The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 23 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Opinion
Gillette failed to react competently to Dollar Shave Club's rise
“Gillette had not still to this day has not reacted in a competent way that put any pressure on Dollar Shave Club.”
David Pakman Aug 10, 2016 ▶ 11:35 20VC: Dollar Shave Club's Series A & B Lead Investor, David Pakman on The Requirements For A Successful Subscription Business & Why A Lot of Investors Do Not Like Consumer
Prediction Held up
Most funded consumer startups will sell below their last valuation
“Consumer companies typically it'll be a graveyard. There'll be some exceptions. Unilever bots, Dollar Shave Club, because they needed the capabilities of DTC. That'll happen a few more times, but many times they will be sold for half of the last round valuatio…”
Ryan Caldbeck Nov 2, 2018 ▶ 30:39 20VC: Ryan Caldbeck on Why The Business Model of VC is Broken, Who is To Blame, How The Best Funds Will Use Data Intelligently Moving Forward & Whether We Are In A Consumer Bubble Or Not?
Assertion Supported
Kaden: Dollar Shave Club yielded strong venture returns, Bonobos did not
“The examples you gave of Dollar Shave and Bonobos have wildly different outcomes. One of them was a huge win for their investors and their team and kind of showed that you can get the return on it that they wanted going in, which is Dollar Shave, and the other…”
Rebecca Kaden Oct 1, 2018 ▶ 17:33 20VC: USV's Rebecca Kaden on Whether Venture Returns Can Be Made At Scale In Consumer Today & How To Navigate Consumer Investing In A World of Amazon
Disclosure
Bessemer Passed on Dollar Shave Club by Overanalyzing Unit Economics
“It was Dollar Shave Club meeting meeting Michael, the founder there very early on, and just, I was always very, he was just an impressive guy. You could see it in his videos. You can see it in his personality. This is someone that'll just will this thing to su…”
Ethan Kurzweil Jun 28, 2017 ▶ 21:31 20VC: Bessemer's Ethan Kurzweil on How To View Pattern Recognition and Deal With The Anti-Portfolio, The Next Frontier In Developer Focussed Businesses & Why eSports Is Interesting Again
Prediction Held up
Ben Lerer: Legacy retail and media will heavily acquire DTC startups
“The last few weeks in retail, I mean, just look at the jet and dollar shave acquisitions. You're seeing, these are the first dominoes in what will be a bunch of dominoes falling. I believe in consolidation where the traditional guys in retail, the traditional …”
Ben Lerer Sep 5, 2016 ▶ 19:22 20VC: Lerer Hippeau's Ben Lerer on 'Investing With Imagination', Strategies To Avoid Fomo & Develop Pattern Recognition As An Investor and Why We Have Seen The Rise of Direct To Consumer Business & Will This Continue With Further M&A
Disclosure
Science Inc. endured 3,000 rejections to raise $350M and build Dollar Shave Club
“At this point, I think I'm at 3000 plus no's. Right. And you know, what counts is the 83 yeses that we've had, and three hundred and fifty million raised against the portfolio, and now, of course, the Dollar Shave Club billion-dollar exit.”
Peter Pham Aug 29, 2016 ▶ 7:49 20VC: Science Inc's Peter Pham on Why The Battle Between Entrepreneurs & VCs Is Unfair, How To Even The Playing Field & How To Tell When A VC Really Is Interested
Disclosure
Dollar Shave Club sold to Unilever to accelerate global scaling
“Michael and the management team were ultimately convinced that Hey, we can get so much bigger, so much more quickly by working with these guys, then continuing on the independent path, and we like them. So that was really what led to the decision to undertake …”
David Pakman Aug 10, 2016 ▶ 16:19 20VC: Dollar Shave Club's Series A & B Lead Investor, David Pakman on The Requirements For A Successful Subscription Business & Why A Lot of Investors Do Not Like Consumer
What-if
Dollar Shave Club was headed for an IPO before the Unilever buyout
“We were likely to become a public company really as a financing opportunity to add, you know, many more hundreds of millions of dollars to the company so we could expand internationally into more products and into more territories.”
