chips

7 statements across 7 episodes · 3 bullish · 2 bearish · 6 people on the record · first statement Mar 4, 2024 by Nicolai Tangen · across every show →

Everything said about chips, oldest first

Mar 4, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Nicolai Tangen says winners in AI and semiconductor chips are impossible to predict
“Yeah, I think, so I'm not really thinking about technology, because that's a bit too complicated for me. I mean, that's, because that changes so fast, and God knows who's going to be the winner in, in AI, or chips, or these kind of things.”
Nicolai Tangen Mar 4, 2024 ▶ 9:30 Nicolai Tangen: Managing the Largest Sovereign Wealth Fund in the World | E1122 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 31, 2024 bullish
Prediction Held up
Mollick: Major AI companies will inevitably enter custom chipmaking
“Yeah, I mean, the, your requirement in any supply chain pipeline is to eat the value. If you're, you know, like, that's the whole idea of, you know, how those things work. So, like, if the, if you're spending a lot of money on chips, you go into chip making. J…”
Ethan Mollick Jul 31, 2024 ▶ 1:06:27 Ethan Mollick: Why OpenAl Abandons Products, The Biggest Opportunities They Have Not Taken | E1184 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 17, 2025
Assertion Partly supported
AI performance scaled at 4x every 18-24 months via chip accumulation
“Turns out, the number of chips was also doubling every 18 to 24 months. So rather than two X, it was four X.”
Jonathan Ross Feb 17, 2025 ▶ 18:38 Jonathan Ross, Founder & CEO @ Groq: NVIDIA vs Groq - The Future of Training vs Inference | E1260 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 24, 2025 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2028
Morin: Etched and Visor will bring high-speed inference chips at lower prices
“So my bet is, I think there will be, you know, chips on the market that do that at much lower price. And there's two companies I see going in that direction. One is called Etched. And the other one is called Visor.”
Steeve Morin Feb 24, 2025 ▶ 29:09 Steeve Morin: Why Google Will Win the AI Arms Race & OpenAI Will Not | E1262 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 29, 2025 bullish
Prediction Held up
Ross: NVIDIA will keep selling chips despite AI labs building custom silicon
“NVIDIA still keeps selling chips.”
Jonathan Ross Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 26:00 Groq Founder, Jonathan Ross: OpenAI & Anthropic Will Build Their Own Chips & Will NVIDIA Hit $10TRN · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 5, 2026
Insight
O'Driscoll: Owning AI model layers matters more than building custom chips
“If you think about it, if you're up here in the software stack, it's more important to own one level down, which is that model layer than to kind of start to optimize around chips.”
Rory O'Driscoll Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 54:29 The SaaS Massacre: Public Market Collapse |Microsoft Lost $360B & NVIDIA’s $100B Dispute with OpenAI
Apr 25, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Masad: Frontier AI labs are unprofitable due to high Nvidia chip costs
“I don't think these companies are all that profitable, partly because, you know, the underlying chips are not all that cheap and there isn't a lot of competition.”
Amjad Masad Apr 25, 2026 ▶ 27:24 Replit CEO: Why the SaaS Apocalypse is Justified & Why Coding Models are Plateauing | Amjad Masad · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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