Howard Marks

24 statements across 4 episodes · 6 bullish · 7 bearish · 3 people on the record · first statement Jan 20, 2020 by Howard Marks · said 58 times in 26 episodes since 2019 · across every show →

On the record as a speaker too: Howard Marks's record, appearances and statements → this page counts the times other people say the name.

Mentions by year

brought up most by Harry Stebbings (22), Bill Gurley (16), Mike Maples (7), Michael Eisenberg (3), Scooter Braun (2), Mitchell Green (1), Julio Vasconcellos (1), Everett Randle (1)

tap a year for its mentions
008315620192020202120222023202420252026episodesmentions
03620192020202120222023202420252026episodes it came up in
00438620192020202120222023202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 4 mentions in 3 episodes 1 per episode
2025 4 mentions in 1 episode
2024 4 mentions in 2 episodes 2 per episode
2023 5 mentions in 3 episodes 2 per episode
2022 10 mentions in 6 episodes 2 per episode
2021 9 mentions in 4 episodes 2 per episode
2020 9 mentions in 5 episodes 2 per episode
2019 13 mentions in 2 episodes 7 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Howard Marks, oldest first

Jan 20, 2020
Insight
Marks: Risk positioning should be a speedometer, not a binary choice
“Now, people always wanted me to say, buy or sell, in or out, and those judgments are too black and white. It should be more nuanced. Where on the speedometer between zero and a hundred should you be today?”
Howard Marks Jan 20, 2020 ▶ 9:55 20VC: Oaktree Capital's Howard Marks on The Most Important Skill An Investor Can Have, The Right Way To Think About Price Sensitivity & Where Are We At Today; Take More Risk or Less?
Jan 20, 2020 bearish
Opinion
Marks: Investors should reduce risk and take chips off the table
“I don't think we're in a massive bubble. I don't think this thing is gonna collapse anytime soon, but I do think that there is more risk than usual, which means that you should be more cautious than usual. I'm not saying that we're not going higher. I'm not sa…”
Howard Marks Jan 20, 2020 ▶ 10:13 20VC: Oaktree Capital's Howard Marks on The Most Important Skill An Investor Can Have, The Right Way To Think About Price Sensitivity & Where Are We At Today; Take More Risk or Less?
Jan 20, 2020
Insight
Marks: Investors should be aggressive when others are terrified
“When others are fearless and risk oblivious and aggressive, we should be terrified. When others are terrified, we should be aggressive.”
Howard Marks Jan 20, 2020 ▶ 14:56 20VC: Oaktree Capital's Howard Marks on The Most Important Skill An Investor Can Have, The Right Way To Think About Price Sensitivity & Where Are We At Today; Take More Risk or Less?
Jan 20, 2020 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Marks: FOMO and greed dominate early 2020 markets
“That's when you get the best bargains, and that is not a very good description of today. Today, people are eager to invest. Fear of missing out seems to have taken over from fear of losing money. People are risk tolerant. They're greedy. They're optimistic. Th…”
Howard Marks Jan 20, 2020 ▶ 11:18 20VC: Oaktree Capital's Howard Marks on The Most Important Skill An Investor Can Have, The Right Way To Think About Price Sensitivity & Where Are We At Today; Take More Risk or Less?
Jan 20, 2020
Insight
Marks: Asset prices reflect fundamentals combined with investor optimism
“If I could know only one thing, I would think I'd want to know how much optimism there is in the price. You know, prices are not the result of investment fundamentals. They're a result of the combination of fundamentals and psychology. And, you know, the highe…”
Howard Marks Jan 20, 2020 ▶ 12:50 20VC: Oaktree Capital's Howard Marks on The Most Important Skill An Investor Can Have, The Right Way To Think About Price Sensitivity & Where Are We At Today; Take More Risk or Less?
Jan 20, 2020 positive
What-if
Marks: Missing out on Lehman Brothers saved his investing career
“If it wasn't for that little bit of bad luck, I could have spent 40 years at Lehman Brothers and had nothing to show of it”
