unicorn

also referred to as: unicorns

25 statements across 25 episodes · 2 bullish · 14 bearish · 13 people on the record · first statement Feb 5, 2015 by Niko Bonatsos · across every show →

Everything said about unicorn, oldest first

Feb 5, 2015
Assertion Supported
Bonatsos: Data shows $10B+ tech companies usually have 2-3 co-founders
“You know, historically, if you look into the data the companies that have built unicorns or that have built Tech products and companies that have become ten billion dollar plus market cap enterprises tend to have a team founding team of two to three, you know,…”
Niko Bonatsos Feb 5, 2015 ▶ 4:47 20 VC: Niko Bonatsos on Startup Valuations
Jul 1, 2015
Insight
Lemkin: VCs cannot make money unless founders pursue unicorn valuations
“To make any money as a VC, even just as a partner in a hundred eighty million dollar fund, which is not huge, If you're not at least going for a unicorn, no matter what ends up happening, I can't make any money, so I'm out.”
Jason Lemkin Jul 1, 2015 ▶ 16:05 20 VC 050: Starting, Building and Selling in SaaS with the King of SaaS, Jason Lemkin, Managing Director @ Storm Ventures
Feb 19, 2016 bearish
Prediction Held up
De Masi: Tech unicorns face slow valuation deflation into 'zombie corns'
“I think those days are coming to the end, at least on this cycle. And I think you will see a slow deflation of unicorns becoming zombie corns in a lot of places. A lot of private paper mergers are going to happen.”
Niccolo De Masi Feb 19, 2016 ▶ 15:21 20 VC: Niccolo De Masi @ Glu Mobile on Private Market Valuations, Being A Public Market CEO & The Trends Of Mobile Gaming
Mar 11, 2016 bearish
Prediction Partly held up
De Masi: Tech Unicorns Face Forced Consolidation and Declining Valuations
“When I look at the unicorns today, you know, you're gonna see forced consolidation, you're gonna see continued gas error being let out of valuations here, and people resist it Using clever capital structures, endless consolidation, and hope that they can hold …”
Niccolo De Masi Mar 11, 2016 ▶ 8:03 20VC: Niccolo De Masi on The Bursting Of The Tech Bubble and What It Takes To Be A Celebrity Partner with Glu Mobile
Nov 23, 2016 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Paley predicts many of 2016's unicorns will never justify $1B valuations
“There's over 200 Companies that are considered these unicorns, many of them will probably never live up to their billion dollar valuations, but they've redefined for venture capitalists what their expectations are.”
Eric Paley Nov 23, 2016 ▶ 13:39 20VC: Venture Capital Is One Hell Of A Drug, What VCs Expect From Founders Once They Have Raised & Why Customers Validate Your Business Not Venture Capital with Eric Paley, Managing Partner @ Founder Collective
Aug 25, 2017 negative
Opinion
Abrams: Overvaluation was a late-stage unicorn problem, not a seed problem
“I think the biggest problem with valuation was the later stage valuations of so-called unicorns. That was, I think, a bigger problem, and it's, that's still, to some extent, sitting around in some companies, some overvalued companies having raised hundreds of …”
Jonathan Abrams Aug 25, 2017 ▶ 12:20 20VC: Nuzzel's Jonathan Abrams on Why The Top VCs Do Not Have A PlayBook For Startup Success, Why Most Boards Are Not Successful & Why He Is Bored Of Hearing "I Fell Into VC"
Jul 17, 2018 bearish
Opinion
Gil: Half of Unicorns Are Dramatically Overvalued
“Half of the unicorns are probably dramatically overvalued, and if they were public companies, their valuations would get chopped down pretty dramatically relative to where they are today.”
