AI coding tools

12 statements across 12 episodes · 6 bullish · 3 bearish · 11 people on the record · first statement Sep 25, 2024 by Eric Vishria · across every show →

Everything said about AI coding tools, oldest first

Sep 25, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Vishria: Replacing Developer Labor With AI Creates 20x More Economic Value
“So if the AI, if you can get AI good enough to eat much more of the 200,000 dollars of value attributed to your software engineer, IT person, it just follows that there's like 20 x more value creation and, like, there will be giant, giant outcomes.”
Eric Vishria Sep 25, 2024 ▶ 23:49 Eric Vishria: Where is the Value in AI - Chips, Models or Apps? | E1206 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 19, 2025 negative
Insight
Hacker: AI coding tools perform poorly on large codebases and create unfixable tech debt
“On the software engineering side, I think what they're really good at is going from zero to 80% for a simple app. You know, it's like, it's the replet, the lovable, and then the larger the code base, even the one that generates itself, the larger the code base…”
Severin Hacker May 19, 2025 ▶ 12:55 Duolingo Co-Founder, Severin Hacker: How AI Impacts the Future of Work and Education · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 20, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kansu: Current AI coding tools only boost developer productivity by 10-20%
“I think my read right now is more of the latter. And also the magnitude of multiplication is way lower than like 10 X-ing things. I think it's maybe in the realm of like 10 to 20% more productivity, Of an average engineering capacity.”
Cem Kansu Jun 20, 2025 ▶ 22:24 20Product: How Duolingo Build Product 10x Faster with AI | Duolingo's Biggest Lessons on Paywalls, Push Notifications and In-App Purchases | Why Small Teams are the Future of Product | Why PMs Will Become Extinct with Cem Kansu, CPO @ Duolingo
Jul 18, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Wu: AI tools currently give software engineers a 1.5x to 2x speedup
“And I would say that something in that range of, you know, 1.5 to two X feels right to me today in aggregate.”
Scott Wu Jul 18, 2025 ▶ 17:56 Cognition CEO Scott Wu on Acquiring Windsurf: The Process, The Deal, The Rationale · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 4, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Obrecht: Canva Is Price-Insensitive on AI Coding Tools for Engineers
“We encourage all our engineers to use the best security certified Coding tools that can increase the efficiency and we're not price sensitive around that at all.”
Cliff Obrecht Sep 4, 2025 ▶ 59:53 Anthropic Raises $13BN & OpenAI Buys Statsig for $1.1BN All Stock · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 15, 2025 bullish
Opinion
AI coding and foundation model hype is matched by real value
“Nothing jumps out to me on that, because obviously, like, I think the things with the most hype are code and foundation models and maybe starting to be use cases in finance, and I feel like The value being created is also very real.”
Brendan Foody Sep 15, 2025 ▶ 39:03 Mercor CEO & Co-Founder, Brendan Foody: How They Grew from $1M to $500M in 17 Months · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 13, 2025 negative
Opinion
Cannon-Brookes: Atlassian won't pay 10x for AI tools without 10x productivity
“No, probably not. I mean, maybe if they gave me 10 times the productivity.”
Mike Cannon-Brookes Oct 13, 2025 ▶ 35:14 Atlassian CEO, Mike Cannon-Brookes on Why Everything is Overvalued & Are We in an AI Bubble · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 16, 2025 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: AI Developer Efficiency Will Increase Token Consumption, Not Reduce It
“The better that gets, the more tokens you'll consume. I don't think there's this, Great efficiency coming. I think it's, I think we'll get fat. We'll just build more and more stuff faster and faster.”
Jason Lemkin Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 40:53 Thinking Machines Co-Founder Joins Meta for $3.5BN, Industry Venture's $665M Acquisition · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 20, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: AI coding tools will reach 100% developer adoption
“So it's moved to like, we're gonna approach a hundred percent penetration per developer of some sort of price per year, 5006 thousand.”
Jason Lemkin Nov 20, 2025 ▶ 4:05 Peter Thiel and Softbank Sell NVIDIA - Why? & Why VC Will Hit $1TRN and The Opening of Retail · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 18, 2025 bullish
Assertion Contradicted
O'Driscoll: Coding tools account for 55% of enterprise AI spend
“Citing the Menlo work, which is really nice, that, you know, 50, 60% of all the end user spend on AI right now is coding and coding related. This is the big kahuna, right? Everything else, even customer support, all the other stuff is, everything else to a rou…”
Rory O'Driscoll Dec 18, 2025 ▶ 45:03 Will Cursor Kill Figma? Lightspeed Raises $9B & OpenAI’s $1B from Disney & #1 App in App Store · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 16, 2026
Insight
Siemiatkowski: VCs who do not use AI coding tools cannot evaluate startups
“If I meet investors today that haven't actually downloaded and tried to build something themselves, I think they don't have the skill set to make an evaluation of the company they're looking at.”
Sebastian Siemiatkowski Feb 16, 2026 ▶ 53:54 Klarna CEO: SaaS is Dead: Why Systems of Record Will Die in an Agentic World · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 2, 2026
Insight
Zinman: AI developer productivity gains create new non-coding engineering bottlenecks
“On one hand, we see increase in personal productivity, but again, there's new bottlenecks you find each time you increase one of those productivities, and basically we're on a journey to increase more and more the output of our R&D team.”
Eran Zinman Mar 2, 2026 ▶ 24:59 Monday.com CEO on Is SaaS Dead: Will Everything Be Vibe Coded | Eran Zinman · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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