Howard Marks Jan 20, 2020 ▶ 5:34 20VC: Oaktree Capital's Howard Marks on The Most Important Skill An Investor Can Have, The Right Way To Think About Price Sensitivity & Where Are We At Today; Take More Risk or Less?
Jan 20, 2020 bearish
Assertion Supported
Marks: The market is in an advanced, elevated cycle stage
“I do think that we are in the upper advancing part of the cycle. You know, we've been in, it's been a long economic expansion, a long bull market, in both cases, the longest in history. Valuations of stocks are higher than usual. Interest rates and yield sprea…”
Howard Marks Jan 20, 2020 ▶ 6:52 20VC: Oaktree Capital's Howard Marks on The Most Important Skill An Investor Can Have, The Right Way To Think About Price Sensitivity & Where Are We At Today; Take More Risk or Less?
Jan 20, 2020
Insight
Marks: Intellectual humility means accepting the other person could be right
“One of the most important characteristics for any of us in our lives is Intellectual humility. And it's very simple what that means. It means the other guy could be right.”
Howard Marks Jan 20, 2020 ▶ 17:49 20VC: Oaktree Capital's Howard Marks on The Most Important Skill An Investor Can Have, The Right Way To Think About Price Sensitivity & Where Are We At Today; Take More Risk or Less?
Jan 20, 2020
Insight
Marks: Outsized returns come from taking risk when others refuse
“So you make the big money as an investor for taking risk when others won't.”
Howard Marks Jan 20, 2020 ▶ 11:39 20VC: Oaktree Capital's Howard Marks on The Most Important Skill An Investor Can Have, The Right Way To Think About Price Sensitivity & Where Are We At Today; Take More Risk or Less?
Mar 30, 2020
Insight
Howard Marks: Market bargains vanish once uncertainty is resolved
“It is my opinion that when the knife is falling, it's terrifying. Buyers get great value. And when the knife stops falling and the dust settles and the uncertainty is resolved, the bargains are gone.”
Howard Marks Mar 30, 2020 ▶ 18:00 20VC: Howard Marks on How COVID-19 Impacts Our Economy, Liquidity and National Debt, Why The Theory of Falling Knives and Market Bottoms is Wrong & Why The Best Investors Are Fundamentally Unemotional
Mar 30, 2020 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Howard Marks: Europe Will Outperform US in Navigating COVID Crisis
“The U.S. Has a better underlying rate of growth and more economic vitality. On the other hand, I think that the U.S. Lacks the national leadership, which might be required to get us through this. My guess is that the, well, in this little instance here, I'm go…”
Howard Marks Mar 30, 2020 ▶ 22:25 20VC: Howard Marks on How COVID-19 Impacts Our Economy, Liquidity and National Debt, Why The Theory of Falling Knives and Market Bottoms is Wrong & Why The Best Investors Are Fundamentally Unemotional
Mar 30, 2020 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Marks: Swift Government Actions Significantly Reduced Risk of a Global Depression
“My partner, Bruce Garsh, and I, talking, I would say, middle of last week, were afraid of a meaningful probability of a depression, with millions losing their jobs and businesses shuttered for long periods of time. Now, I think, with the government having done…”
Howard Marks Mar 30, 2020 ▶ 12:57 20VC: Howard Marks on How COVID-19 Impacts Our Economy, Liquidity and National Debt, Why The Theory of Falling Knives and Market Bottoms is Wrong & Why The Best Investors Are Fundamentally Unemotional
Mar 30, 2020
Insight
Howard Marks: Successful Investing Requires Operating Without Foreknowledge
“The important misconception is always the same, which is that it's possible sitting here to know what the future holds. We have to invest despite the absence of foreknowledge, not in reliance of foreknowledge.”
Howard Marks Mar 30, 2020 ▶ 22:08 20VC: Howard Marks on How COVID-19 Impacts Our Economy, Liquidity and National Debt, Why The Theory of Falling Knives and Market Bottoms is Wrong & Why The Best Investors Are Fundamentally Unemotional
Mar 30, 2020 positive
Assertion Supported
Warren Buffett reads Howard Marks's memos before anything else
“It was Warren Buffett himself that said once, when I see memos from Howard Marks in my mail, they're the first thing I open and read.”