Elad Gil Jul 17, 2018 ▶ 24:42 20VC: Elad Gil's High Growth Handbook on The Commonalities of The Truly Great CEOs, How To Hire The Very Best Execs, Why Cash is A Defensible Moat Today & The Pros and Cons of M&A and IPOs
Sep 4, 2018 negative
Opinion
Eggers: Paper 'unicorns' are misleading; real $1B exits should be called 'narwhals'
“I just don't like the word unicorn, because it's sort of like unfinished business. It's like celebrating a touchdown before you know whether you've won the game or not. And so I like to use the term narwhal. Unicorns are not real. Narwhals are real. They also …”
Barry Eggers Sep 4, 2018 ▶ 24:46 20VC: What It Takes To Found and Scale A Global Venture Firm Like Lightspeed, 3 Ways Firms Do Not Succeed in Generational Transition & What Makes The Truly Special Board Members Like Jim Goetz with Barry Eggers, Founding Partner @ Lightspeed Venture Partn
May 22, 2020
Assertion Supported
TripActions Was Among the First Tech Unicorns to Conduct COVID Layoffs
“We are one of the first, I would say, unicorns to do layoffs, just because usually I think in TripActions we are executing really well.”
Ariel Cohen May 22, 2020 ▶ 10:41 20VC: TripActions CEO Ariel Cohen on The Future of Business and Personal Travel & Layoffs; How To Do Them The Right Way & Maintain Company Culture and Morale
Jan 13, 2023 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: Being a unicorn is no longer a point of pride
“Everyone with their unicorns. I don't think anyone brags about being a unicorn today, do they? Do founders brag about it? It's gone out the window as a term of brag, brag, bragification.”
Jason Lemkin Jan 13, 2023 ▶ 3:38 Jason Lemkin: WTF is Going On in VC? Are LPs Investing in New Funds? | 20VC #965 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 20, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Paley: Many unicorn startups will lose their unicorn valuations
“So I think this, some of this stuff is starting to shift a little bit, largely because so many of these unicorns are going to be, you know, un, unhorned, or whatever the right term is, unwinged, unhorned.”
Eric Paley Sep 20, 2023 ▶ 45:30 Is the VC Model Broken? Jason Lemkin, Mike Maples, Eric Paley & Harry Stebbings Debate | E1062 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 10, 2024 bullish
Prediction Held up
Sim: Unicorns will acquire private startups to build platforms before IPO
“You're going to see more private to private as well. And the reason why that makes sense for a private company is because if you're a one product company, going back to the platform play, you're going to go, you're going to have to buy another product or two a…”
Ed Sim Jan 10, 2024 ▶ 48:57 Ed Sim & Jamin Ball: Did Figma Kill M&A Markets & 3 Requirements to IPO in 2024 | E1101 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 3, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: Late-Stage Unicorns Must Rebuild Management Teams to Survive Market Pressures
“And you know, you, I mean, I can't speak to Gong in particular, but I think all of these folks, they're gonna have to rebuild their entire management teams if they haven't already. You need, you just, it's too much for the team. Folks that I know that work at …”
Jason Lemkin Jun 3, 2024 ▶ 39:14 Jason Lemkin: PluralSight S*** the Bed & The Next IPO Candidates | E1160 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 18, 2024
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kothari: Few 2021-2022 unicorns can show leaders a path to growing into valuations
“I think it is a challenge for a lot of companies when you can't show them a path. And I think it was a bigger challenge in twenty-twenty-two. I think some companies have been able to sort of like show a path or have gotten there. But I think they're probably m…”
Akshay Kothari Sep 18, 2024 ▶ 31:52 Akshay Kothari: How Notion Has More Money Than Ever & Why Startup Fundraising is Broken | E1203 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 23, 2024 negative
Insight
Gurski: Pure analytical rigor cannot create unicorns, as shown by McKinsey
“And sometimes people, they're kind of, they're trying to find, like, a perfect solution, but the truth of life is that nobody knows future, and nobody may make, like, perfect decisions just based on information or analysis, because if it were the case, then Mc…”
Dmitry Gurski Sep 23, 2024 ▶ 1:21:24 Dmitry Gurski: From Potato Farm to $200M in Revenue: The Never-Before-Told Story of Flo Health|E1205 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 20, 2025 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Kanji: Seed startup unicorn probability is 3%
“The probability at seed of picking something that becomes a unicorn is three percent.”