David Pakman Aug 10, 2016 ▶ 15:34 20VC: Dollar Shave Club's Series A & B Lead Investor, David Pakman on The Requirements For A Successful Subscription Business & Why A Lot of Investors Do Not Like Consumer
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Multiple Dollar Shave Club seed investors passed on the Series A
“A number of the firms Who were already seed investors either did not engage with the company around its series egg or took a look and passed. It wasn't terribly competitive around for me to win.”
David Pakman Aug 10, 2016 ▶ 5:21 20VC: Dollar Shave Club's Series A & B Lead Investor, David Pakman on The Requirements For A Successful Subscription Business & Why A Lot of Investors Do Not Like Consumer
Assertion Supported
Over a dozen VCs declined to lead Dollar Shave Club's Series B
“Michael pitched, I don't know, probably at least a dozen firms in the series B where there was some investor interest, but no one who would catalyze around no one who would lead around.”
David Pakman Aug 10, 2016 ▶ 7:54 20VC: Dollar Shave Club's Series A & B Lead Investor, David Pakman on The Requirements For A Successful Subscription Business & Why A Lot of Investors Do Not Like Consumer
Disclosure
Pakman: Venrock backed Dollar Shave Club when VCs doubted it could scale
“You know, I did that with Dollar Shave Club, where very few people believed that that company could become as large as they have and could disrupt, you know, a traditional legacy shaving market, men's grooming market.”
David Pakman Jul 15, 2015 ▶ 11:30 20 VC 055: David Pakman @ Venrock on The Future Of The Music Industry
Assertion Supported
Eurie Kim: Consumer E-Commerce Acquisitions Fetch 4x to 7x Revenue Multiples
“Dollar Shave Club being acquired by Unilever for five X revenue and Shoei's acquisition of by PetSmart, which are four X and even more traditional commerce deals that you see, which are as high as six or seven X for some beauty deals that L'Oreal and Unilever …”
Eurie Kim Jan 22, 2018 ▶ 5:54 20VC: Why Brands Can Have The Same Revenue Multiples As Enterprise Companies & The Right Way To Think About Amazon In Today's World of Commerce with Eurie Kim, General Partner @ Forerunner Ventures
Insight
Davis: Early DTC giants won primarily through supply chain efficiencies
“Warby Parker and Harry's and Dollar Shave Club and so on and so forth were doing wonderful things. They'd typically been supply chain disruption businesses, and they'd been targeting efficiencies in the supply chain to give the customer a cost saving or an eff…”
Henry Davis Jan 12, 2018 ▶ 4:59 20VC: Why Risk Is Misunderstood In Entrepreneurship, Why Acquisitions Are Cheap For Incumbents Today & 3 Strategies To Improve Diversity In Your Team with Henry Davis, President & COO @ Glossier
Opinion
The market overlooked Michael Dubin's serious vision behind Dollar Shave Club
“I think that the market got totally taken by the video, and I think they misread that as a amazing go-to-market gimmick, and they might have missed how amazingly serious Michael is as an entrepreneur and a leader and a businesswoman. Vision that was behind tha…”
Kirsten Green Jul 17, 2017 ▶ 22:42 20VC: VC of The Year: Forerunner's Kirsten Green on 2 $Bn+ Exits in 1 Year, Why We Are In The Very Early Innings For Commerce & How Brand Has Fundamentally Changed Over The Last Decade
Insight
Consumer startups must use broad advertising to achieve mass adoption after saturation
“At scale, Dollar Shave Club has to buy podcasts, television ads, because there is a saturation point on all places, and the only way you can reach mass adoption is kind of advertising.”
