The Ledger

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why aren't all 21 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Anish Acharya claims he has never lost a deal at a16z
“I've never lost a deal.”
Anish Acharya Feb 9, 2026 ▶ 39:04 a16z, Anish Acharya: Is SaaS Dead? Do Margins Still Matter? Why We Are Not in an AI Bubble? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Siroker: Top VC funds will break ownership minimums for hot startups
“Yeah, the best investors benchmark and recent, they will invest less than their supposed minimums for the right company.”
Dan Siroker May 15, 2024 ▶ 29:43 Dan Siroker: Second-Time Founders Are More Investable & Why Not To Hire People Out of College |E1153 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Lacaillade: Founders Fund, a16z, Greenoaks, and Thrive proactively marked down valuations
“In my core relationships Founders Fund's the most extreme, because Peter Thiel's very contrarian and he wants to reset the mindset of his team. Which I think is great. But Andreessen Horowitz, Green Oaks Thrive, they've all proactively marked down their compan…”
Peter Lacaillade Dec 18, 2023 ▶ 24:08 Peter Lacaillade: Why Now is the Best Time to Invest in Emerging Managers | E1096 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Lemkin: Andreessen Horowitz has achieved top-decile VC fund returns
“The returns were published. The returns are top decile. So you have the biggest fund, the top decile returns or quartile, whatever, top tier, which used to be a knock. And founders love this brand.”
Jason Lemkin Jan 15, 2026 ▶ 27:41 Anthropic’s $10B Raise | a16z’s $15B Fund: Is the Middle Dead in VC? | How OpenAI Could Go to Zero? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Winning AI applications are growing three times faster than predecessor SaaS startups
“For most of these companies that we've backed, these winning apps, they're growing faster, three X faster, you know, than predecessor SaaS and cloud companies.”
David George Dec 15, 2025 ▶ 43:31 a16z's David George on the Most Controversial Bet at a16z & Do Margins and Revenue Matter in AI? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Dixon: a16z Has Never Pivoted Strategy, Investing in AI Since 2013
“We are, we don't pivot at A-Six-Z, like we've never pivoted. We have all, you know, we've done AI for 10, since I've been at the firm, since 2013, we've done blockchain, crypto consistently, we've done bio, we've done SaaS, we've done video games.”
Chris Dixon Mar 27, 2024 ▶ 20:00 Chris Dixon: Who Will Win the Next Generation of Venture? | E1132 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Held up
Stebbings: Andreessen Horowitz Will Keep Raising Billions on 12% Return Expectations
“I think to your point, though, that the 10, 12% being good enough, I think that's exactly why Andreessen respectfully will continue to thrive and raise billions and billions of more dollars, because compared to the six or seven percent net that they're getting…”
Harry Stebbings Feb 19, 2024 ▶ 25:27 Roger Ehrenberg: Why VC Returns Will Get Worse & Why LP Incentive Structures are so Broken | E1117 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Jordan: Instacart lost $20-$25 per order when a16z first invested
“From recollection, they were billing something like 10 or 12 dollars per order when we invested, and they were losing 20, 25 dollars per order on each one”
Jeff Jordan Jan 16, 2023 ▶ 33:32 a16z GP Jeff Jordan: The Ultimate Guide to Two-Sided Marketplaces | 20VC #966 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Horowitz: Andreessen Horowitz faced criticism for marketing VC before competitors copied it
“It was basically known as a given that you did not market Venture capital firms. Nobody had ever marketed their venture capital firm in any kind of context, and it's definitely the decision we got the most criticism for before everybody copied it”
Ben Horowitz Oct 28, 2019 ▶ 26:32 20VC: a16z's Ben Horowitz on How To Create An Environment of Trust with Founders, How and Why Creating Shocking Rules Is So Impactful To Culture & What The Samurai, Shaka Senghor and Toussaint Teach Us About Company Culture Building
Prediction Held up
Top VC firms will be forced to adapt to new funding models
“Sequoia, Benchmark, Andreessen Horowitz, they're not going away anytime soon. This isn't like, we're out to beat them and kill them. Not in the same way Airbnb is not going to delete hotels overnight. It's going to change how hotels work. I think that's a bett…”
Dustin Dolginow Feb 10, 2016 ▶ 18:55 20VC: The First Online Venture Fund Built On AngelList with Dustin Dolginow @ Maiden Lane
Assertion Supported
O'Driscoll: Andreessen Horowitz has invested at least $500M into Databricks
“For that guy, you probably, I'm willing to bet they have the guts of a billion dollars in that deal. Could be wrong. Half a billion at least.”