Hussein Kanji Jan 20, 2025 ▶ 48:19 Hussein Kanji, Founder @Hoxton Ventures: Why AI Means London Can Compete with the US | E1248 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 17, 2025 neutral
Disclosure
Lemkin: Late-stage fund matched my seed stake with nine-figure unicorn check
“I just have a company that's just become a unicorn and a late stage fund just put in almost nine figures. Okay. And they own as much as me.”
Jason Lemkin Apr 17, 2025 ▶ 39:30 a16z's $20BN Fund & Founders Fund's $4.6BN & Why Josh Kushner Has Mastered the Game · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 8, 2025 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2030
O'Driscoll: Only 200 of 1,000 current unicorns will IPO
“Honestly, I didn't even notice because it's going to be one of five, 600 of these that's going to have to happen. You know, there's somewhere between 800 and a thousand unicorns and a couple of hundred of them are going to get public and the rest of them are g…”
Rory O'Driscoll May 8, 2025 ▶ 50:40 Benchmark vs a16z: Why Stage Specific Firms Win · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 12, 2025 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2030
O'Driscoll: Only 20% of current unicorns will reach an IPO
“My gut would be, it's roughly, 20% will be good enough to get public in the end, 20% will totally, maybe 25 on each site, just for arbitrariness sake, and then 50% in the middle are meaningful enough to be valuable, but not so meaningful that they'll get publi…”
Rory O'Driscoll Jun 12, 2025 ▶ 21:26 Elon’s Empire: SpaceX, Tesla, Neuralink After the Storm & Anduril’s $2.6BN Power Move · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 10, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
O'Driscoll: Private equity buyouts won't save 500 to 700 unicorns
“It's not going to, you know, it's a start, but it's not going to save 500 to 700 unicorns single handedly, right?”
Rory O'Driscoll Jul 10, 2025 ▶ 32:26 Daniel Gross and Nat Friedman: Acquired by Meta | Microsoft Layoff 9000 People | OpenAI's Bombshell · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 2, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
O'Driscoll: VCs must merge unicorns to clear 30-year IPO backlog
“But at a zoom out level, this is the kind of thing that simply has to happen over and over again In everyone's venture portfolio because we have six, 700 unicorns. We've processed five, 15 out the IPO gate year to date, so 20 for the year. That implies we got …”
Rory O'Driscoll Oct 2, 2025 ▶ 1:01:29 Are Burn Multiples BS in an AI World? & Sam Altman Needs $1TRN of Energy · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 20, 2025
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
O'Driscoll: 15% of Q1 newly minted unicorns saw valuation step-ups by Q3
“There was something like 20, 24 minted unicorns in Q one. By Q three, 15% of them already had a step up.”
Rory O'Driscoll Nov 20, 2025 ▶ 32:35 Peter Thiel and Softbank Sell NVIDIA - Why? & Why VC Will Hit $1TRN and The Opening of Retail · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 22, 2026 negative
Opinion
Lemkin: Almost no software unicorns are better than Figma
“None of the unicorns are better than Figma, almost none of the prior, and if Figma isn't good enough, it's not good enough.”
Jason Lemkin Jan 22, 2026 ▶ 3:22 Elon Musk vs Sam Altman | The Implosion of Thinking Machines | Can VC Survive Public Pricing? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 26, 2026 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: Ratio of acquirers to unicorns is at career low
“I just worry there's some ratio of potential acquirers divided by unicorns, and I think we're at the lowest ratio of our careers.”
Jason Lemkin Mar 26, 2026 ▶ 0:36 Why You Need a $1B Fund To Do Series A | SpaceX at $2TRN & Data Centers in Space | Groq's $20BN Deal · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 23, 2026 bullish
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
O'Driscoll: 40% of early 2025 unicorns get marked up within 18 months
“We looked at every, I mean, if you look at all the unicorns that were minted in Q-one or Q-two of 25, by the end of Q-two 26, at least 40% of them will have had a subsequent markup.”
Rory O'Driscoll Jul 23, 2026 ▶ 1:11:25 Should the US Ban Chinese Open-Source Models | OpenRouter's Chance To Sell | Stripe Buying PayPal
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