Peter Pham Aug 29, 2016 ▶ 21:56 20VC: Science Inc's Peter Pham on Why The Battle Between Entrepreneurs & VCs Is Unfair, How To Even The Playing Field & How To Tell When A VC Really Is Interested
Assertion Supported
Dollar Shave Club revenue tripled from $20M to $60M in year three
“So we went from twenty million in year two to sixty million in revenue in year three.”
David Pakman Aug 10, 2016 ▶ 10:40 20VC: Dollar Shave Club's Series A & B Lead Investor, David Pakman on The Requirements For A Successful Subscription Business & Why A Lot of Investors Do Not Like Consumer
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dollar Shave Club showed extraordinarily low early cohort churn
“I flew to LA quickly and sat down with Michael and his team and started to go through the numbers. And I was very specifically focused on, let me see churn. Let me look, let me see what the early cohort churns are. And they were extraordinarily low.”
David Pakman Aug 10, 2016 ▶ 4:17 20VC: Dollar Shave Club's Series A & B Lead Investor, David Pakman on The Requirements For A Successful Subscription Business & Why A Lot of Investors Do Not Like Consumer
Assertion Partly supported
Dollar Shave Club achieves higher margins by selling proprietary products
“They have High margins compared to e-commerce companies that sell someone else's product, because they sell their own products.”
David Pakman Aug 10, 2016 ▶ 22:27 20VC: Dollar Shave Club's Series A & B Lead Investor, David Pakman on The Requirements For A Successful Subscription Business & Why A Lot of Investors Do Not Like Consumer
Assertion Supported
Dollar Shave Club generated $7M in revenue in its first year
“You know, they did about seven million in revenue in their first year, and they were on track to do twenty million in their second year.”
David Pakman Aug 10, 2016 ▶ 7:35 20VC: Dollar Shave Club's Series A & B Lead Investor, David Pakman on The Requirements For A Successful Subscription Business & Why A Lot of Investors Do Not Like Consumer
Disclosure
David Wu passed on investing in Stitch Fix, Instacart, and Dollar Shave Club
“But from an investor perspective, I would probably say that, you know, the biggest mistakes have to be, you know, my personal portfolio to date. Or anti-portfolio. And three that come to mind are all for different reasons where companies that I passed on that …”
David Wu Jul 29, 2015 ▶ 19:04 20 VC 058: 10 Key Traits To Be A Successful Founder with David Wu, General Partner @ Maveron
Assertion Supported
Forerunner Ventures is sole firm invested in both Jet.com and Dollar Shave Club
“Fun fact, they're the only firm to have investments in both Jet.com and Dollar Shave Club, two of the biggest and highest profile e-commerce exits in recent years.”
Harry Stebbings Jan 22, 2018 ▶ 0:27 20VC: Why Brands Can Have The Same Revenue Multiples As Enterprise Companies & The Right Way To Think About Amazon In Today's World of Commerce with Eurie Kim, General Partner @ Forerunner Ventures
Assertion Supported
Forerunner is the only VC in Dollar Shave Club and Jet.com
“Forerunner Ventures is the only VC firm to invest in both Dollar Shave Club and Jet.com, two of the biggest and highest profile e-commerce exits in recent years”
Harry Stebbings Jul 17, 2017 ▶ 0:37 20VC: VC of The Year: Forerunner's Kirsten Green on 2 $Bn+ Exits in 1 Year, Why We Are In The Very Early Innings For Commerce & How Brand Has Fundamentally Changed Over The Last Decade
Assertion Supported
Science Inc. leadership has achieved over 12 acquisitions and $1B in exits
“Their portfolio includes the likes of Medium, Dollar Shave Club, And Dog Vacay, just to name a few, and their leadership is responsible for an astonishing 12 acquisitions and over a billion dollars in exits.”
Harry Stebbings Aug 5, 2015 ▶ 0:21 20 VC 060: 12 Acquisitions, $1bn In Exits, Mike Jones, Former MySpace CEO on Life At Science Inc.
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