Harry Stebbings Mar 30, 2020 ▶ 1:01 20VC: Howard Marks on How COVID-19 Impacts Our Economy, Liquidity and National Debt, Why The Theory of Falling Knives and Market Bottoms is Wrong & Why The Best Investors Are Fundamentally Unemotional
Jan 4, 2021 bearish
Insight
Marks: Market trouble occurs when investors believe no price too high
“When people start saying no price too high, then the world tends to get in trouble, as they have several times in my life.”
Howard Marks Jan 4, 2021 ▶ 25:46 20VC: Bill Gurley and Howard Marks: What Happened In 2020? What Can We Expect Looking Forward to 2021?
Jan 4, 2021 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Marks: Economic growth will slow down due to deglobalization
“Well, I think, number one, that economic growth slows down.”
Howard Marks Jan 4, 2021 ▶ 27:20 20VC: Bill Gurley and Howard Marks: What Happened In 2020? What Can We Expect Looking Forward to 2021?
Jan 4, 2021 negative
Insight
Howard Marks: Macro predictions shouldn't drive investment decisions
“Macro predictions are very hard to make, and I don't think either of us bases our investment decisions on macro forecasts. That's not a way to have a good batting average.”
Howard Marks Jan 4, 2021 ▶ 3:15 20VC: Bill Gurley and Howard Marks: What Happened In 2020? What Can We Expect Looking Forward to 2021?
Jan 4, 2021
Assertion Supported
Howard Marks: Post-2008 recovery was slowest in post-war history
“But our government's been running deficits since the global financial crisis, And this was the slowest recovery in post-war history, and it didn't kindle any inflation.”
Howard Marks Jan 4, 2021 ▶ 11:51 20VC: Bill Gurley and Howard Marks: What Happened In 2020? What Can We Expect Looking Forward to 2021?
Jan 4, 2021 positive
What-if
Howard Marks: Central bank interventions prevented a 2020 global depression
“With that disclaimer out of the way, first of all, nine months ago, a global depression was absolutely a possibility. With the, most of the developed countries Certainly outside of Asia, shutting down their whole economies in order to limit contacts and bend t…”
Howard Marks Jan 4, 2021 ▶ 3:32 20VC: Bill Gurley and Howard Marks: What Happened In 2020? What Can We Expect Looking Forward to 2021?
Jan 4, 2021
Disclosure
Marks: Oaktree found asset bargains during two-week window in March 2020
“In March, the middle two weeks of March, the ninth to the 23rd, were very productive for us in terms of producing bargains.”
Howard Marks Jan 4, 2021 ▶ 18:18 20VC: Bill Gurley and Howard Marks: What Happened In 2020? What Can We Expect Looking Forward to 2021?
Jan 4, 2021 positive
Insight
Marks: Outsized returns come from doing what other investors refuse to do
“You make the big money when you do the things that other people are unwilling to do.”
Howard Marks Jan 4, 2021 ▶ 17:43 20VC: Bill Gurley and Howard Marks: What Happened In 2020? What Can We Expect Looking Forward to 2021?
Jan 4, 2021 bearish
Prediction Held up
Marks: Oaktree's distressed debt returns won't match past crisis levels
“We think our returns will be very attractive relative to the low overall level of interest rates, but nothing like in the past.”
Howard Marks Jan 4, 2021 ▶ 19:19 20VC: Bill Gurley and Howard Marks: What Happened In 2020? What Can We Expect Looking Forward to 2021?
Jan 4, 2021
Insight
Howard Marks: Investors cannot predict direction, but must know cycle positioning
“We don't know where we're going, but we should know where we are.”
Howard Marks Jan 4, 2021 ▶ 33:49 20VC: Bill Gurley and Howard Marks: What Happened In 2020? What Can We Expect Looking Forward to 2021?
Jun 29, 2022
Disclosure
Gurley sought macro advice from Howard Marks and Stan Druckenmiller
“Funny story, about two or three years ago, when interest rates were heading into unprecedented territory, I told my partners I needed to talk to some macro experts, and I did everything I could to find my way to Howard and Stan Druckenmiller, and I was thrille…”
Bill Gurley Jun 29, 2022 ▶ 3:33 20VC: The Memo: Bill Gurley, Doug Leone, Keith Rabois; Investing Lessons from Prior Busts, How Their Investor Psychology Changed, What Can Be Applied To Today's Market
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