why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Lemkin: Asana product feels terminal and fits roll-up target criteria
“This is easy for me to, I don't want to be too much of an armchair quarterback from a product that feels terminal, but it's probably a good one. I think it's a good candidate, right?”
Insight
Oliver Jay: Repeatable sales playbooks require at least 20 ramped AEs
“I don't think you create that playbook until you have at least 20 ramped AEs, where you have the right to say this is a playbook.”
Insight
Traynor: Expensive AI API calls compress traditional 80% SaaS gross margins
“I think a second one will just be margin compression. The B to B SaaS model, LTV, CAC dynamics, and all that sort of stuff, it does have some assumption in there of like, 80 to 90% margins. Maybe 70 to 90% margin is kind of what you expect if you're running li…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pearl: Every major PLG company must add direct sales
“Every iconic PLG company, whether it's Slack or Dropbox or Asana or Zoom, you know, at some point they have to add on that sort of direct selling motion to complement the PLG business.”
Opinion
Asana and Dropbox were too late adopting enterprise sales over PLG
“I would argue actually that companies like Asana or Dropbox were a little too late into enabling the enterprise motion on top of PLG.”
Insight
Software companies can run PLG and enterprise sales simultaneously
“When I first joined Asana, and even today, when I talk to a lot of people, I think there is this predominant view of that. You can, you have to pick one or the other. And at Asana, we pioneered and we try to do both at the same time. And I think the results we…”
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2031
Stebbings: Dustin Moskovitz will make more money from Anthropic than Asana
“Dustin will make more money from his anthropic investment than he will from definitely from Asana.”
Disclosure
Oliver Jay: Asana reached $20M revenue without a sales deck
“When I joined Asana, we had twenty million in revenue, mainly driven from our self-serve business. And we didn't have a sales deck.”
Disclosure
Asana reached $20M in self-serve revenue without a sales deck
“When I joined Asana, we had twenty million in revenue, mainly driven from our self-serve business, right? And there was no, we didn't have a sales deck.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Uber's early city expansion playbook was a 180-step Asana checklist
“And the playbook was probably a 180 steps. We should probably open source it at some point. It's on an Asana checklist somewhere.”
Disclosure
Asana adopted Toyota's Five Whys process for lost sales post-mortems
“At Asana, we had a practice called Five Whys, it was adopted from Toyota, that I think is very effective.”