The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

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why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up
Schuler: Up to 50% of tech IPOs will be flat or down
“So you'll see, I think, flat and down IPO rounds. Maybe up to 50% of the companies that are out there.”
Barry Schuler Jul 5, 2017 ▶ 11:09 20VC: How To Get Back To 200 Tech IPOs Per Year, Why We Are In A 'Bulge" Not A Bubble & The Impending Flat & Down Rounds To Come with Barry Schuler, Partner @ DFJ Growth
Opinion
Schuler: High late-stage tech valuations are not a dot-com bubble
“All these prices, all these unicorns, this must be just like the dot-com bubble was, when it's nothing like the dot-com bubble. You were probably quite young for those of us who lived through it, I was exactly, exactly. You have to read the history. We are the…”
Barry Schuler Jul 5, 2017 ▶ 13:39 20VC: How To Get Back To 200 Tech IPOs Per Year, Why We Are In A 'Bulge" Not A Bubble & The Impending Flat & Down Rounds To Come with Barry Schuler, Partner @ DFJ Growth
Disclosure
Schuler: SolarCity succeeded post-IPO despite a flat-to-down offering
“We, SolarCity is a good example of an IPO we had where it was a flat to down IPO round. Everyone ended up putting money in to get that company public, and they did sensationally.”
Barry Schuler Jul 5, 2017 ▶ 11:17 20VC: How To Get Back To 200 Tech IPOs Per Year, Why We Are In A 'Bulge" Not A Bubble & The Impending Flat & Down Rounds To Come with Barry Schuler, Partner @ DFJ Growth
Prediction Held up
Schuler: Low-traction late-stage unicorns will be acquired at down-round valuations
“The last group in that bulge are our companies that run out of the capital they've raised. They've not gotten the traction in the marketplace that they had hoped to. They still have value, and they're still important, and I would expect you'll see that smart a…”
Barry Schuler Jul 5, 2017 ▶ 15:43 20VC: How To Get Back To 200 Tech IPOs Per Year, Why We Are In A 'Bulge" Not A Bubble & The Impending Flat & Down Rounds To Come with Barry Schuler, Partner @ DFJ Growth
Disclosure
DFJ Growth Prioritizes Cash-on-Cash Returns While Institutional LPs Focus on IRR
“Because in this business, when you're trying to generate returns, both cash on cash, you know, return multiple, which we tend to focus on, but also IRR, which a lot of institutional LPs focus on, really does start to hone your senses towards particular timefra…”
Randy Glein Feb 8, 2017 ▶ 10:29 20VC: The Radical Changes In Public Market Expectations, The Right Way To Assess Valuation & What It Means To Be A Disciplined & Diligent Investor with Randy Glein, Partner @ DFJ Growth
Insight
Growth Tech Investing Is Not Value Investing; Hyper-Growth Commands Premiums
“I'll tell you at the growth stage, I never feel like, you know, we're not a value investor. So I never feel like price we're getting is, is cheap. It's not a value play. We're investing in hyper growth companies. So there's a premium to pay for that.”
Randy Glein Feb 8, 2017 ▶ 23:59 20VC: The Radical Changes In Public Market Expectations, The Right Way To Assess Valuation & What It Means To Be A Disciplined & Diligent Investor with Randy Glein, Partner @ DFJ Growth
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schuler: DFJ Growth was founded on tech companies staying private longer
“This is back in 2005 where we saw an inefficiency in the marketplace. We felt companies were going to stay private longer. We thought they had to because of the markets.”
Barry Schuler Jul 5, 2017 ▶ 3:31 20VC: How To Get Back To 200 Tech IPOs Per Year, Why We Are In A 'Bulge" Not A Bubble & The Impending Flat & Down Rounds To Come with Barry Schuler, Partner @ DFJ Growth
Disclosure
Schuler: DFJ Growth preemptively invested in Giphy when it wasn't fundraising
“Well, the most recent one, we did two toward the end of the year. One was unity and the second was Giphy, and Giphy, I had to get them to say yes. They actually weren't raising money, and one of the ways we like to operate is being a little preemptive, and we …”
Barry Schuler Jul 5, 2017 ▶ 22:13 20VC: How To Get Back To 200 Tech IPOs Per Year, Why We Are In A 'Bulge" Not A Bubble & The Impending Flat & Down Rounds To Come with Barry Schuler, Partner @ DFJ Growth
Disclosure
DFJ Growth Targets Companies Three to Six Years Away From IPO
“And our strategy at DFJ growth really targets companies that have more of a three to six year Horizon to IPO.”
Randy Glein Feb 8, 2017 ▶ 18:06 20VC: The Radical Changes In Public Market Expectations, The Right Way To Assess Valuation & What It Means To Be A Disciplined & Diligent Investor with Randy Glein, Partner @ DFJ Growth
Disclosure
DFJ Growth's Target Revenue Threshold Is Low Tens of Millions
“The sweet spot for us is low tens of millions”
Randy Glein Feb 8, 2017 ▶ 21:29 20VC: The Radical Changes In Public Market Expectations, The Right Way To Assess Valuation & What It Means To Be A Disciplined & Diligent Investor with Randy Glein, Partner @ DFJ Growth
Disclosure
DFJ Growth Requires Target Companies to Grow 100% Annually
“And there, we look for growth rates that are at least a hundred percent or more with a product or technology that we believe has room to run at those hyper growth rates for some extended period of time.”
Randy Glein Feb 8, 2017 ▶ 21:43 20VC: The Radical Changes In Public Market Expectations, The Right Way To Assess Valuation & What It Means To Be A Disciplined & Diligent Investor with Randy Glein, Partner @ DFJ Growth
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