Rory O'Driscoll Aug 21, 2025 ▶ 17:58 Databricks at $100BN, CoreWeave’s $11B Debt Bet & Nubank’s $2.5B Profit Shocker - Ep.19 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Andreessen Horowitz passed on Postmates four or five times
“I pitched him four times or five times the entire firm with Postmates. They were smart enough to say no”
Bastian Lehmann Apr 8, 2024 ▶ 29:20 Bastian Lehmann: How the Uber Deal Went Down and How a $2.65BN Deal Turned into $5BN | E1137 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
a16z gives sponsoring GPs final authority via single trigger-puller model
“Just like we do at the venture fund, we have a single trigger-puller model, though. We have discussions and deep, robust discussions about investment decisions, but it's ultimately the call of the GP who's sponsoring the investment.”
David George Jul 19, 2021 ▶ 21:26 20VC: a16z's David George on Leading a16z's Growth Fund Today, The Biggest Misconceptions of Growth Investing, How a16z Think Through Portfolio Construction, Investment Decision-Making and Scenario Planning & How The Entrance of New Players Has Changed Th
Assertion Supported
Andreessen Horowitz fines team members $10 per minute for tardiness to meetings
“We find people basically, if you're on time, but if you're late, it's 10 dollars a minute for a meeting with an entrepreneur.”
Ben Horowitz Oct 28, 2019 ▶ 13:39 20VC: a16z's Ben Horowitz on How To Create An Environment of Trust with Founders, How and Why Creating Shocking Rules Is So Impactful To Culture & What The Samurai, Shaka Senghor and Toussaint Teach Us About Company Culture Building
Prediction Held up
Coelius: Mega VC firms are taking platform bundling to a higher level
“If you look at what Andreessen is doing and you look at what the number of the other big platforms are doing, they're taking venture to a whole even higher level of bundling where they're saying, look, we're going to basically use the sort of returns that come…”
Zach Coelius Jun 3, 2019 ▶ 11:06 20VC: Why Portfolio Construction Is Inefficient, Why The Only Thing That Matters In Venture Is Pricing & The Future of Venture; Bundled or Unbundled with Zach Coelius
Assertion Supported
Staniszewski: a16z connected ElevenLabs with celebrities before investing
“A-sixteen Z was phenomenal. They did exactly what we spoke about, which was, they've shown us that they cared before they invested. They introduced us to incredible people, to some celebrities to work on the voice licensing. So they were like on it for two wee…”
Mati Staniszewski Sep 8, 2025 ▶ 33:42 ElevenLabs CEO/Co-Founder, Mati Staniszewski:The Untold Story of Europe’s Fastest Growing AI Startup · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Hans Tung: Andreessen Horowitz limits global expansion due to operational complexity
“They're not trying to go global. They do mostly in primarily US and they will dabble here and there, but primarily focus on the US market because it's operational heavy to scale their model.”
Hans Tung Feb 23, 2022 ▶ 13:12 The Tiger Global Memo: From Sequoia Capital to Benchmark and Thrive: The World's Best on the Rise of Tiger Global
Assertion Supported
Hans Tung: Andreessen Horowitz limits global expansion due to operational intensity
“And you talk to fine folks at Andreessen, they're not trying to go global. They do mostly in primarily US and they will dabble here and there, but primarily focus on the US market because it's operational heavy to scale their model.”
Hans Tung Sep 20, 2021 ▶ 17:42 20VC: Investing Lessons From Rounds In Peloton and Square, Why Great Investing is Stock-Picking and Sector Penetration & The Next Decade in Venture, Is Tiger's The Right Model with Hans Tung, Managing Partner @ GGV Capital
Assertion Supported
Mazzeo: Andreessen Horowitz modeled its VC platform team on CAA
“As you've seen firms build out and scale up, And hire a lot of people to sort of better help, largely based on the CAA model in Andreessen's case to better help service clients by surrounding them with experts in hiring and marketing and distribution and busin…”
Matt Mazzeo Mar 14, 2016 ▶ 25:21 20VC: Lowercase's Matt Mazzeo on Being Chris Sacca's Partner and The 3 KPIs to Successful Investing
Assertion Supported
Polychain grew AUM from $4M to over $200M within two years
“Having founded the firm less than two years ago with Four million under management in their initial fund. Polychain now has over two hundred million under management, with backing from the likes of Sequoia, Founders Fund, Andreessen Horowitz, and USV, just to …”
Harry Stebbings Dec 11, 2017 ▶ 0:28 20VC: Inside The World's Leading Crypto Fund, The Future Exit Environment for Crypto Assets & The Beauty Of Benevolent Dictatorship with Olaf Carlson-Wee, Founder @ Polychain Capital
Assertion Supported
Top Tier Capital Partners' portfolio includes Andreessen Horowitz and Index Ventures
“Included in their stellar fund portfolio is the likes of Index, Initialize, True Ventures, Andreessen, and some of my favorites in Ed and Elliot at Boldstart, just to name a”
Harry Stebbings Nov 4, 2019 ▶ 0:48 20VC: Inside The Mind of A Leading LP: How LPs Evaluate New Fund Managers on Everything from First Meeting to Portfolio Construction To Fees and Carry with Lisa Edgar, Managing Director @ Top Tier Capital Partners
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