Prediction Held up AI assessment confidence: 98% certainty 4/5 debate potential 2/5

Mollick: Major AI companies will inevitably enter custom chipmaking

Ethan Mollick · Ethan Mollick: Why OpenAl Abandons Products, The Biggest Opportunities They Have Not Taken | E1184 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings · Jul 31, 2024 · at 1:06:27

Wharton professor Ethan Mollick addresses host Harry Stebbings' question about whether tech incumbents will develop in-house AI chips to reduce dependence on vendors like NVIDIA.

0:00 / 0:19exact quote · 19.8s
▶ Watch the full episode on YouTube → 720p mp4 · rendered on demand · StarZero watermark
“Yeah, I mean, the, your requirement in any supply chain pipeline is to eat the value. If you're, you know, like, that's the whole idea of, you know, how those things work. So, like, if the, if you're spending a lot of money on chips, you go into chip making. Just like if you're spending lots of money on, you know, warehousing, you figure out a way to, you know, reduce your warehouse costs. Like, they're gonna figure something out.”

quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading: filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard (the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →

More from Ethan Mollick

Assertion Supported
Mollick: OpenAI's $3B revenue run rate is largely an accident
“I mean, they're incidentally making three billion dollar run rate this year, I think by like just accident, but there isn't like a, there isn't really a product there right now.”
Ethan Mollick Jul 31, 2024 ▶ 24:14 Ethan Mollick: Why OpenAl Abandons Products, The Biggest Opportunities They Have Not Taken | E1184 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Held up
Mollick: Open-source AI safety guardrails will be breached immediately
“And I do think that open models will immediately have their guardrails breached.”
Ethan Mollick Jul 31, 2024 ▶ 16:28 Ethan Mollick: Why OpenAl Abandons Products, The Biggest Opportunities They Have Not Taken | E1184 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Mollick: Lean startup methodology fails during breakthrough innovation eras
“I think the problems of the lean method are coming home to roost. What every VC wants to see is, you know, and especially in like app facing stuff is they want to see product market fit. There's a method we have, right? You come up with like a, you know, rough…”
Ethan Mollick Jul 31, 2024 ▶ 36:24 Ethan Mollick: Why OpenAl Abandons Products, The Biggest Opportunities They Have Not Taken | E1184 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Opinion
Mollick: Silicon Valley founders build narrow wrappers despite predicting AGI
“It is very strange from one hand for all of these people in Silicon Valley to be like, yeah, you know, AGI is coming. And then the applications they're building are like these very narrow, like, hey, I slapped something on top of llama. And you know, it's like…”
Ethan Mollick Jul 31, 2024 ▶ 38:19 Ethan Mollick: Why OpenAl Abandons Products, The Biggest Opportunities They Have Not Taken | E1184 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Opinion
Mollick: No current startup will survive in an AGI world
“The real problem right now is every startup in the world is betting against AGI. Which I find really funny because all the funders are like, yeah, AGI is coming in the next five years. If it is, why are you funding these startup companies? Like none of them ar…”
Ethan Mollick Jul 31, 2024 ▶ 40:01 Ethan Mollick: Why OpenAl Abandons Products, The Biggest Opportunities They Have Not Taken | E1184 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Opinion
Mollick: AI tutors cannot replace human teachers due to motivation needs
“People need extrinsic motivation to learn. It turns out that there's value in having an instructor guiding the direction of a class, that there's value in putting things into practice. So even an incredible AI tutor that knows you and loves you really well, do…”
Ethan Mollick Jul 31, 2024 ▶ 47:29 Ethan Mollick: Why OpenAl Abandons Products, The Biggest Opportunities They Have Not Taken | E1184 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 1,200 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.