Opinion certainty 5/5 debate potential 3/5

Schuler: High late-stage tech valuations are not a dot-com bubble

Barry Schuler · 20VC: How To Get Back To 200 Tech IPOs Per Year, Why We Are In A 'Bulge" Not A Bubble & The Impending Flat & Down Rounds To Come with Barry Schuler, Partner @ DFJ Growth · Jul 5, 2017 · at 13:39

Barry Schuler, partner at DFJ Growth, refutes claims that high late-stage startup valuations in 2017 reflect a retail-driven bubble like the late 1990s.

0:00 / 0:29exact quote · 29.4s
720p mp4 · rendered on demand · StarZero watermark
“All these prices, all these unicorns, this must be just like the dot-com bubble was, when it's nothing like the dot-com bubble. You were probably quite young for those of us who lived through it, I was exactly, exactly. You have to read the history. We are the history. And you know, it's, it wasn't the issue of there's a whole bunch of retail buyers. You had professional investors creating these valuations.”

quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading: filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard (the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →

More from Barry Schuler

Prediction Held up
Schuler: Up to 50% of tech IPOs will be flat or down
“So you'll see, I think, flat and down IPO rounds. Maybe up to 50% of the companies that are out there.”
Barry Schuler Jul 5, 2017 ▶ 11:09 20VC: How To Get Back To 200 Tech IPOs Per Year, Why We Are In A 'Bulge" Not A Bubble & The Impending Flat & Down Rounds To Come with Barry Schuler, Partner @ DFJ Growth
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Schuler: Exclusive machine-to-machine trading will cause financial markets to fail
“When machines start trading with each other, the markets will disappear because We need the uncertainty of humans to make those markets, markets work.”
Barry Schuler Jul 5, 2017 ▶ 18:38 20VC: How To Get Back To 200 Tech IPOs Per Year, Why We Are In A 'Bulge" Not A Bubble & The Impending Flat & Down Rounds To Come with Barry Schuler, Partner @ DFJ Growth
Prediction Held up
Schuler: Public multiple expansion after high private valuations is extremely rare
“In the old days, the momentum of the growth period of a stock happened in the public markets. They're happening in the private market. So to expect someone to have a huge multiple on the private phase and then go into the public markets and have a huge multipl…”
Barry Schuler Jul 5, 2017 ▶ 15:16 20VC: How To Get Back To 200 Tech IPOs Per Year, Why We Are In A 'Bulge" Not A Bubble & The Impending Flat & Down Rounds To Come with Barry Schuler, Partner @ DFJ Growth
Insight
Schuler: Venture capital's biggest existential threat is persistent overcapitalization
“The existential threat to VC is Is one that's always been around too much money searching for too few good deals yielding low returns and making the category not so attractive.”
Barry Schuler Jul 5, 2017 ▶ 19:09 20VC: How To Get Back To 200 Tech IPOs Per Year, Why We Are In A 'Bulge" Not A Bubble & The Impending Flat & Down Rounds To Come with Barry Schuler, Partner @ DFJ Growth
Assertion Supported
Schuler: Only about 70 institutional investors buy first-day tech IPOs
“At least in the U S public markets, the amount of institutional investors who like to buy First day, tech stocks has become very small. There's a handful of banks that take them out. We know who they all are, and there's, you know, about 70 institutional inves…”
Barry Schuler Jul 5, 2017 ▶ 5:34 20VC: How To Get Back To 200 Tech IPOs Per Year, Why We Are In A 'Bulge" Not A Bubble & The Impending Flat & Down Rounds To Come with Barry Schuler, Partner @ DFJ Growth
Assertion Partly supported
Schuler: Facebook went public overpriced and took years to recover
“If you're overvalued, and they really kind of force the issue out, you can see problems like Facebook experienced, you know, when they went out overpriced problems in the market, and it took them a couple of years of performing well before they straightened it…”
Barry Schuler Jul 5, 2017 ▶ 7:30 20VC: How To Get Back To 200 Tech IPOs Per Year, Why We Are In A 'Bulge" Not A Bubble & The Impending Flat & Down Rounds To Come with Barry Schuler, Partner @ DFJ Growth
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 1,200 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.