defense technology

7 statements across 4 episodes · 2 bullish · 1 bearish · 5 people on the record · first statement Jan 17, 2024 by Shyam Sankar · across every show →

Everything said about defense technology, oldest first

Jan 17, 2024
Insight
Battlefield innovation cycles render defense technology obsolete within two years
“What you're gonna fight with in two years is not what you're gonna fight with in a year, and it's not what you'd use today.”
Shyam Sankar Jan 17, 2024 ▶ 37:28 Shyam Sankar: The Broken Incentive Structure of How Governments Buy Defence | E1104 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 27, 2024 bullish
Assertion Supported
Hommels: Low-cost autonomous defense hardware destabilizes legacy military equipment
“You have a thousand euro drone that takes us a ten million tank. You have a 500,000 submarine, yeah, unmanned, which can take out a five hundred million The submarine, the classical one, and the same for basically every category.”
Klaus Hommels Nov 27, 2024 ▶ 26:08 Klaus Hommels: Why "Portfolios are Merely a Construct to Make LPs Happy"? | E1231 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 27, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Stebbings: Defense tech is not a broad market category like SaaS
“I don't think defense is a category. And you're like, what? A category is enough that can support an ecosystem with its breadth and depth. I don't think defense is. I think there is your andrills and maybe two to three more in the U.S., and I think there's, yo…”
Harry Stebbings Oct 27, 2025 ▶ 1:06:22 Sequoia Partner, David Cahn on Who Wins in AI, Defence & The New $0–$100M Playbook · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 27, 2025 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cahn: Defense Tech Adoption Cycle Is Only 1% Complete
“We're like one percent there on catching up. Like we're actually so, so early in this defense cycle because, you know, now we have a few dozen companies, maybe a hundred companies that have sort of new innovations. They're not integrated into the force structu…”
David Cahn Oct 27, 2025 ▶ 1:02:48 Sequoia Partner, David Cahn on Who Wins in AI, Defence & The New $0–$100M Playbook · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 27, 2025 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2030
Cahn: Sequoia will only invest in defense startups every couple years
“I mean, my objective, I probably invested in a dozen AI companies in my career. I hope to invest in 20 more. My objective is not to invest in 20 more defense companies throughout my career. I think it's going to be a very small handful of companies. Maybe we'l…”
David Cahn Oct 27, 2025 ▶ 1:06:50 Sequoia Partner, David Cahn on Who Wins in AI, Defence & The New $0–$100M Playbook · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 27, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Cahn: Few concentrated defense tech winners will emerge per country
“And I guess my framework, and this is the thesis that I've been investing behind now for the last couple of years is my framework is there are going to be fewer companies that succeed in defense for this reason. Defense is consolidated for good reason. There's…”
David Cahn Oct 27, 2025 ▶ 1:04:30 Sequoia Partner, David Cahn on Who Wins in AI, Defence & The New $0–$100M Playbook · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 23, 2026
Insight
Steckman: Defense startups must win one of two major government programs to survive
“So in every technology class in defense, there's probably one, sometimes two actual programs that if you capture them, you have a business. And if you don't, you have no business.”
Matthew Steckman Mar 23, 2026 ▶ 22:31 99% of Drone Companies Will Die & Why Anduril’s Products Aren’t an Ethics Debate | Matthew Steckman · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 1,200 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.