomes in biotech history, but even more so, it's done some groundbreaking work at curing cancer, and that's…”
Kevin Hartz May 22, 2017 ▶ 14:43 20VC: Founders Fund's Kevin Hartz on Why Investing In Silicon Valley Is Broken & Why Fearlessness Is What Makes The Truly Great Investors
Assertion Supported
Lemkin: Founders Fund previously cut its fund size due to deployment constraints
“Founders fund cut their, you know, N minus two funds ago, they cut them because they couldn't think they could deploy enough fund in the, in that window.”
Jason Lemkin Sep 3, 2026 ▶ 53:19 NVIDIA Crushes Quarter | OpenAI Cuts Off Cursor | Instinct Hits $2.5B Valuation
Assertion Supported
Rajaram: Napoleon Ta decides which companies Founders Fund doubles down on
“The unsung hero of Founder Fund is a guy called Napoleon Tha, who leads a growth practice. And Napoleon basically is the one who decides which of the companies should we double down on.”
Gokul Rajaram Mar 16, 2026 ▶ 56:52 Gokul Rajaram: How to Analyse for Durability and Defensibility in a World of AI · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Stebbings: Founders Fund closing $6B in new capital after deploying $3.3B in 11 months
“Founders Fund are closing in on six billion dollars of new funds. They invested the last 3.3 in 11 months in amazing businesses like SpaceX and Stripe and Anduril.”
Harry Stebbings Mar 12, 2026 ▶ 50:17 Anthropic vs The Pentagon: Who Wins? | The Data Center Arms Race | The Ultimate Stock Picks · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Randle: Delian Asparouhov Sourced the Seed Investment for Ramp
“Dude, you sourced the seed of ramp.”
Everett Randle Nov 10, 2025 ▶ 1:11:45 Benchmark's GP, Everett Randle on Why Mega Funds Will Not Produce Good Returns · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Founders Fund allows deal team members to personally co-invest
“So there's a program, for example, at Founders Fund where anyone that works on an investment or if you're leading an investment, you can personally invest alongside the firm.”
Everett Randle Nov 10, 2025 ▶ 4:13 Benchmark's GP, Everett Randle on Why Mega Funds Will Not Produce Good Returns · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Stebbings: Founders Fund wrote record $1B check for Anduril's Series G
“Specifically with regards to Amgrills raising two and a half billion Series G, I don't know if you guys knew this, they got a billion from Founders Fund in this latest round. A billion again, making it their largest ever check, and the Founders Fund's prior la…”
Harry Stebbings Jun 12, 2025 ▶ 25:19 Elon’s Empire: SpaceX, Tesla, Neuralink After the Storm & Anduril’s $2.6BN Power Move · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Stephens: Flexport Was First Major Founders Fund Check in 2014
“The first big check that I wrote at Founders Fund was Flexport. And no one was thinking about Supply chain logistics in 2014.”
Trae Stephens Apr 3, 2024 ▶ 14:48 Trae Stephens: Why No Company is Successful Because of their VC | E1135 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Founders Fund put $40M into SpaceX from a $200M fund
“And I think even Founders Fund, you know, I mean, back, back in Founders Fund too, I mean, SpaceX was a, basically a forty million dollar position out of a two hundred million dollar fund, and it was a rocket company.”
Justin Fishner-Wolfson Feb 4, 2021 ▶ 15:48 20VC: Why VCs Should Care More About Cost of Capital and Less About Ownership, Investing Lessons from working with Peter Thiel at Founders Fund, Why Liquidity Aligns Incentives Between Founders and Investors & Why It Is The Last Double That Matters in Ven
Assertion Supported
Stebbings: Founders Fund lacks traditional Monday partner meetings
“Founders Fund is quite famous for having quite a loose investment decision making process, not with the kind of traditional partner meetings every Monday.”
Harry Stebbings Oct 1, 2020 ▶ 9:15 20VC: What Is Founder Narrative Fit and How to Detect and Invest In It, How To Avoid Consensus Thinking When Investing, Price Sensititivity; When To Pay Up vs Stay Disciplined & From New York Times To General Catalyst; Why Venture and Journalism are Not S
Assertion Supported
Everett Randle joins Benchmark as GP from Founders Fund
“Topic number one, Everett Randall joins Benchmark. Benchmark don't add partners very often. It's a big news announcement that he's joining. Joins Benchmark as their latest GP. He was with Kleiner and he was with Founders Fund before.”
Harry Stebbings Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 0:53 Why VC Today is Worse than 2021 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Partly supported
Gurski: Competitor Glow raised $30M from top VCs before Flo launched
“They raised from Anderson Horowitz and Founders Fund, thirty million, almost immediately. They started three years before Floor”
Dmitry Gurski Sep 23, 2024 ▶ 11:39 Dmitry Gurski: From Potato Farm to $200M in Revenue: The Never-Before-Told Story of Flo Health|E1205 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Partly supported
Founders Fund's Trey Stephens Got Into Georgetown After Camping Outside Admissions
“Like there's actually a general partner of founders fund named Trey. We were just at his 40th birthday party. And one thing that was mentioned was that he didn't get into Georgetown the first time. And he literally went and like set up a tent in front of the a…”
Mike Shebat Nov 27, 2023 ▶ 42:03 Keith Rabois & Mike Shebat: Creating an Olympian Mindset to Work Ethic| E1087 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Partly supported
Friedensohn and her husband are Founders Fund's first married portfolio founders
“Some of the benefits are, well, first and foremost, I think we're the first married couple in founders fund portfolios.”
Alyson Friedensohn Sep 4, 2020 ▶ 26:12 20VC: Biggest Lessons from Working with John Doerr, How Founders Can Have Discussions of Vulnerability with Their Board and Investors & Marrying Another Founder; The Pros, Cons and Ways To Make it Succeed with Alyson Friedensohn, Co-Founder & CEO @ Modern
Assertion Supported
Polychain grew AUM from $4M to over $200M within two years
“Having founded the firm less than two years ago with Four million under management in their initial fund. Polychain now has over two hundred million under management, with backing from the likes of Sequoia, Founders Fund, Andreessen Horowitz, and USV, just to …”
Harry Stebbings Dec 11, 2017 ▶ 0:28 20VC: Inside The World's Leading Crypto Fund, The Future Exit Environment for Crypto Assets & The Beauty Of Benevolent Dictatorship with Olaf Carlson-Wee, Founder @ Polychain Capital
Assertion Supported
Founders Fund writes checks from $250K to $50M
“If a team member has strong conviction, you know, whether it's a quarter million dollar FF Angel, that's, you know, the minimum amount that generally we invest in this kind of angel vehicle of ours, all the way up to fifty million, we can move quite quickly an…”
Kevin Hartz May 22, 2017 ▶ 10:21 20VC: Founders Fund's Kevin Hartz on Why Investing In Silicon Valley Is Broken & Why Fearlessness Is What Makes The Truly Great Investors
Assertion Supported
Singerman: Joined Founders Fund after Sean Parker introduction during SpaceX deal evaluation
“And that's when I met Sean Parker and we became friends and he. Said, Hey, why don't you check out what we're doing at Founders Fund? And I came in and that's when we were considering a little investment in a company called SpaceX and, you know, said, this is …”
Brian Singerman Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 0:49 Brian Singerman: How I Became a Partner at Founders Fund, Why We Put $400M into Anduril | 20VC #943 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Partly supported
Ramp has raised over $390 million in funding
“To date, Eric has raised over three hundred and ninety million dollars for the company from some of the best, including Thrive, Stripe, Founders Fund, Code Two, and Box Group, to name a few.”
Harry Stebbings Jun 2, 2021 ▶ 0:22 20VC: Ramp's Eric Glyman on Why You Should Never Take The Highest Price, Working With Venture Funds vs Crossover Funds and How To Determine What To Buy vs Build as a Founder Today?
Assertion Supported
Stebbings: Spike Lipkin raised over $100M for Newfront
“To date, Spike has raised over a hundred million dollars with Newfront for Some of the best in the business, including Founders Fund, Meritech, and of course, the newly founded TwentyVC Fund.”
Harry Stebbings Oct 16, 2020 ▶ 0:24 20VC: How To Determine The Risks To Take vs To Pass On, Should Founders Meet Investors When Not Raising & The Most Important Non-Obvious Role of the CEO with Spike Lipkin, Founder & CEO @ Newfront Insurance
Assertion Supported
Alex Mather raised over $139M for The Athletic
“To date, Alex has raised over one hundred and thirty nine million dollars with The Athletic from some of the best in the business, including Founders Fund, Bedrock, Y Combinator and Emerson Collective, to name a few.”
Harry Stebbings Jul 10, 2020 ▶ 0:21 20VC: The Future of Subscription Media, Why Startups Need To Stop Blaming Facebook and Google & How Founders Should Think Through Customer Acquisition Channel Dependencies with Alex Mather, Founder & CEO @ The Athletic
Assertion Supported
Greenspring Associates Has Backed Accel, Founders Fund, and Thrive
“As for their fund investing, they've backed the likes of Excel, Founders Fund, Thrive, Lightspeed, Foundry Group, and many more incredible managers.”
Harry Stebbings Jan 21, 2019 ▶ 0:33 20VC: The Framework LPs Use To Assess Emerging Managers, What Concerns and Excites LPs in Potential Opportunities & The Current State of Seed Today with Hunter Somerville, Partner @ Greenspring Associates
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 1,200 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.